本文關(guān)鍵詞： 中國 改革 風(fēng)險 防控　出處：《中共中央黨校》2016年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：當(dāng)代中國改革是一項艱難曲折、充滿風(fēng)險的事業(yè),自1978年至今,中國改革的巨輪已行至攻堅期深水區(qū),有了更為開闊的行進(jìn)空間,又面臨著“中流擊水、浪遏飛舟”的風(fēng)險挑戰(zhàn)。特別是,中國正處于社會轉(zhuǎn)型的關(guān)鍵期、全面建成小康社會的決勝期,決不能在根本性問題上出現(xiàn)顛覆性錯誤。改革之路從無坦途,惟其篤行,才能行穩(wěn)致遠(yuǎn)。站在歷史的重要節(jié)點上,如何充分認(rèn)識當(dāng)代中國改革的復(fù)雜性和艱巨性,對可能遇到的風(fēng)險挑戰(zhàn)高度警惕、居安思危,并能及時防范、有效控制,是一項十分重大而緊迫的現(xiàn)實課題。本論文以馬克思主義為指導(dǎo),以風(fēng)險社會理論為借鑒,以習(xí)近平關(guān)于改革風(fēng)險防控的思想為遵循,按照“問題提出——理論基礎(chǔ)——歷史考察——現(xiàn)實分析——對策建議”的思路,堅持理論與實踐相結(jié)合、立足中國與放眼世界相結(jié)合、總結(jié)歷史與剖析現(xiàn)實相結(jié)合、揭示矛盾與探尋對策相結(jié)合,綜合運用文獻(xiàn)研究法、矛盾分析法、案例分析法、歷史比較法、調(diào)查研究法等多種方法,從以下幾個方面展開研究:前言:主要闡述研究的背景、意義、現(xiàn)狀、方法、創(chuàng)新觀點等,著重分析改革風(fēng)險防控研究的現(xiàn)狀及價值。第一章:改革風(fēng)險防控研究的理論基礎(chǔ)。對研究所涉及的風(fēng)險、改革風(fēng)險、改革風(fēng)險防控等基本概念進(jìn)行界定,運用馬克思主義社會有機(jī)體理論分析改革風(fēng)險的生成機(jī)理和主要類型,借鑒風(fēng)險社會理論認(rèn)清改革風(fēng)險所產(chǎn)生的深刻背景。第二章:中外改革史上風(fēng)險防控的啟示。從風(fēng)險防控的角度,深入剖析了中國改革史上商鞅變法、王莽改制、王安石變法、晚清改良,和世界改革史上日本明治維新、美國羅斯福新政和里根改革、英國撒切爾夫人改革、蘇聯(lián)戈爾巴喬夫改革等經(jīng)典改革案例,提煉總結(jié)其中的成功經(jīng)驗及失敗教訓(xùn),為當(dāng)代中國改革提供有益借鑒。第三章:新中國成立后風(fēng)險防控的歷程。沿著歷史的線索,從縱向的角度回顧總結(jié)了毛澤東、鄧小平、江澤民、胡錦濤關(guān)于風(fēng)險防控的探索與思考,為當(dāng)前全面深化改革中做好風(fēng)險防控提供了寶貴財富。第四章:當(dāng)前中國改革面臨風(fēng)險的現(xiàn)實分析。從改革方向、改革領(lǐng)域、改革進(jìn)程、改革方法、外部環(huán)境等五個角度分析了當(dāng)前中國改革所面臨風(fēng)險的主要表現(xiàn),概括了歷時態(tài)風(fēng)險的共時性存在、制度性結(jié)構(gòu)性風(fēng)險威脅最大、改革發(fā)展與風(fēng)險之間相互影響、風(fēng)險之間的相互傳導(dǎo)不斷增強(qiáng)等主要特點,最后從社會快速轉(zhuǎn)型、市場經(jīng)濟(jì)的負(fù)面效應(yīng)、體制機(jī)制不完善、應(yīng)對風(fēng)險的經(jīng)驗?zāi)芰Σ蛔愕人膫�方面,挖掘當(dāng)前中國改革所面臨風(fēng)險的產(chǎn)生根源。第五章:全面深化改革中風(fēng)險防控的幾點思考。黨的十八大以來,習(xí)近平提出了一系列改革風(fēng)險防控思想,主要包括改革不可能沒有任何風(fēng)險,堅持改革的正確方向,堅持改革的總體方針和基本要求,樹立戰(zhàn)略、辯證、法治、系統(tǒng)、底線和創(chuàng)新思維,把握全面深化改革的重大關(guān)系等內(nèi)容,這是當(dāng)前做好改革風(fēng)險防控工作的基本遵循。以此為指導(dǎo),需要從增強(qiáng)民眾的風(fēng)險意識和承受能力,以公平正義為導(dǎo)向協(xié)調(diào)利益關(guān)系,加強(qiáng)重大改革決策的風(fēng)險評估,完善改革的相關(guān)保障體系等方面入手,不斷提高防范改革風(fēng)險的能力;從及時化解人民內(nèi)部矛盾,不斷創(chuàng)新和加強(qiáng)國家治理,在經(jīng)濟(jì)新常態(tài)下積極化解經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險,推進(jìn)社會改革有效緩解風(fēng)險等方面努力,不斷提高管控改革風(fēng)險的能力。結(jié)語:對本論文研究的主要觀點進(jìn)行了概括,同時提出,下一步需要從細(xì)化研究、量化研究、深化研究三個維度,繼續(xù)加強(qiáng)對改革風(fēng)險防控問題的研究。通過研究,在理論價值方面,深刻總結(jié)中外改革史上風(fēng)險防控的經(jīng)驗教訓(xùn),科學(xué)概括我們黨風(fēng)險防控的寶貴經(jīng)驗,系統(tǒng)梳理習(xí)近平關(guān)于改革風(fēng)險防控的思想,大膽建構(gòu)具有中國特色的改革風(fēng)險防控理論,從而為全面深化改革中做好風(fēng)險防控提供理論支持。在現(xiàn)實意義方面,有助于在全面深化改革進(jìn)程中增強(qiáng)風(fēng)險意識,對改革的復(fù)雜性艱巨性保持清醒認(rèn)識,增強(qiáng)前瞻意識,掌握防控改革風(fēng)險的有效策略,從而確保中國改革偉業(yè)披荊斬棘、順利推進(jìn)。
[Abstract]:The Chinese reform is an arduous and tortuous, full of risk, since 1978, the reform of the ship China deepwater area reached a crucial stage, with more open space travel, and facing the stream water, waves Feizhou stop risk challenge. Especially, Chinese is in a critical period of social transformation. Build a well-off society in the extra period, must not appear disruptive errors on fundamental issues. Never smooth path of reform, but Dusing, to the line steady Zhiyuan. Standing on an important node in history, how to fully understand the complexity of contemporary Chinese reform and arduous, be prepared for the possible risks challenge high alert, and timely prevention, effective control, is a practical task in a very important and urgent. This thesis takes the Marx doctrine as a guide to the theory of Risk Society for reference, with Xi Jinping on the reform of risk prevention and control The idea is to follow, in accordance with the "problems -- a theoretical basis -- a historical study of reality -- the analysis of countermeasures and suggestions" ideas, adhere to the combination of theory and practice, based on the Chinese and the combination of history and have the whole world in view, summed up the analysis of reality, revealing the contradictions and explore countermeasures combining the integrated use of literature research method, the method of contradiction analysis, case analysis, historical comparison, various survey method, the study is from the following aspects: Preface: mainly expounds the research background, significance, status, methods, innovative ideas, focuses on the analysis of the status and value of risk prevention and control of the reform. The first chapter: the theoretical basis of risk prevention and control risk of reform. And to study the risk of reform, define the basic concepts of reform such as