本文關(guān)鍵詞： 公共財政收支 土地出讓收支 經(jīng)濟增長 VAR模型 ECM模型　出處：《財政部財政科學(xué)研究所》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：經(jīng)濟增長是宏觀調(diào)控的重要目標之一,作為宏觀調(diào)控重要手段之一的財政政策與經(jīng)濟增長存在著密切的關(guān)系。改革開放三十多年以來,中國經(jīng)濟實現(xiàn)了快速增長,但時有波動。作為財政政策的主要工具,財政收支如何對經(jīng)濟增長產(chǎn)生影響這一問題值得分析研究。本文在大口徑財政收支的視角下,將公共財政收支、國有資本經(jīng)營收支、政府性基金收支和社會保險基金收支與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系作為研究對象,并在傳統(tǒng)研究公共財政收支與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系之外,重點研究了政府性基金中的土地出讓收支與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系。 本文采用理論與實證相結(jié)合的方法。第二章首先定義我國財政收支范圍。第三章梳理了財政收支與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系的基本理論,從總需求和總供給兩個方面入手,將相應(yīng)的經(jīng)濟增長理論分為需求約束下的經(jīng)濟增長理論和供給約束下的經(jīng)濟增長理論,并對其進行一一分析介紹,試圖找出財政收支與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系的理論基礎(chǔ),其中重點歸納分析了近年來國內(nèi)新興的“中國供給學(xué)派”理論,并對改革開放以來的財政政策實踐進行了總結(jié)。第四章和第五章從實證分析的角度出發(fā),分別應(yīng)用向量自回歸模型(VAR)和誤差修正模型(ECM)對公共財政收支與經(jīng)濟增長和政府性基金(土地出讓收支)與經(jīng)濟增長之間的關(guān)系進行實證分析。最后根據(jù)理論與實證分析結(jié)果,從中國現(xiàn)有國情出發(fā),有針對性的提出了相關(guān)政策建議。
[Abstract]:Economic growth is one of the important goals of macro-control. As one of the important means of macro-control, fiscal policy has a close relationship with economic growth. More than 30 years since the reform and opening up. China's economy has achieved rapid growth, but has fluctuated from time to time, as the main tool of fiscal policy. It is worth analyzing and studying how the fiscal revenue and expenditure affect the economic growth. In the perspective of large scale fiscal revenue and expenditure, the public finance revenue and expenditure, the state-owned capital management income and expenditure. Government fund income and expenditure and social insurance fund income and expenditure and economic growth as the object of study, and in addition to the traditional study of the relationship between public finance and economic growth. The relationship between income and expenditure of land transfer and economic growth in government funds is studied. The second chapter defines the scope of fiscal revenue and expenditure in China. The third chapter combs the basic theory of the relationship between fiscal revenue and economic growth. Starting from the two aspects of aggregate demand and total supply, the corresponding economic growth theory is divided into the economic growth theory under demand constraints and the economic growth theory under supply constraints, and it is analyzed and introduced one by one. This paper tries to find out the theoretical basis of the relationship between fiscal revenue and expenditure and economic growth, which focuses on the induction and analysis of the "Chinese supply School" theory which has emerged in China in recent years. It also summarizes the practice of fiscal policy since the reform and opening up. Chapter 4th and 5th from the perspective of empirical analysis. Applying VAR and ECM respectively to public finance revenue and expenditure and economic growth and government funds (land transfer income and expenditure). The relationship between economic growth and empirical analysis. Finally, according to the theoretical and empirical analysis results. From the current situation of China, the relevant policy recommendations are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：財政部財政科學(xué)研究所
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F812.4;F124.1

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前3條

1 高培勇;;多重目標宏觀經(jīng)濟政策布局下的中國結(jié)構(gòu)性減稅[J];中國市場;2012年50期

2 王s，

本文編號：1446933