【摘要】：微型公交作為城市公共交通運輸系統(tǒng)的重要組成部分,可以配合地鐵、BRT站點和客流集散點設(shè)置,行駛于中小街道、延伸到各居住區(qū)和功能區(qū),補充了大運量公交和常規(guī)公交的服務(wù),關(guān)注了老年人和弱勢群體的出行質(zhì)量,提高老年人的出行便捷性和出行可達性,有效地擴展了軌道交通、BRT服務(wù),為地鐵站點承擔(dān)起有效的支線集散服務(wù),有效地解決了短距離出行和接駁換乘問題。因此,有必要研究微型公交系統(tǒng)的規(guī)劃方法,為合理規(guī)劃微型公交提供科學(xué)的理論依據(jù)。本文首先分析微型公交的概念,給出微型公交的定義,比較分析微型公交與常規(guī)公交的異同并進行分類。分析微型公交的社會效益、經(jīng)濟效益,微型公交的功能定位及作用,探討微型公交的發(fā)展模式。然后,分析了微型公交的四類需求群體、群體出行目的和群體出行時耗,然后從城市中心區(qū)、城市郊區(qū)兩個空間層面分析對微型公交的需求。結(jié)合上海市微型公交線路的運行數(shù)據(jù),分析影響客流的主要因素。通過分析常用的幾種需求預(yù)測方法和微觀經(jīng)濟學(xué)區(qū)位理論在微型公交客流預(yù)測中的適用性,本文提出基于三層面的微觀經(jīng)濟學(xué)區(qū)位理論-圈點線路模型的預(yù)測方法。通過深入分析影響微型公交線路設(shè)置的因素,探討微型公交與軌道交通的接駁關(guān)系并進行分類,建立微觀層面的圈點線路模型進行路徑優(yōu)化并應(yīng)用遺傳算法求解,并用實例驗證模型及算法的可行性,以單接駁點的一條微型公交線路與軌道交通之間的換乘為例,計算最短換乘等待時間。最后,分析站點服務(wù)面積、站間距,提出影響站點選取的主要因素,并進行調(diào)整。為減少接駁軌道交通的微型公交設(shè)施用地需求,提出了一條始發(fā)微型公交線路用地估算方法。
[Abstract]:As an important part of the urban public transport system, micro public transport can be set up with BRT stations and passenger flow distribution points, and run on small and medium-sized streets, extending to residential areas and functional areas. It supplements the services of mass transit and conventional public transport, pays attention to the travel quality of the elderly and vulnerable groups, improves the travel convenience and accessibility of the elderly, and effectively expands the BRT service of rail transit. It can effectively solve the problem of short distance travel and transfer. Therefore, it is necessary to study the planning method of micro bus system to provide scientific theoretical basis for reasonable planning of micro bus. In this paper, the concept of micro bus is analyzed, the definition of micro bus is given, and the similarities and differences between micro bus and conventional bus are compared and classified. The social benefit, economic benefit, function orientation and function of micro bus are analyzed, and the development mode of micro bus is discussed. Then, it analyzes the four kinds of demand groups of micro bus, the purpose of group travel and travel time consumption, and then analyzes the demand of micro bus from two spatial levels of urban center and suburb. Based on the operation data of Shanghai mini bus line, the main factors affecting passenger flow are analyzed. Based on the analysis of the applicability of several commonly used demand forecasting methods and microeconomic location theory in the forecast of mini bus passenger flow, this paper puts forward a forecasting method based on three levels of microeconomic location theory-circle point line model. Through in-depth analysis of the factors affecting the setting of micro bus lines, the connection relationship between micro public transport and rail transit is discussed and classified, and a micro level circle point line model is established for route optimization and genetic algorithm is applied to solve the problem. An example is given to verify the feasibility of the model and algorithm. Taking the transfer between a minibus line at a single connection point and rail transit as an example, the shortest transfer waiting time is calculated. Finally, the service area and distance between stations are analyzed, and the main factors affecting site selection are put forward and adjusted. In order to reduce the demand for land use for mini-bus facilities connected with rail transit, a method for estimating the land use of the starting mini-bus line is proposed.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：長安大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：U491.17

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