本文關(guān)鍵詞：我國(guó)三次產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與能源消費(fèi)的均衡關(guān)系研究　出處：《商業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究》2016年19期 　論文類(lèi)型：期刊論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 三次產(chǎn)業(yè) ARDL模型 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 能源消費(fèi) 均衡關(guān)系

【摘要】：本文主要采用穩(wěn)健性較好的、具有小樣本特性的ARDL模型以及Toda-Yamamoto因果檢驗(yàn)方法,對(duì)我國(guó)三次產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與能源消耗之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究。研究結(jié)果顯示,就總體而言,我國(guó)社會(huì)主義市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)的整體發(fā)展和能源消費(fèi)之間存在著均衡關(guān)系,并且國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值是能源消耗總量的Granger原因。三次產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與能源消耗之間的關(guān)系:第一產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值與能效消費(fèi)之間的關(guān)系是相對(duì)獨(dú)立的;第二產(chǎn)業(yè)和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值與能源消耗之間長(zhǎng)期處于均衡關(guān)系,并且表現(xiàn)為第二產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值是能源消費(fèi)的Granger原因。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly adopts the robust ARDL model with small sample characteristics and the Toda-Yamamoto causality test method. Empirical study on the relationship between the economic growth of three industries and energy consumption in China. The results show that the overall situation. There is a balanced relationship between the overall development of China's socialist market economy and energy consumption. And the gross domestic product is the Granger reason of the total energy consumption. The relationship between the economic growth of the three industries and the energy consumption: the relationship between the value added of the primary industry and the energy efficiency consumption is relatively independent; The relationship between the added value of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry and the energy consumption is in equilibrium for a long time, and the second industry added value is the Granger reason of the energy consumption.
【作者單位】： 鄭州科技學(xué)院;
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F124;F426.2
【正文快照】： 目前,我國(guó)處于經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展的戰(zhàn)略機(jī)遇期,一方面我國(guó)工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展迅速,另一方面能源消耗也在不斷增加(張麗峰,2008)。特別是進(jìn)入21世紀(jì)以來(lái),我國(guó)能源消耗的增長(zhǎng)率高達(dá)9%。據(jù)相關(guān)部門(mén)預(yù)測(cè),2020年之前是我國(guó)工業(yè)化以及城市化高速發(fā)展的階段,同時(shí)能源需求也會(huì)以較快的速度增長(zhǎng)。，

本文編號(hào)：1392987