risk control, risk analysis using formation mechanism reform of Marx's social organism theory And the main types, from the theory of risk society to recognize the profound background generated by the risk of reform. The second chapter: the history of Chinese and foreign reform risk prevention and control of the enlightenment. From risk control perspective, in-depth analysis of the China reform in the history of the reform of Shang Yang, Wang Mang's reform, the reform of Wang Anshi in the late Qing Dynasty, modified, and the world in the history of the reform of the Meiji Restoration in Japan, the new American Roosevelt Reagan and Margaret Thatcher reform, reform, reform of the Soviet Union Gorbachev classic reform case, summarizes the successful experience and failure lessons, provide a useful reference for the contemporary China reform. The third chapter: the course of risk prevention and control of the new China. After the establishment of the historical clues, from the longitudinal angle review of Mao Zedong Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, exploring and thinking about the risk prevention and control of Hu Jintao, for the current comprehensive deepening of reform to make risk prevention provides valuable wealth. In the fourth chapter The reality: analysis of the current Chinese reform risk. From the direction of reform, reform, reform process, reform method, five aspects of the external environment analysis of the main performance of the Chinese reform risk faced by the synchronic existence summarizes diachronic institutional risk, structural risk the greatest threat, the mutual influence between reform and development with the risk of mutual transmission between risk increasing and other major features, finally from the rapid social transformation, the negative effect of the market economy system, imperfect mechanism, four aspects to deal with the risk of lack of experience, the current China mining reform faces the source of risk. The fifth chapter: Reflections on deepening the reform of risk prevention and control comprehensive. The Party of eighteen years, Xi Jinping put forward a series of reform risk control thought, including the reform can not be without any risk, the right to adhere to the reform To adhere to the reform, the general principles and basic requirements, establish strategic, dialectical, rule of law, system, and the bottom line of innovative thinking, grasp the content of deepening the reform of the major relations, this is the basic reform to follow good risk prevention and control work at present. As a guide, from the need to increase people's risk awareness and ability, to the fair justice oriented coordination of interests, strengthen the risk assessment of major reform measures, improve the relevant security system reform of continuously improve the ability to prevent risks from reform; in a timely manner to resolve the contradictions among the people, innovation and strengthen national governance, actively resolve the economic risk under the new economic normal social reform, effectively alleviate the risk and other efforts to continuously improve the ability to control the risk of reform. The main points of this thesis are summarized, and put forward, the next step need to refine The research, quantitative research, deepen the research of the three dimensions, continue to strengthen the research on the reform of risk prevention and control problems. Through the research on the theory of value, summarizing the experiences and lessons of the reform history of risk prevention and control, scientifically summarized the valuable experience of our party risk prevention and control system, combing Xi Jinping on the reform of risk prevention and control ideas, bold construction the reform of risk control theory has China characteristics, so as to comprehensively deepen reforms in risk prevention and control to provide theoretical support. In practical aspect, helps to strengthen the risk consciousness in the comprehensive deepening reform process, maintain a clear understanding of the complexity of the enormity of the reform, enhance the forward thinking, effective strategies to control risks so as to grasp the reform. To ensure that the reform of China Albert hacked smoothly.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：中共中央黨校
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：D61

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