發(fā)布時間：2016-12-01 21:24

  本文關鍵詞：地震災害預測與應急決策系統(tǒng)集成方法研究，，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

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地球物理學

地質(zhì)學

安全科學與災害防治

工業(yè)通用技術及設備

力學

建筑科學與工程

氣象學

自然地理學和測繪學

畜牧與動物醫(yī)學

 歷史查詢

 

災害預測     

disaster forecast(25)

damage prediction(4)

  

    Progress in Seismic Disaster Prediction Research in China

    中國地震災害預測的研究進展

短句來源

    THE SECONDARY DISASTER PREDICTION OF THE EARTHQUAKES IN THE NORTH OF HEBEI PROVINCE

    河北省北部地震次生災害預測

短句來源

    Design of the seismic disaster prediction and emergency simulating system and its application:taking emergency system in Yongan city as a case

    地震災害預測和應急模擬系統(tǒng)的設計與應用——以永安市城市應急系統(tǒng)為例

短句來源

    Design of earthquake disaster prediction & evaluation system in Sichuan province and its function

    四川省地震災害預測與評估系統(tǒng)設計及實現(xiàn)功能

短句來源

    Study on Integrated Method of Seismic Disaster Prediction and Decision Support System

    地震災害預測與應急決策系統(tǒng)集成方法研究

短句來源

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    Multinomial factors should be considered in the stability analysis and hazard prediction of seismic loess slopes.

    在地震黃土斜坡穩(wěn)定性分析和災害預測中,必須考慮多項影響因子。

短句來源

  

    PLS Logistic Regression and Application in Flood Disaster Forecast in PoYang Lake

    偏最小二乘Iogistic回歸在鄱陽湖洪澇災害預測中的應用

    Seismic Second Disaster Forecast in Qingxu City

    清徐縣城地震次生災害預測

短句來源

  

    Seismic Damage Prediction of the Buildings of the Major Hospitals in Shanghai

    上海市重要醫(yī)院房屋地震災害預測

短句來源

    In this paper, the seismological work progress of Sichuan province including observation technology, earthquake prediction, seismological geology, engineering seismology, earthquake damage prediction, technological system of earthquake defense and hazard reduction and so on during the last 30 years are reviewed.

    回顧了四川省過去 30年的地震工作 ,包括地震觀測技術、地震預報、地震地質(zhì)、工程地震、地震災害預測和防震減災系統(tǒng)。

短句來源

 

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  disaster prediction

Various satellites and sensors on-board provide with numerous possibilities of analyzing the data for disaster prediction and mitigation purposes.

      

  hazard prediction

Seismic hazard assessment based on urban active faults can provide scientific bases for city planning and project construction, while numerical simulation of strong ground motion is an important method for seismic hazard prediction and assessment.

      

Deflation during caldera unrest: constraints on subsurface processes and hazard prediction from gravity-height data

      

We evaluate mesoscale model predicted boundary-layer flow and the subsequent HPAC (Hazard Prediction and Assessment Capability) dispersion computation.

      

Theprocedure used for seismic hazard prediction in terms of PGA (PeakGround Acceleration) was also applied to Arias intensities in order to beable to define regional seismogenic landslide hazard maps.

      

Hence, landslide hazard prediction and mapping is a requirement in decision making.

      

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  hazard forecast

Rockburst hazard forecast by electromagnetic radiation excited by rock fracture

      

A great need for accurate and timely hazard forecast products in aid of agriculture thus exists.

      

Calculation of Electromagnetic Radiation Criterion for Rockburst Hazard Forecast in Coal Mines

      

The Load-Unload Response Ratio(LURR)theory has been proposed and developed.A new parameter Y called LURR can measure the unstable degree for a nonlinear system.It could be applied to predict earthquake and other geological disasters.The retrospective examination of earthquake cases with magnitude from M=4 to M=8 indicates that the Y values increase markedly and much larger than 1 before the mainshock for 80% cases.Some moderate earthquakes occurred in Chinese Mainland and the Northridge earthquake(Jan.17,1994,Northridge,USA)has...

