農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)工具研究及在蘋果園管理中的應用
本文選題:農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng) + 蘋果園管理 ; 參考:《山東農(nóng)業(yè)大學》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:鑒于農(nóng)業(yè)問題的多樣性、復雜性和我國農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展的不平衡性,農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)在農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化發(fā)展中的地位是無可替代的。農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)可以應用到只有農(nóng)業(yè)專家才能解決的問題,有效指導農(nóng)民科學種田、養(yǎng)殖,實現(xiàn)農(nóng)業(yè)的持續(xù)優(yōu)質(zhì)、高產(chǎn)、高效發(fā)展。然而因為缺乏通用的專家系統(tǒng)開發(fā)平臺、無法編輯知識庫等問題制約了專家系統(tǒng)在農(nóng)業(yè)領(lǐng)域的推廣應用。研究開發(fā)一套通用的農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)開發(fā)工具,具有理論意義和應用推廣價值。本研究運用專家系統(tǒng)原理和系統(tǒng)工程知識,構(gòu)建農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)的通用框架結(jié)構(gòu),建立一個簡單易用的農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)開發(fā)工具,并總結(jié)蘋果園管理的知識經(jīng)驗,收集數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建相關(guān)模型,最終搭建一套蘋果園管理專家系統(tǒng)。具體研究內(nèi)容及成果如下:(1)通用的農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)開發(fā)工具。通過分析專家系統(tǒng)制作平臺的功能特點,以及所生成的專家系統(tǒng)的結(jié)構(gòu),研究農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)的通用工具;在對農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)結(jié)構(gòu)進行分析的基礎(chǔ)上,將其歸結(jié)為基于“選項”、“輸入?yún)?shù)”、“選項+輸入?yún)?shù)”3種模式組合成決策條件鏈的定量與定性多層次的決策服務(wù)。根據(jù)通用性的要求和設(shè)計原則,對系統(tǒng)進行架構(gòu)、功能、邏輯設(shè)計,最終完成通用的農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)開發(fā)工具的研發(fā)。(2)蘋果園管理知識與模型。運用模糊綜合評價、聚類分析等數(shù)學方法,對建園策略、栽培管理、品種評價等問題進行研究,完成蘋果建園評價及品種評價模型的構(gòu)建,同時對蘋果園管理技術(shù)知識進行歸納總結(jié)。根據(jù)土壤、氣象指標,完成對建園條件的評價,為蘋果樹的“適地適樹”栽培提供依據(jù)。結(jié)合山東省各地市的氣象數(shù)據(jù),對適栽品種給出了建議。根據(jù)抗寒、抗旱、抗?jié)、耐鹽堿、高產(chǎn)、優(yōu)質(zhì)六大指標,完成對栽培品種的評價,對蘋果品種的選育、推廣具有應用價值。(3)蘋果園管理專家系統(tǒng)。將蘋果園管理知識與相關(guān)模型導入農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)開發(fā)平臺中,完成蘋果園管理專家系統(tǒng)的開發(fā)。應用該系統(tǒng)可以有效促進蘋果園生產(chǎn)管理的科學化、定量化,滿足果農(nóng)隨時隨地的專家咨詢需求,更加便捷地解決生產(chǎn)管理中遇到的難題,實現(xiàn)蘋果優(yōu)質(zhì)豐產(chǎn)低耗,提高果農(nóng)經(jīng)濟效益。
[Abstract]:In view of the diversity and complexity of agricultural problems and the imbalance of agricultural development in China, the position of agricultural expert system in the development of agricultural modernization is irreplaceable. Agricultural expert system can be applied to the problems that only agricultural experts can solve. It can effectively guide farmers to farm and breed scientifically and realize the sustainable development of high quality, high yield and high efficiency of agriculture. However, due to the lack of a general expert system development platform and the lack of editing knowledge base, the popularization and application of expert system in the field of agriculture are restricted. It is of theoretical significance and application value to develop a set of general agricultural expert system development tools. Based on the theory of expert system and the knowledge of system engineering, the general frame structure of agricultural expert system is constructed, a simple and easy-to-use development tool of agricultural expert system is established, and the knowledge and experience of apple orchard management are summarized. Collect data to build relevant models, and finally build a set of apple orchard management expert system. Specific research contents and results are as follows: 1) General agricultural expert system development tools. By analyzing the functional characteristics of the expert system making platform and the structure of the generated expert system, the paper studies the general tools of the agricultural expert system, and based on the analysis of the structure of the agricultural expert system, it is summed up as based on "options". "input parameter" and "option input parameter" are combined to form quantitative and qualitative multi-level decision service of decision condition chain. According to the general requirements and design principles, the structure, function and logic design of the system are carried out. Finally, the development of the general agricultural expert system development tools. 2) the apple orchard management knowledge and model is completed. By means of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, cluster analysis and other mathematical methods, this paper studies the establishment strategy, cultivation management and variety evaluation of apple, and completes the construction of apple garden evaluation and variety evaluation model. At the same time, the technical knowledge of apple orchard management is summarized. According to the soil and meteorological indexes, the evaluation of the conditions for the establishment of the orchard was completed, which provided the basis for the cultivation of apple trees. Based on the meteorological data of various cities in Shandong Province, some suggestions on suitable varieties are given. According to the six indexes of cold resistance, drought resistance, waterlogging resistance, salt and alkali tolerance, high yield and good quality, the evaluation of cultivated varieties was completed, and the selection and popularization of apple varieties were carried out. The management knowledge and related models of apple orchard were introduced into the development platform of agricultural expert system to complete the development of apple orchard management expert system. The application of the system can effectively promote the scientific and quantitative management of apple orchard, meet the expert consultation needs of fruit farmers at any time and anywhere, solve the problems encountered in the production management more conveniently, and realize the high quality, high yield and low consumption of apple. Improve the economic benefit of fruit farmers.
【學位授予單位】:山東農(nóng)業(yè)大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:TP182;S661.1
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