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云南省住宅地產(chǎn)區(qū)域差異分析及影響因素研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-11-18 17:58
【摘要】:1998年我國(guó)開始全面推進(jìn)住房制度的改革,取消了福利分房政策,轉(zhuǎn)向了住宅的市場(chǎng)化,住宅私有化開始登上歷史的舞臺(tái),使得居民購(gòu)房熱潮高漲,房地產(chǎn)進(jìn)入快速發(fā)展的階段。 云南省的房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展相對(duì)全國(guó)來說比較落后,但隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,房地產(chǎn)業(yè)在開發(fā)投資的規(guī)模、速度和水平上都有了較大的發(fā)展。但是在從云南省各州市的情況來看,發(fā)展很不均衡,區(qū)域發(fā)展差異很大。本文以云南省各州市為研究對(duì)象,通過單因素和綜合因素分析相結(jié)合的方法,全面分析了云南省住宅地產(chǎn)發(fā)展的差異,總結(jié)各區(qū)域發(fā)展的特點(diǎn),研究形成具體差異的原因并提出促進(jìn)住宅地產(chǎn)發(fā)展的建議。對(duì)云南省整個(gè)住宅房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展有著借鑒意義。 本文第一部分闡述了研究背景、目的、意義、國(guó)內(nèi)外的研究現(xiàn)狀和研究方案和技術(shù)路線等。第二部分介紹了房地產(chǎn)的一些相關(guān)基礎(chǔ)理論,主要包括:房地產(chǎn)基礎(chǔ)理論、區(qū)位理論、區(qū)域非均衡理論、供求理論等為文章下文分析奠定了理論基礎(chǔ)。第三部分分析了云南省整個(gè)住宅市場(chǎng)的運(yùn)行情況,,主要從宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境、住宅投資規(guī)模、供給銷售情況和價(jià)格購(gòu)買能力幾個(gè)角度進(jìn)行分析,得出了整個(gè)云南省住宅發(fā)地產(chǎn)發(fā)展的特點(diǎn)。第四部分是對(duì)云南省各州市住宅房地產(chǎn)的投資規(guī)模、投資結(jié)構(gòu)、投資空間分布情況、供給、需求、市場(chǎng)發(fā)展成熟度、價(jià)格和購(gòu)買力水平等幾個(gè)方面進(jìn)行了單因素區(qū)域差異分析,其次根據(jù)各個(gè)差異指標(biāo)運(yùn)用聚類分析法將云南省住宅房地產(chǎn)的發(fā)展分為了五個(gè)發(fā)展區(qū),并總結(jié)了每個(gè)發(fā)展區(qū)的特點(diǎn)。第五部分以房?jī)r(jià)為代表指標(biāo),根據(jù)第四部分的分類結(jié)果,結(jié)合實(shí)際發(fā)展情況和樣本充足性的原則將五個(gè)發(fā)展區(qū)合并為四個(gè)區(qū)域。分別對(duì)每個(gè)區(qū)域作為研究對(duì)象,建立面板模型,研究各個(gè)區(qū)域?qū)ψ≌瑑r(jià)的影響因素。采用了2004年到2012年各個(gè)州市的數(shù)據(jù),選取了人均GDP、城鎮(zhèn)人均可支配收入、城鎮(zhèn)人口、金融機(jī)構(gòu)貸款余額、建成區(qū)面積和財(cái)政支出等六項(xiàng)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行研究。得出對(duì)第一發(fā)展區(qū)影響顯著的因素有城鎮(zhèn)人口、建成區(qū)面積、人均可支配收入和財(cái)政支出;對(duì)第二發(fā)展區(qū)影響顯著的因素有人均可支配收入、城鎮(zhèn)人口、金融機(jī)構(gòu)貸款余額;對(duì)第三、四類發(fā)展區(qū)來說顯著的影響因素均為城鎮(zhèn)人均可支配收入和人均GDP。最后一部分為結(jié)論并針對(duì)以上的研究分析結(jié)果提出對(duì)策性的建議,主要包括:1、加快經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、縮小區(qū)域差異。2、加速推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程。3、加快保障性住房和小戶型住房的建設(shè),緩解中低收入人群的購(gòu)房壓力。4、制定相對(duì)完善的財(cái)政政策和金融調(diào)控政策調(diào)控房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:In 1998, our country began to promote the reform of housing system in an all-round way, cancelled the welfare housing division policy, turned to the housing marketization, the housing privatization began to mount the historical stage, made the residents purchase the house upsurge, the real estate entered the rapid development stage. The development of the real estate industry in Yunnan Province is relatively backward compared with the whole country, but with the development of the economy, the scale, speed and level of the investment in the development of the real estate industry have been greatly developed. However, from the situation of Yunnan Province, the development is very uneven, regional development is very different. This paper takes every city of Yunnan Province as the research object, through the method of combining the single factor and the comprehensive factor analysis, analyzes the difference of the residential real estate development in Yunnan Province, summarizes the characteristics of the regional development. This paper studies the causes of the difference and puts forward some suggestions to promote the development of residential real estate. For the development of the entire housing real estate industry in Yunnan Province has reference significance. The first part of this paper describes the research background, purpose, significance, domestic and foreign research status, research programs and technical routes. The second part introduces some basic theories of real estate, including: real estate basic theory, location theory, regional disequilibrium theory, supply and demand theory and so on. The third part analyzes the operation of the whole housing market in Yunnan Province, mainly from the macroeconomic environment, housing investment scale, supply and sales situation and price purchasing ability. Obtained the whole Yunnan Province residential real estate development characteristics. The fourth part analyzes the single factor regional difference in investment scale, investment structure, investment spatial distribution, supply, demand, market maturity, price and purchasing power level of residential real estate in various cities of Yunnan Province. Secondly, the development of residential real estate in Yunnan Province is divided into five development areas by cluster analysis, and the characteristics of each development area are summarized. The fifth part takes housing price as the representative index, according to the classification result of the fourth part, combines the actual development situation and the principle of sample adequacy to merge the five development areas into four regions. For each area as the research object, the panel model is established to study the impact of each area on housing prices. Based on the data of each city from 2004 to 2012, this paper selects the per capita GDP, per capita disposable income, urban population, loan balance of financial institutions, the area of built-up areas and fiscal expenditure. The factors that have significant influence on the first development area are the urban population, the area of the built-up area, the per capita disposable income and the fiscal expenditure, and the factors that have a significant impact on the second development area are the per capita disposable income, the urban population and the loan balance of the financial institutions. The significant factors affecting the third and four types of development areas are urban per capita disposable income and per capita GDP.. The last part is the conclusion and puts forward the countermeasure suggestion according to the above research and analysis result, mainly includes: 1, quicken the economic development, reduce the regional difference. 2, accelerate the urbanization process. 3. Speed up the construction of affordable housing and small-sized housing, ease the pressure on low-income people to buy houses. 4. Formulate relatively perfect fiscal and financial policies to control the development of real estate.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F299.23

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