【摘要】：針對重大傳染病疫情發(fā)生時跨區(qū)域協(xié)同應急需求,構(gòu)建應急物資跨區(qū)域協(xié)同調(diào)配的系統(tǒng)動力學模型�；趥魅静�、物資調(diào)配和反饋機制三個子系統(tǒng),分析關(guān)鍵因素及其因果關(guān)聯(lián),設計數(shù)據(jù)流圖,并按不同受災程度將各區(qū)域劃分為輕度、中度和重度災區(qū),枚舉可能的跨區(qū)域應急協(xié)同調(diào)配方案。以長三角聯(lián)防聯(lián)控甲型H1N1流感疫情為例,設置相關(guān)參數(shù)方程,對所構(gòu)模型檢測現(xiàn)實性和穩(wěn)定性,且分別對關(guān)鍵參數(shù)影響、差異化區(qū)域特征和跨區(qū)域應急協(xié)同方案選擇實施仿真分析,研究結(jié)果為科學構(gòu)建跨區(qū)域應急協(xié)同體系提供有益參考。
[Abstract]:The system dynamics model of cross-regional coordinated deployment of emergency materials was established to meet the needs of cross-regional coordination of emergency materials when the epidemic situation of major infectious diseases occurred. Based on the three subsystems of infectious disease, material allocation and feedback mechanism, this paper analyzes the key factors and their causality, designs the data flow diagram, and divides the regions into mild, moderate and severe disaster areas according to the different degree of disaster. Enumerate possible cross-regional emergency coordination schemes. Taking the joint prevention and control of influenza A (H1N1) in the Yangtze River Delta as an example, the relevant parameter equations are set up to test the reality and stability of the model, and to influence the key parameters respectively. The characteristics of differentiated region and the selection and implementation of cross-regional emergency coordination scheme are simulated and analyzed. The results provide a useful reference for the scientific construction of cross-regional emergency coordination system.
【作者單位】： 南京信息工程大學經(jīng)濟管理學院;
【基金】：國家自然科學基金資助項目(71571103) 國家留學基金資助項目(201709040001) 江蘇高校品牌專業(yè)建設工程資助項目 江蘇高校優(yōu)勢學科建設工程資助項目
【分類號】：R181.8;R511.7

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