我國擴(kuò)大居民消費(fèi)與宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-01-10 19:31
【摘要】：在我國當(dāng)前畸形的投資消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)下,提高消費(fèi)率,必然要求降低投資率。為滿足柯布-道格拉斯生產(chǎn)函數(shù)規(guī)模報(bào)酬不變的假設(shè),找到第三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)比重作為技術(shù)進(jìn)步的代理變量,在此前提下運(yùn)用總量生產(chǎn)函數(shù),筆者研究了降低投資率對我國宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定(用GDP經(jīng)濟(jì)增長速度代理)與居民消費(fèi)率的影響。結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn):減少投資,會(huì)導(dǎo)致GDP增速降低,在假定貨物與服務(wù)凈出口和政府消費(fèi)占GDP的份額不變的條件下,居民消費(fèi)額會(huì)增加,而且居民消費(fèi)占GDP的比重也會(huì)增加(除去少數(shù)例外)。我國投資減少GDP的5%,GDP的增速將下降到4%左右,居民消費(fèi)率增長約3.5%。我國GDP增速4%,可能是我們可以接受的GDP增速的一個(gè)"心理底線"。
[Abstract]:Under the present abnormal structure of investment and consumption in our country, it is necessary to reduce the investment rate in order to increase the consumption rate. In order to satisfy the assumption of constant scale reward of Cobb-Douglas production function, the employment proportion of the tertiary industry is found as a proxy variable of technological progress. Under this premise, the total production function is used. The author studies the influence of reducing investment rate on macroeconomic stability (using GDP economic growth rate agent) and resident consumption rate. The results show that reduced investment will lead to lower GDP growth, assuming that net exports of goods and services and the share of government consumption as a share of GDP will increase. And household consumption as a share of GDP will rise (with a few exceptions). The growth rate of GDP will drop to about 4%, and the consumption rate of residents will increase by 3.5%. China's GDP growth rate is likely to be an acceptable GDP growth rate of a "psychological bottom line."
【作者單位】： 中南財(cái)經(jīng)政法大學(xué)工商管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(11CJL014)
【分類號(hào)】：F124;F126.1
本文編號(hào)：2406705
[Abstract]:Under the present abnormal structure of investment and consumption in our country, it is necessary to reduce the investment rate in order to increase the consumption rate. In order to satisfy the assumption of constant scale reward of Cobb-Douglas production function, the employment proportion of the tertiary industry is found as a proxy variable of technological progress. Under this premise, the total production function is used. The author studies the influence of reducing investment rate on macroeconomic stability (using GDP economic growth rate agent) and resident consumption rate. The results show that reduced investment will lead to lower GDP growth, assuming that net exports of goods and services and the share of government consumption as a share of GDP will increase. And household consumption as a share of GDP will rise (with a few exceptions). The growth rate of GDP will drop to about 4%, and the consumption rate of residents will increase by 3.5%. China's GDP growth rate is likely to be an acceptable GDP growth rate of a "psychological bottom line."
【作者單位】： 中南財(cái)經(jīng)政法大學(xué)工商管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(11CJL014)
【分類號(hào)】：F124;F126.1
【相似文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前7條
1 陳岱松;;兩岸加入WTO的法律依據(jù)分析[J];世界貿(mào)易組織動(dòng)態(tài)與研究;2000年06期
2 卞及;WTO運(yùn)行機(jī)制[J];黑龍江對外經(jīng)貿(mào);2000年06期
3 汪震;劉萍;;WTO爭端解決案件分銷問題探析[J];國際貿(mào)易;2013年08期
4 ;俄羅斯加入世貿(mào)進(jìn)程加快[J];世界貿(mào)易組織動(dòng)態(tài)與研究;2003年03期
5 孔凡昌,王有莉,顧曉陽;尋求統(tǒng)一規(guī)范——APEC政府采購與我國的對策[J];國際貿(mào)易;1998年03期
6 白仲堯,吳焰;供銷社應(yīng)站在時(shí)代的前列[J];中國供銷合作經(jīng)濟(jì);2001年11期
7 ;[J];;年期
相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前2條
1 朱媛;WTO新一輪談判下浙江省環(huán)境貨物與服務(wù)貿(mào)易的研究[D];寧波大學(xué);2008年
2 孫園植;WTO框架下與環(huán)境有關(guān)規(guī)則研究[D];中國政法大學(xué);2009年
，本文編號(hào)：2406705
本文鏈接：http://www.sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/shijiejingjilunwen/2406705.html
最近更新
教材專著
