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中國區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率增長差異研究

發(fā)布時間:2019-01-03 19:45
【摘要】:改革開放以來,隨著我國經(jīng)濟總量取得巨大成就的同時,經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的質(zhì)量問題卻備受質(zhì)疑。克魯格曼曾認為我國的經(jīng)濟增長來源于勞動、資本等生產(chǎn)要素的投入,而非效率的提升,因此難以實現(xiàn)持續(xù)增長。近10年來,我國各地區(qū)GDP增長差距趨于收斂,但經(jīng)濟增長質(zhì)量或效率是否也同步收斂?回答這一問題,具有重要的理論和實踐意義。 本文依據(jù)“十一五”規(guī)劃中的定義,將我國劃分為東部、東北、中部和西部四大區(qū)域,在對全要素生產(chǎn)率及其增長理論進行梳理和綜述的基礎(chǔ)上,采用永續(xù)盤存法測算了我國30個。ㄊ校1978-2012年的資本存量,利用隨機前沿超越對數(shù)生產(chǎn)函數(shù)對1978-2012年分省(市)全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長率進行分解與測算;诩訖(quán)平均的思想,以各省(市)GDP占各區(qū)域GDP總值的比值為權(quán)重,分別對四大區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長率進行分解與測算,進而研究中國四大區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率增長差異的變動特征和結(jié)構(gòu)性動因。 主要研究內(nèi)容:首先,對分。ㄊ校┤厣a(chǎn)率的增長率進行分解及核算;其次,采用極差值和變異系數(shù)等指標實證分析區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率增長差異的演變特征和空間分異特征;再次,基于全要素生產(chǎn)率增長率構(gòu)成差異和增長率構(gòu)成的區(qū)域差異分析區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率增長差異的結(jié)構(gòu)性動因;最后,提出促進我國區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率協(xié)調(diào)增長對策。 主要研究結(jié)論:(1)1978-2012年區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長差異總體上呈擴大趨勢,區(qū)域內(nèi)全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長差異出現(xiàn)明顯分化,東部和西部兩區(qū)域內(nèi)全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長差異程度較高,,區(qū)域內(nèi)存在較嚴重的增長失衡,中部和東北地區(qū)較低;(2)區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長主要源于生產(chǎn)效率變化率和技術(shù)進步率的貢獻,其中,東部地區(qū)具有明顯的技術(shù)進步率優(yōu)勢,西部地區(qū)則具有較明顯的規(guī)模效益變化率優(yōu)勢,技術(shù)進步率和生產(chǎn)效率變化率對區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長貢獻具有一定的替代效應(yīng);(3)從長期來看,技術(shù)進步的快慢更大程度上決定了區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長差異,而西部地區(qū)生產(chǎn)效率變化率和技術(shù)進步率都較大程度地落后于東部地區(qū)。 基于以上分析,本文提出了加強自主創(chuàng)新、減小政策差異、開展區(qū)域合作、強化人才培養(yǎng)的政策建議,以期有效實現(xiàn)區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率協(xié)調(diào)增長的目標。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the quality of economic development has been questioned with the great achievements of China's economic aggregate. Krugman thought that the economic growth of our country comes from the input of labor, capital and other factors of production, rather than the improvement of efficiency, so it is difficult to achieve sustained growth. In the past 10 years, the gap of GDP growth in different regions of China has converged, but is the quality or efficiency of economic growth also converging? Answering this question has important theoretical and practical significance. According to the definition of the 11th Five-Year Plan, this paper divides our country into four regions: the east, the northeast, the central and the west, and on the basis of combing and summarizing the total factor productivity and its growth theory, The capital stock of 30 provinces (cities) in China from 1978 to 2012 was measured by the method of perpetual inventory. The growth rate of total factor productivity of provinces (cities) in 1978-2012 was decomposed and measured by using the stochastic frontier surpassing logarithmic production function. Based on the idea of weighted average, taking the ratio of GDP in each region as the weight, the growth rate of total factor productivity (TFP) in four regions is decomposed and measured. Then it studies the variation characteristics and structural drivers of total factor productivity (TFP) growth differences in four regions of China. The main research contents are as follows: firstly, the growth rate of total factor productivity in each province (city) is decomposed and accounted for; Secondly, we use extreme difference and coefficient of variation to analyze the evolution and spatial differentiation of regional total factor productivity (TFP) growth. Thirdly, based on the difference of the composition of total factor productivity growth rate and the regional difference of growth rate, the structural motivation of regional total factor productivity growth difference is analyzed. Finally, the countermeasures to promote the coordinated growth of regional total factor productivity in China are put forward. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) the growth difference of regional total factor productivity (TFP) in 1978-2012 shows a trend of expansion, and the difference of TFP growth within the region is obviously differentiated. In the eastern and western regions, the difference of total factor productivity (TFP) growth is relatively high, there is a serious imbalance in growth in the region, and the central and northeast regions are lower. (2) the growth of regional total factor productivity (TFP) mainly comes from the contribution of the rate of change of production efficiency and the rate of technological progress. Among them, the eastern region has obvious advantage of technological progress rate, and the western region has obvious advantage of scale benefit change rate. The technical progress rate and the production efficiency change rate have the certain substitution effect to the regional total factor productivity growth contribution; (3) in the long run, the speed of technological progress determines the growth difference of regional total factor productivity to a greater extent, while the rate of change of production efficiency and the rate of technological progress in the western region lag behind the eastern region to a large extent. Based on the above analysis, this paper puts forward the policy suggestions of strengthening independent innovation, reducing policy differences, developing regional cooperation and strengthening talent training, in order to effectively realize the goal of coordinated growth of regional total factor productivity (TFP).
【學(xué)位授予單位】:中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F124

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