【摘要】：對(duì)44個(gè)國(guó)家的面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析后發(fā)現(xiàn),盡管大學(xué)擴(kuò)招對(duì)當(dāng)期勞動(dòng)參與率帶來(lái)了負(fù)面影響,卻有助于緩解人口轉(zhuǎn)變過(guò)程中結(jié)構(gòu)性失業(yè)帶來(lái)的不利沖擊,從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看,高校擴(kuò)招對(duì)后期勞動(dòng)參與率具有明顯的提升作用。在老齡化程度較高的國(guó)家,提高高等教育入學(xué)率對(duì)抑制結(jié)構(gòu)性失業(yè)的負(fù)面沖擊更為明顯;而對(duì)于老齡化程度較低的國(guó)家,高校擴(kuò)招更有助于促進(jìn)后期勞動(dòng)參與率回升,從而有助于解決未來(lái)人口老齡化帶來(lái)的潛在風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。我國(guó)進(jìn)入老齡化社會(huì)以來(lái),高校實(shí)行擴(kuò)招政策在應(yīng)對(duì)人口老齡化問(wèn)題方面具有重要的戰(zhàn)略意義。
[Abstract]:An analysis of panel data from 44 countries shows that, although the expansion of university enrollment has had a negative impact on the current labour force participation rate, it has helped to mitigate the adverse impact of structural unemployment during the demographic transition. In the long run, The expansion of college enrollment plays a significant role in promoting the labor force participation rate in the later period. In countries with a higher degree of ageing, the negative impact of increasing higher education enrolment rates on curbing structural unemployment is more pronounced, while in countries with a lower level of ageing, the expansion of higher education helps to promote a rise in the labour force participation rate in the later period. This will help to address the potential risks posed by future population ageing. Since China entered the aging society, the policy of enrollment expansion in colleges and universities has important strategic significance in dealing with the problem of population aging.
【作者單位】： 中山大學(xué)政治與公共事務(wù)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金重大項(xiàng)目(15ARK001)
【分類號(hào)】：G649.2

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本文編號(hào)：2189032