在農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟中,氣候變化引發(fā)的風險不可避免地影響著那些依賴農(nóng)業(yè)生計的農(nóng)戶。當沖擊發(fā)生時,它不僅會減少小農(nóng)戶的收入,還會影響他們的農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)和風險應對行為。在缺乏正式保險市場的情況下,農(nóng)民經(jīng)常使用短期的非正式的風險防范措施,如信貸、預防性儲蓄和資產(chǎn)出售,這些措施盡管不能徹底使農(nóng)戶從沖擊中恢復,但也能提供一定的分散風險作用。近年來,牲畜指數(shù)保險被認為是牧區(qū)管理系統(tǒng)性風險的一種創(chuàng)新的和可行的保險工具,但目前缺乏牲畜指數(shù)保險對非洲農(nóng)戶短期非正式風險應對措施影響的研究。因此,本文主要的研究目的是基于埃塞俄比南部Borena地區(qū)牧民家庭層面的面板數(shù)據(jù),考察牲畜指數(shù)保險對農(nóng)戶牲畜銷售、貸款、儲蓄及未參保家禽飼養(yǎng)行為的影響。具體地,使用固定效應模型估計牲畜指數(shù)保險對牧民牲畜銷售行為的影響,結(jié)果顯示,購買保險的牧民家庭不太可能銷售牲畜。根據(jù)經(jīng)驗,這一發(fā)現(xiàn)似乎對減少家庭的牲畜銷售行為具有積極而顯著的作用。這表明,保險可以降低牧民對可能發(fā)生的牲畜損失的擔憂。因此,可以減少不必要的牲畜銷售,從而維持家庭的經(jīng)濟增長。使用相同的計量方法,分析保險對牧民信貸行為的影響,結(jié)果表明保險對牧民家庭的貸款行為具有顯著的正影響。... 

【文章來源】：中國農(nóng)業(yè)科學院北京市

【文章頁數(shù)】：132 頁

【學位級別】：博士

【文章目錄】：
摘要
Abstract
Dedication
Chapter 1 Introduction and overall aims
    1.1.Background information
    1.2.Statement of the problem
    1.3.General objective
        1.3.1.Specific objectives
    1.4.Research questions
    1.5.Significance
    1.6.Scope and limitation
    1.7.Organization of the thesis
Chapter 2 Literature review
    2.1.Empirical literature
        2.1.1.Introduction
        2.1.2.Agriculture sector in Ethiopian economy
        2.1.3.An overview of agricultural insurance
        2.1.4.Index-Based Livestock Insurance(IBLI)
        2.1.5.Insurance and livestock marketing
        2.1.6.Insurance and agricultural loan uptake behaviour
        2.1.7.Relationship between insurance and saving in Ethiopia
        2.1.8.Relationship between insurance and uninsured poultry production
    2.2.Coceptual framework of IBLI
Chapter 3 Research Setting and Methodology
    3.1.Study area
    3.2.Data type and source
    3.3.Data sampling framework:
Chapter 4 Effect of index-based livestock insurance on herd offtake
    4.1.Introduction
    4.2.Estimation strategy
    4.3.Results and discussion
        4.3.1.Summary statistics
        4.3.2.Empirical results and discussions
    4.4.Attrition analysis
    4.5.Conclusions
Chapter 5 Effect of index-based livestock insurance on loan uptake
    5.1.introduction
    5.2.Estimation strategy
    5.3.Result and discussion
        5.3.1.Descriptive result and discussion
        5.3.2.Empirical results and discussion
        5.3.3.Robustness check
    5.4.Attrition Analysis
    5.5.Conclusions
Chapter 6 Saving spill over the Index-based livestock insurance
    6.1.Introduction
    6.2.Estimation strategy
    6.3.Result and discussions
        6.3.1.Summary statistics
        6.3.2.Empirical result and discussion
    6.4.Conclusion
Chapter 7 The impact of weather index-based livestock insurance on non-insured poultryproduction
    7.1.Introduction
    7.2.Empirical strategy
    7.3.Results and discussion
        7.3.1.Summary statistics
        7.3.2.Empirical results and discussion
    7.4.Conclusion
Chapter 8 General conclusions and Policy implications
    8.1.General conclusions
    8.2.Implications for policy and practice
Reference
Appendixes
Acknowledgements
Author's Biography



本文編號：3640578