本文選題：跳躍分析 + 有序聚類分析法　； 參考：《人民黃河》2017年02期

【摘要】：基于水文隨機(jī)分析方法中的跳躍原理,采用有序聚類分析法確定廣西澄碧河水庫(kù)汛期入庫(kù)流量跳躍點(diǎn)為5月中旬與8月下旬,并用游程檢驗(yàn)法對(duì)其跳躍成分進(jìn)行顯著性檢驗(yàn),確定前汛期為4月上旬至5月中旬,主汛期為5月下旬至8月下旬,后汛期為9月上旬至10月下旬。采用輪次分析原理對(duì)分期結(jié)果進(jìn)行合理性檢驗(yàn),認(rèn)為該分期結(jié)果合理。該方法具有計(jì)算便捷、識(shí)別精度高以及分期結(jié)果可靠等優(yōu)點(diǎn)。
[Abstract]:Based on the jumping principle of the hydrological random analysis method, the jump point of the flood season discharge of Chengbihe Reservoir in Guangxi is determined to be mid-May and late August by using the ordered cluster analysis method.The former flood season is from early April to mid-May, the main flood season is from late May to late August, and the later flood season is from early September to late October.The rationality of the staging result is tested by the principle of the cycle analysis, and the result is considered to be reasonable.This method has the advantages of convenient calculation, high recognition accuracy and reliable staging results.
【作者單位】： 廣西大學(xué)土木建筑工程學(xué)院;廣西大學(xué)工程防災(zāi)與結(jié)構(gòu)安全教育部重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室;廣西大學(xué)廣西防災(zāi)減災(zāi)與工程安全重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室;廣西壯族自治區(qū)水利學(xué)會(huì);
【基金】：國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目(51569003) 廣西自然科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目(2015GXNSFAA139248) 廣西防災(zāi)減災(zāi)與工程安全重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室系統(tǒng)性研究項(xiàng)目(2014ZDX01) 廣西水利廳科技項(xiàng)目(201507) 廣西高等學(xué)校優(yōu)秀中青年骨干教師培養(yǎng)工程項(xiàng)目
【分類號(hào)】：TV697.1
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本文編號(hào)：1759021