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碳稅、能源強(qiáng)度對(duì)我國(guó)工業(yè)行業(yè)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新影響研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-04-24 08:16
【摘要】:我國(guó)碳稅政策實(shí)施迫在眉睫,征收碳稅實(shí)現(xiàn)減排目標(biāo)的同時(shí)也會(huì)對(duì)我國(guó)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)造成一定的沖擊,而技術(shù)創(chuàng)新既可以增強(qiáng)碳稅的節(jié)能減排效應(yīng),又能夠緩解碳稅對(duì)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)的負(fù)效應(yīng),,但我國(guó)現(xiàn)階段技術(shù)創(chuàng)新尤其是低碳技術(shù)發(fā)展水平較低。因此,在征收碳稅時(shí),碳稅對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)生怎樣影響,成為能否實(shí)現(xiàn)碳減排和經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展雙重目標(biāo)的關(guān)鍵。 本文通過(guò)理論模型建立碳稅強(qiáng)度、能源強(qiáng)度及碳稅補(bǔ)貼與技術(shù)創(chuàng)新之間的關(guān)系,分析得到三個(gè)基本推論:(1)碳稅強(qiáng)度與工業(yè)的技術(shù)創(chuàng)新之間存在倒“U”關(guān)系;(2)能源強(qiáng)度對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)生正效應(yīng);(3)碳稅補(bǔ)貼對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的影響存在不確定性。進(jìn)一步,我們選取2004—2011年中國(guó)37個(gè)行業(yè)面板數(shù)據(jù),實(shí)證驗(yàn)證了這三個(gè)推論。在實(shí)證分析過(guò)程中還發(fā)現(xiàn):我國(guó)工業(yè)行業(yè)能源消耗與碳排放之間存在非對(duì)稱(chēng)性;我國(guó)工業(yè)行業(yè)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新投入效率較低;無(wú)論是創(chuàng)新投入碳稅補(bǔ)貼還是創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出碳稅補(bǔ)貼都能夠推動(dòng)工業(yè)行業(yè)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新能的發(fā)展,增強(qiáng)碳稅對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的激勵(lì)作用,減弱能源強(qiáng)度對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的負(fù)效應(yīng);整體上來(lái)說(shuō),創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出碳稅補(bǔ)貼對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新影響比創(chuàng)新投入碳稅補(bǔ)貼更佳;外商直接投資對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)生負(fù)效應(yīng);研發(fā)資本投入和勞動(dòng)力投入與技術(shù)創(chuàng)新之間存在正相關(guān)。
[Abstract]:The implementation of China's carbon tax policy is imminent, while the carbon tax will achieve emission reduction targets, it will also have a certain impact on the macro-economy of our country, and technological innovation can not only enhance the energy-saving and emission-reducing effects of the carbon tax, It can also alleviate the negative effect of carbon tax on macro-economy, but the development level of technology innovation, especially low-carbon technology is relatively low in our country at present. Therefore, the impact of carbon tax on technological innovation is the key to achieve the dual goals of carbon emission reduction and sustainable economic development. This paper establishes the relationship between carbon tax intensity, energy intensity, carbon tax subsidy and technological innovation through the theoretical model. Three basic corollaries are obtained: (1) there is an inverted U relationship between the intensity of carbon tax and the technological innovation of industry; (2) the energy intensity has a positive effect on technological innovation; (3) the influence of carbon tax subsidy on technological innovation is uncertain. Furthermore, we select 37 industry panel data from 2004 to 2011 to verify these three corollaries. In the process of empirical analysis, it is also found that there is asymmetry between energy consumption and carbon emission in China's industrial industry, low input efficiency of technological innovation in China's industrial industry, and low investment efficiency in technological innovation in China's industrial industry. Whether it is the carbon tax subsidy of innovation input or the carbon tax subsidy of innovation output, it can promote the development of technology innovation energy in industrial industry, enhance the incentive effect of carbon tax on technology innovation, and weaken the negative effect of energy intensity on technology innovation. Overall, the carbon tax subsidy for innovation output has a better impact on technological innovation than the carbon tax subsidy for innovation input; foreign direct investment has a negative effect on technological innovation; and there is a positive correlation between R & D capital input and labor input and technological innovation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:暨南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F812.42;F424.3;F205

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