發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-02-05 19:21

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 生育意愿 生育行為 生育數(shù)量 生育性別比　出處：《華中科技大學(xué)》2011年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：以往關(guān)于生育意愿的研究頗多,卻存在研究方法單一、研究視角宏觀、研究內(nèi)容片面等方面的局限。本文利用湖北省人口學(xué)會(huì)2010年課題“湖北省出生性別比偏高問題綜合治理研究”課題組收集到的數(shù)據(jù),從生育數(shù)量和生育性別兩個(gè)維度,分析生育意愿和生育行為差異,進(jìn)而闡釋這種差異產(chǎn)生的影響因素。從分析生育意愿與生育行為的差異著手,準(zhǔn)確把握人口生育意愿與生育行為的現(xiàn)狀,有利于確定工作的重點(diǎn),進(jìn)而尋求解決問題的有效措施。 調(diào)查結(jié)果顯示,該地區(qū)居民平均意愿生育數(shù)量2.11個(gè),實(shí)際平均生育1.74個(gè)子女;意愿生育性別比為116.8,實(shí)際生育性別比為162.4。從以上數(shù)據(jù)可以得到一個(gè)初步的判斷,生育意愿和生育行為之間存在差異性,并由此提出兩條假設(shè)。 為了對(duì)假設(shè)進(jìn)行驗(yàn)證,本文使用相關(guān)的變量,分別對(duì)35~45歲個(gè)體的實(shí)際生育數(shù)量和意愿生育數(shù)量、實(shí)際生育性別比和意愿生育性別比進(jìn)行t檢驗(yàn)。檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果顯示35~45歲的個(gè)體實(shí)際生育水平低于意愿生育水平,超過40%的個(gè)體并未完成他期望生育的數(shù)量,只有10%的個(gè)體超額完成期望生育的數(shù)量。35~45歲的調(diào)查對(duì)象實(shí)際生育性別比高于意愿生育性別比,具體表現(xiàn)在男孩具有優(yōu)先出生權(quán),在減少生育數(shù)量的時(shí)候會(huì)傾向于減少女孩的生育數(shù)量。在只能生育1個(gè)和允許生育2個(gè)孩子的情況下,實(shí)際生育性別比均高于意愿生育的性別比,高于正常值。以意愿與行為的差異類型為因變量,對(duì)差異的影響因素進(jìn)行回歸分析,結(jié)果顯示年齡,戶口,經(jīng)濟(jì)水平和性別偏好是影響生育意愿和生育行為差異的主要因素。除去以上因素,生育意愿本身的特點(diǎn)、社會(huì)因素和技術(shù)因素等也會(huì)對(duì)差異的產(chǎn)生造成一定的影響。
[Abstract]:In the past, there are many researches on fertility intention, but there is a single research method and a macro perspective. This paper makes use of the data collected by Hubei population Society in 2010, "Comprehensive Management of the problem of High birth Sex ratio in Hubei Province". From the two dimensions of fertility number and sex, this paper analyzes the difference of fertility intention and reproductive behavior, and then explains the influencing factors of the difference, and starts with the analysis of the difference between fertility intention and reproductive behavior. Accurately grasping the present situation of population fertility intention and reproductive behavior is helpful to determine the focus of work and to seek effective measures to solve the problem. The results show that the average number of willing children in this area is 2.11, and the actual average number of children is 1.74. The sex ratio of willingness to bear is 116.8, and the actual sex ratio of fertility is 162.4. From the above data, we can get a preliminary judgment, there is a difference between fertility intention and reproductive behavior. Two hypotheses are proposed. In order to verify the hypothesis, this paper uses the relevant variables to study the actual number of births and the number of willing births of 35 or 45 year old individuals. The actual sex ratio of fertility and the sex ratio of willing fertility were tested by t-test. The results showed that the actual fertility level of 35 ~ 45 years old individuals was lower than that of willing fertility level. More than 40% of the individuals did not achieve the number of children he expected to have, and only 10% of the individuals exceeded the number of expected births. The actual fertility sex ratio of the 45 year old respondents was higher than that of the willing fertility sex ratio. This is demonstrated by the fact that boys have the right to give priority to birth and tend to reduce the number of girls in the process of reducing the number of births, where only one child is allowed and two children are allowed. The actual sex ratio of fertility is higher than the sex ratio of willing to bear, which is higher than the normal value. Taking the type of difference between intention and behavior as dependent variable, regression analysis of the influencing factors of the difference is carried out, the result shows that age, household registration. Economic level and gender preference are the main factors that influence the difference of fertility intention and reproductive behavior. Social factors and technical factors will also have a certain impact on the differences.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2011
【分類號(hào)】：C924.21

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