基于灰色理論的我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè) 產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián) 灰色理論 出處:《上海工程技術(shù)大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)系著一個(gè)國(guó)家未來(lái)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展方式,是產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的核心和基礎(chǔ)。金融危機(jī)的影響和環(huán)境資源危機(jī)的加重,促使我國(guó)必須加快產(chǎn)業(yè)的優(yōu)化和升級(jí),因此如何建成一批產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈完善,創(chuàng)新能力強(qiáng)的戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè),不斷擴(kuò)大產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)模和關(guān)聯(lián)度,是推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)、調(diào)整經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式的重要措施。對(duì)于戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展問(wèn)題的探索,有利于我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)更好、更快的發(fā)展。由于我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的數(shù)據(jù)指標(biāo)不完善、統(tǒng)計(jì)口徑不確定,大多數(shù)學(xué)者對(duì)于戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展的研究主要停留在定性分析角度,對(duì)于產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)問(wèn)題缺乏定量分析。產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展必須通過(guò)一定的要素變量來(lái)實(shí)現(xiàn),不同的指標(biāo)在產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)的權(quán)重水平,既能反應(yīng)不同要素在產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)的分配情況,又能體現(xiàn)不同產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)于要素需求的相關(guān)性問(wèn)題。因此,從不同要素在產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)的權(quán)重方面來(lái)全面分析戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展問(wèn)題具有重要意義。本文共有七章。第一章為緒論,介紹了本文選題的相關(guān)背景及研究意義,并且在國(guó)內(nèi)外研究綜述的基礎(chǔ)上,闡述了本文研究的主要內(nèi)容與結(jié)構(gòu)路線,指出了本文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)。第二章為本文的相關(guān)理論,介紹了戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)、產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)、灰色關(guān)聯(lián)等理論的概念及特征,引入了相關(guān)的分析模型,最后本文對(duì)相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行了述評(píng)。第三章介紹了世界主要國(guó)家戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展規(guī)劃、發(fā)展概況。同時(shí)指出對(duì)我國(guó)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的重要啟示。強(qiáng)調(diào)了相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的重要作用,以及小微企業(yè)在產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展中的特點(diǎn)。第四章主要介紹了我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展環(huán)境與我國(guó)在戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)方面的科技投入,同時(shí)也指出了政策資金的重要作用,最后總結(jié)了我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的基本特征。第五章在以往研究的基礎(chǔ)上,建立了我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展的指標(biāo)體系。并且利用德?tīng)柗品?建立了關(guān)于五個(gè)一級(jí)指標(biāo)、十一個(gè)二級(jí)指標(biāo)的我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展研究指標(biāo)體系,并分別計(jì)算各自權(quán)重。同時(shí),引入熵值賦權(quán)法,對(duì)我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)在各指標(biāo)下的權(quán)重進(jìn)行計(jì)算。第六章主要介紹了灰色關(guān)聯(lián)理論的相關(guān)性質(zhì),介紹了幾種常用的灰色關(guān)聯(lián)模型并進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià),研究了灰色關(guān)聯(lián)序的敏感性問(wèn)題。最后,利用灰色理論模型對(duì)我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展問(wèn)題,進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究。借助權(quán)重來(lái)表征系統(tǒng)行為,利用熵值賦權(quán)法的權(quán)重結(jié)果作為灰色關(guān)聯(lián)模型的參考序列,德?tīng)柗品?quán)重結(jié)果作為比較序列,對(duì)我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)各子產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)行灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析,構(gòu)建灰色關(guān)聯(lián)模型,計(jì)算各子產(chǎn)業(yè)的權(quán)重序列與參考序列的關(guān)聯(lián)度,得到相應(yīng)的關(guān)聯(lián)序,并對(duì)我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展研究的實(shí)證結(jié)果進(jìn)行分析。第七章對(duì)我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展問(wèn)題,提出本文的對(duì)策建議。指出我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展應(yīng)當(dāng)注重各產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的融合,并認(rèn)為產(chǎn)業(yè)政策應(yīng)當(dāng)與產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展階段相匹配。另外,本文認(rèn)為科技創(chuàng)新、金融市場(chǎng)、產(chǎn)業(yè)融合等方面對(duì)我國(guó)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)發(fā)展問(wèn)題都具有十分重要的作用。
[Abstract]:The relationship between strategic emerging industry development mode of a country's economic future, is the core and foundation of industrial development. Increasing the impact of the financial crisis and environmental crisis, prompting China must speed up the optimization and upgrading of the industry, so how to built a complete industrial chain, strong innovation ability of strategic emerging industry, expanding industry the scale and degree of association, is to promote the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure, an important measure to adjust the mode of economic development. To explore the Association for the development of strategic emerging industries, is conducive to China's strategic emerging industry better and faster development. Because the data index of China's strategic emerging industry is not perfect, the statistical uncertainty for research association the development of strategic emerging industries most scholars mainly focus on the qualitative analysis angle, the quantitative analysis of the lack of Industry Association industry association development. Must be realized by variable factors, the weight of different levels of indicators in the industry, not only react to different distribution in factor within the industry, but also reflects the different industries for correlation factor demand. Therefore, different from the weight factor in the industry level in a comprehensive analysis of the problems related to the development of strategic emerging industries is of great significance. This paper consists of seven chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, introduces the background and significance of this topic related research foundation, and research at home and abroad, expounds the main contents of this paper and the structure of the route, pointed out the innovation of this paper. The second chapter is the theory of this article, introduced. Strategic emerging industries, industry association, the concept and characteristics of grey correlation theory, introduced the analysis model, finally this paper gives a review of related theories. The third chapter introduces the world The general situation of the development of community planning, major national strategic emerging industry development. At the same time, pointed out the important enlightenment of the development of strategic emerging industries of our country. To emphasize the important role of relevant industrial policies, in the industrial development and the characteristics of Small and micro businesses. The fourth chapter mainly introduces the development environment of China's strategic emerging industries in China in terms of strategic emerging industries investment in science and technology, but also pointed out the important role of policy funds, finally summarizes the basic characteristics of China's strategic emerging industry development. Based on the previous study in the fifth chapter, establishes the index system of China's strategic emerging industry association development. And using the Delphi method, was established on the five one class index, eleven level two indexes of China's strategic emerging industry association development research index system, and calculate their weight. At the same time, the introduction of entropy weighting method, The weight of China's strategic emerging industries under each index were calculated. The sixth chapter mainly introduces the related properties of grey relational theory, introduces several commonly used grey correlation model and evaluate the sensitivity, studies the problem of grey incidence order. Finally, by using the grey theory model of China's strategic emerging industry development association and the empirical research. By means of weight characterization of system behavior, weights using entropy method as a result of the reference sequence of gray correlation model, Delphi weight as a result of comparison, the gray correlation analysis of China's strategic emerging industries sub industry, constructing the grey correlation model, correlation calculation and reference weight sequence the sequence of each sub industry, get the corresponding relationship, and empirical research on the development of China's strategic emerging industry association analysis of the results of the seventh chapter. On the issue of China's strategic emerging industry association development, countermeasures and suggestions are put forward in this paper. It is pointed out that the development of China's strategic emerging industry should focus on the integration between the various industries, and that industrial policy should match the stage of industrial development. In addition, this paper argues that the scientific and technological innovation, financial market, industrial integration and other aspects play an important role on the issue of China's strategic emerging industry development association.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海工程技術(shù)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F276.44
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