The Load-Unload Response Ratio(LURR)theory has been proposed and developed.A new parameter Y called LURR can measure the unstable degree for a nonlinear system.It could be applied to predict earthquake and other geological disasters.The retrospective examination of earthquake cases with magnitude from M=4 to M=8 indicates that the Y values increase markedly and much larger than 1 before the mainshock for 80% cases.Some moderate earthquakes occurred in Chinese Mainland and the Northridge earthquake(Jan.17,1994,Northridge,USA)has been predicted beforehand In terms of this method.

引入一個能夠定量反映非線性系統(tǒng)不穩(wěn)定程度的新參數(shù)──加卸載響應比Ｙ，這一參數(shù)可以用于地震及其它地質(zhì)災害的預測．對里氏震級４—８級地震進行后驗性震例檢驗的結果表明，８０％以上的震例，在地震前Ｙ值均顯著大于１．這一方法已預測出幾次發(fā)生在中國大陸的中強地震及１９９４年１月１７日的美國洛杉磯６．６級地震．

In this paper, a dynamic model for predicting earthquake disaster losses is presented. In which, the variation of asismic capability in a city that caused by development of construction such as new buildings on the increase, old buildings on the decrease and social wealth on the increase due to the economic development are considered. In order to solve this problem, the method solved dynamic earthquake damage matrix and dynamic loss matrix is developed. The earthquake losses in the future any year may be predicted...

In this paper, a dynamic model for predicting earthquake disaster losses is presented. In which, the variation of asismic capability in a city that caused by development of construction such as new buildings on the increase, old buildings on the decrease and social wealth on the increase due to the economic development are considered. In order to solve this problem, the method solved dynamic earthquake damage matrix and dynamic loss matrix is developed. The earthquake losses in the future any year may be predicted by the method as mentioned in this paper.

本文提出了一個地震災害預測的動態(tài)分析模型。這個模型基于概率理論基礎,考慮了一個城市因建設的發(fā)展,新房屋日益增多,部分舊房屋被淘汰,對城市抗震能力引起的變化;和由于經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展,社會財富的增加,對地震損失的影響。為解決這—問題,文中提出了動態(tài)震害矩陣和動態(tài)損失矩陣的求解方法。根據(jù)這一方法可以預測未來不同年代的地震經(jīng)濟損失。

Reflection seismology as a branch of the seismology used in the national economic development has achieved great success. It plays an unsubstitute role in the resource prospecting, engineering basement detection and geologic calamity prediction. Especially the exploration and developemt of energy resoruce much depent on the effot of reflection seismology. In the industry application reflection seismology improves contineously the theory, methology and technology, but many new problems arise always in the further....

Reflection seismology as a branch of the seismology used in the national economic development has achieved great success. It plays an unsubstitute role in the resource prospecting, engineering basement detection and geologic calamity prediction. Especially the exploration and developemt of energy resoruce much depent on the effot of reflection seismology. In the industry application reflection seismology improves contineously the theory, methology and technology, but many new problems arise always in the further. Today, reflection seismology is facing with several main problems, they are lithology investigation, seismic tomography, multicomponent seismics and anisotropy. We primarily analyse these items above mentioned in this paper.

反射地震學作為地震學應用于國民經(jīng)濟建設的分支學科取得了巨大的成功。它在礦產(chǎn)資源勘探、工程建設與環(huán)境、自然災害預測等各種領域發(fā)揮了不可替代的作用，特別是在能源開發(fā)中功不可歿。另一方面，反射地震學在廣泛的工業(yè)應用中全面地完善和發(fā)展了地震學的理論、方法和技術。時至今日，反射地震學的發(fā)展已經(jīng)從經(jīng)典理論方法的研究走向更加與客觀介質(zhì)密切相關的深層次研究新階段，這些問題是，反射地震學從單純的構造研究走向地層巖性研究，與此有關的是從偏移構造成像步入層析成像、利用單波單分量數(shù)據(jù)轉(zhuǎn)向應用多波多分量數(shù)據(jù)、假設地層為固體彈性介質(zhì)轉(zhuǎn)向雙相孔隙介質(zhì)、各向同性研究轉(zhuǎn)向各向異性研究以及經(jīng)典的一些方法技術與現(xiàn)代新技術同時使用等。本文對這些方面的研究現(xiàn)狀進行概要的分析。

 

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  本文關鍵詞：地震災害預測與應急決策系統(tǒng)集成方法研究，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

本文編號：201349