本文關(guān)鍵詞： 城鎮(zhèn)化水平 工業(yè)化水平 門檻效應(yīng) 空間效應(yīng)　出處：《管理評論》2017年10期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：本文通過建立工業(yè)化與城鎮(zhèn)化雙門檻效應(yīng)模型,以及對環(huán)境經(jīng)濟(jì)集聚的空間效應(yīng)分析,驗(yàn)證了經(jīng)濟(jì)集聚與污染集聚之間表現(xiàn)為"N型"環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線,且工業(yè)化與城鎮(zhèn)化存在雙門檻效應(yīng)。當(dāng)工業(yè)化率介于41.76%與44.89%之間或城鎮(zhèn)化率高于88.50%,經(jīng)濟(jì)集聚產(chǎn)生的負(fù)面效應(yīng)最小,EKC曲線中改善的"拐點(diǎn)"值最小,惡化的"拐點(diǎn)"值最大,即經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展可以迅速跨過越發(fā)展越污染的拐點(diǎn),進(jìn)入再發(fā)展少污染的軌道,并推遲下一個(gè)拐點(diǎn)的到來。在分析"十二五"時(shí)期各省市工業(yè)化與城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀和"拐點(diǎn)"特征基礎(chǔ)上,提出"十三五"時(shí)期各省市經(jīng)濟(jì)與環(huán)境協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對策建議,即優(yōu)先推進(jìn)江浙滬的協(xié)同發(fā)展;以北京和天津?yàn)橐I(lǐng)推動(dòng)京津冀一體化發(fā)展;在泛珠三角區(qū)域合作大背景下推進(jìn)廣東與福建的協(xié)同發(fā)展,深化閩粵經(jīng)濟(jì)合作;依托環(huán)渤海與京津冀經(jīng)濟(jì)圈的區(qū)位優(yōu)勢實(shí)現(xiàn)山東與遼寧的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,以此重點(diǎn)突破東北困境。
[Abstract]:By establishing the double threshold effect model of industrialization and urbanization, and analyzing the spatial effect of environmental economic agglomeration, this paper verifies the "N-type" environmental Kuznets curve between economic agglomeration and pollution agglomeration. When the industrialization rate is between 41.76% and 44.89% or the urbanization rate is higher than 88.50, the negative effect of economic agglomeration is the least. The value of "inflection point" improved in EKC curve is the smallest, and the value of "inflection point" of deterioration is the largest, that is, economic development can quickly cross the inflection point of more development and more pollution, and enter the track of redevelopment with less pollution. And postpone the arrival of the next inflection point. On the basis of analyzing the current situation of industrialization and urbanization of provinces and cities and the characteristics of "inflection point" during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. The countermeasures and suggestions of coordinated development of economy and environment of provinces and cities in the period of the 13th Five-Year Plan are put forward, that is, priority should be given to promoting the coordinated development of Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai; Beijing and Tianjin as the guide to promote the integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei development; Under the background of the regional cooperation in the Pan-Pearl River Delta, we should promote the coordinated development between Guangdong and Fujian, and deepen the economic cooperation between Fujian and Guangdong. Based on the regional advantages of Bohai Sea and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei economic circle, the coordinated development of Shandong and Liaoning is realized, and the difficulty of Northeast China is broken through.
【作者單位】： 江西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)協(xié)同創(chuàng)新中心;華東交通大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社科基金重大招標(biāo)項(xiàng)目(15ZDC021) 國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(71263020) 江西省科技落地計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(KJLD12064) 江西省高校哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)重大招標(biāo)項(xiàng)目(ZDGG201305)
【分類號】：F299.21;F424;X196
【正文快照】： 引言工業(yè)化是傳統(tǒng)農(nóng)業(yè)社會(huì)逐步轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)楝F(xiàn)代化工業(yè)社會(huì)的過程,一方面表現(xiàn)為大工業(yè)生產(chǎn)方式取代小農(nóng)生產(chǎn)方式的工業(yè)化進(jìn)程,另一方面表現(xiàn)為農(nóng)村人口向城鎮(zhèn)聚集,農(nóng)業(yè)社會(huì)向工業(yè)社會(huì)轉(zhuǎn)變的城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程。我國實(shí)現(xiàn)工業(yè)化的任務(wù),是第一個(gè)五年計(jì)劃提出來的,自“一五”計(jì)劃開始至今“十三

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