本文選題：貿(mào)易開放度 + 貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)�。� 參考：《重慶大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：自改革開放以來，我國的對(duì)外貿(mào)易無論是從總量還是結(jié)構(gòu)上都發(fā)生了很大的變化，對(duì)外貿(mào)易總額不斷增加，對(duì)外開放程度也在逐漸加大。同時(shí)國內(nèi)的各產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)也都發(fā)生了很大的變化，產(chǎn)值不斷增加，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)逐漸向高級(jí)化發(fā)展。對(duì)外貿(mào)易和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)作為影響我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的兩個(gè)重要因素，兩者之間的內(nèi)在關(guān)系密不可分。 文章以對(duì)外貿(mào)易、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)三者之間的相互影響關(guān)系作為研究對(duì)象，采用理論研究和實(shí)證分析相結(jié)合的方法進(jìn)行論證。在對(duì)貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的兩兩關(guān)系進(jìn)行文獻(xiàn)梳理的基礎(chǔ)上，首先對(duì)我國改革開放以來對(duì)外貿(mào)易總額、貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的發(fā)展和現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行分析描述。在實(shí)證分析部分，利用我國1978-2012年的有關(guān)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)，分別從貿(mào)易開放度和貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)變化兩個(gè)角度分析對(duì)外貿(mào)易與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系。經(jīng)過協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、脈沖響應(yīng)分析以及格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)等，得出以下分析結(jié)論：我國貿(mào)易開放度與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)及經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)三者之間不存在長(zhǎng)期的均衡關(guān)系，而貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)變化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)三者之間存在長(zhǎng)期均衡關(guān)系，對(duì)外貿(mào)易和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)都能帶動(dòng)我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。貿(mào)易開放度的提高有助于促進(jìn)我國的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)，進(jìn)而促進(jìn)我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。 最后根據(jù)本文的實(shí)證研究結(jié)論提出相應(yīng)的政策建議：進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大對(duì)外開放，優(yōu)化對(duì)外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)，大力提升對(duì)外服務(wù)貿(mào)易，努力提高外貿(mào)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力，大力發(fā)展高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易；努力促進(jìn)第一、第二產(chǎn)業(yè)向第三產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)變，但在注重產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的同時(shí)，還應(yīng)考慮產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化合理，加快發(fā)展現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)，，全面提高現(xiàn)代工業(yè)，更要大力推進(jìn)服務(wù)業(yè)�？傊覈Q(mào)易開放程度的提高、貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的升級(jí)變化以及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級(jí)將是我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的持久動(dòng)力。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's foreign trade has undergone great changes in both the total volume and the structure, the total volume of foreign trade has been increasing, and the degree of opening to the outside world has gradually increased. At the same time, the domestic industrial output value and industrial structure have also undergone great changes, the output value continues to increase, and the industrial structure gradually develops to a higher level. Foreign trade and industrial structure are two important factors influencing the economic development of our country. The interaction between the upgrading of industrial structure and economic growth is the object of study, which is demonstrated by the combination of theoretical research and empirical analysis. On the basis of literature review of trade structure, industrial structure upgrading and economic growth, this paper first analyzes and describes the development and present situation of foreign trade, trade structure and industrial structure upgrading since China's reform and opening up. In the part of empirical analysis, we analyze the relationship between foreign trade and industrial structure upgrading and economic growth from the perspective of trade openness and trade structure change by using the relevant macroeconomic data from 1978 to 2012 in China. After cointegration test, impulse response analysis and Granger causality test, the following conclusions are drawn: there is no long-term equilibrium relationship between China's trade openness and industrial structure upgrading and economic growth. There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the change of trade structure and the upgrading of industrial structure and economic growth. Both foreign trade and upgrading of industrial structure can promote the economic growth of our country. The improvement of trade openness will help to promote the upgrading of China's industrial structure and further promote China's economic growth. Finally, according to the empirical research conclusions of this paper, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward: further opening to the outside world, To optimize the structure of foreign trade commodities, vigorously promote foreign trade in services, strive to improve the competitiveness of foreign trade, vigorously develop trade in high-tech products, and strive to promote the transformation of the first and secondary industries to the tertiary industry, However, while paying attention to the upgrading of industrial structure, we should also consider the optimization and rationality of industrial structure, speed up the development of modern agriculture, improve modern industry in an all-round way, and vigorously promote the service industry. In short, the improvement of China's trade openness, the upgrading of trade structure and the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure will be the lasting driving force for China's economic growth.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F752.7;F121.3;F124.1

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本文編號(hào)：2007167