【摘要】：以山西省11個地級市為基本研究單元,以旅游收入作為衡量旅游經(jīng)濟規(guī)模的主要指標,借用等級鐘理論、馬爾科夫轉(zhuǎn)移概率矩陣、位序-規(guī)模法則、差異度模型等研究方法,分析了2002-2011年山西省旅游經(jīng)濟的位序、規(guī)模類型、等級規(guī)模結(jié)構(gòu)等的演變趨勢。結(jié)果顯示:中等旅游收入城市的位序變動相對較為頻繁;城市的旅游經(jīng)濟規(guī)模類型緩慢地向高層次發(fā)展,旅游經(jīng)濟規(guī)模較小的城市的類型轉(zhuǎn)移較為頻繁;旅游經(jīng)濟規(guī)模分布基本遵循位序-規(guī)模法則,但具有雙分形特征,標度區(qū)一的旅游經(jīng)濟規(guī)模結(jié)構(gòu)較為均衡,標度區(qū)二則集中程度較高,并且二者表現(xiàn)出不同的演變趨勢;從差異度來看,旅游經(jīng)濟規(guī)模結(jié)構(gòu)總體持續(xù)處于高水平的均衡分布狀態(tài),但標度區(qū)一和標度區(qū)二的演變趨勢卻又不太一致。
[Abstract]:Taking 11 prefecture-level cities of Shanxi Province as the basic research unit and taking the tourism income as the main index to measure the scale of tourism economy, using the theory of grade clock, Markov transfer probability matrix, the rule of order-scale and the model of difference degree, etc. This paper analyzes the evolution trend of tourism economy in Shanxi Province from 2002 to 2011, such as order, scale type, scale structure and so on. The results show that the order of middle-income cities is relatively frequent, the type of tourism economy develops slowly to high level, and the types of cities with smaller size of tourism economy shift more frequently. The scale distribution of tourism economy basically follows the rule of order-scale, but it has the characteristic of bifractal, the scale area one is more balanced, the scale area two is more concentrated, and the two show different evolution trend. From the perspective of the degree of difference, the scale structure of tourism economy remains in a high-level equilibrium distribution state, but the evolution trend of scale zone one and scale two is not quite the same.
【作者單位】： 運城學(xué)院管理科學(xué)與工程研究所;運城學(xué)院經(jīng)濟管理系;山西財經(jīng)大學(xué)管理科學(xué)與工程學(xué)院;
【基金】：山西省重點扶持學(xué)科管理科學(xué)與工程學(xué)科建設(shè)項目《山西入境旅游流轉(zhuǎn)移規(guī)律研究》(編號:XK-2012013) 運城學(xué)院研究生科研啟動基金項目《山西旅游發(fā)展動力機制研究》資助
【分類號】：F592.7

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