可再生能源發(fā)電的影響因素及政策效果評價
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-07 21:48
本文選題:可再生能源 切入點(diǎn):影響因素 出處:《華北電力大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:隨著環(huán)境問題日趨嚴(yán)重,未來可再生能源發(fā)電在中國電力結(jié)構(gòu)中的地位越來越重要!犊稍偕茉窗l(fā)展“十二五”規(guī)劃》設(shè)立了可再生能源發(fā)電利用的宏偉目標(biāo),但要實(shí)現(xiàn)這一具有挑戰(zhàn)性的目標(biāo),需要從各個方面完善可再生能源發(fā)電體系。目前,為促進(jìn)可再生能源發(fā)電利用,中國已出臺了一系列相關(guān)政策。評價可再生能源發(fā)電政策的效果并分析現(xiàn)有可再生能源發(fā)電的機(jī)制障礙將有利于其進(jìn)一步的發(fā)展,為未來的政策制定提供實(shí)踐依據(jù)。 本文首先分析了中國可再生能源發(fā)電現(xiàn)狀和可再生能源發(fā)電的影響因素,其中影響因素分為非政策影響因素和政策影響因素。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),政策可以通過調(diào)控手段在一定程度上消除可再生能源發(fā)電在自然、經(jīng)濟(jì)、需求、技術(shù)和社會這些非政策影響因素中的一些障礙。鑒于政策的重要作用,本文建立了評價可再生能源發(fā)電政策效果的省級面板數(shù)據(jù)模型,并考慮了資源情況對政策效果的影響,通過引入政策變量與資源變量的交叉項(xiàng),反映政策在不同資源區(qū)的效果差異情況;跇(gòu)建的計(jì)量模型,本文實(shí)證分析了可再生能源發(fā)電的價格管制政策和非價格管制政策對風(fēng)電發(fā)展的影響。結(jié)果表明,價格管制政策和非價格管制政策從總體上都對風(fēng)電發(fā)展具有積極作用,且價格管制政策的實(shí)施效果更好。另外,考慮資源對政策效果影響差異的實(shí)證分析結(jié)果表明,政策在不同資源區(qū)的實(shí)施效果存在差異,即價格管制政策的實(shí)施效果在資源非豐富區(qū)更明顯,而非價格管制政策的實(shí)施效果則相反:資源區(qū)中不同政策的效果也存在差異,即豐富區(qū)的非價格管制政策影響效果更大,而非豐富區(qū)的結(jié)果則相反。因此,因地制宜地制定靈活、細(xì)化的可再生能源發(fā)電政策是非常必要的。最后,為進(jìn)一步促進(jìn)可再生能源發(fā)電,本文指出了目前可再生能源發(fā)電在補(bǔ)貼和稅收、上網(wǎng)電價、電力交易、對利益主體的激勵和總體規(guī)劃五個方面中的機(jī)制障礙,并提出了相應(yīng)的對策建議。
[Abstract]:With the increasingly serious environmental problems, the status of renewable energy generation in China's power structure is becoming more and more important in the future. The 12th Five-Year Plan for the Development of Renewable Energy has set up a grand goal of renewable energy generation and utilization. However, in order to achieve this challenging goal, the renewable energy generation system needs to be improved in all its aspects. China has issued a series of related policies. Evaluating the effect of renewable energy power generation policy and analyzing the existing mechanism obstacles of renewable energy power generation will be conducive to its further development and provide practical basis for future policy making. This paper first analyzes the current situation of renewable energy generation in China and the influencing factors of renewable energy generation, among which the factors are divided into non-policy factors and policy factors. Policies can remove, to some extent, the barriers to renewable energy generation in non-policy factors, such as nature, economy, demand, technology and society, through regulatory measures... in view of the important role of policy, In this paper, a provincial panel data model for evaluating the effect of renewable energy generation policy is established, and the influence of resource situation on policy effect is considered. By introducing the cross term of policy variable and resource variable, Based on the measurement model, this paper empirically analyzes the influence of price regulation policy and non-price regulation policy of renewable energy generation on wind power development. Both the price control policy and the non-price regulation policy have positive effect on wind power development, and the price control policy has better effect. There are differences in the effect of policy implementation in different resource regions, that is, the effect of price control policy is more obvious in non-rich resource areas, but the effect of non-price control policy is opposite: the effect of different policies in resource area is also different. That is, non-price control policies in rich areas have more effect than those in non-rich areas. Therefore, it is necessary to make flexible and detailed renewable energy generation policies according to local conditions. Finally, In order to further promote renewable energy generation, this paper points out the mechanism obstacles of renewable energy generation in the following five aspects: subsidies and taxes, electricity price, electricity transaction, incentive to stakeholders and overall planning. The corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F426.61
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