本文選題：穩(wěn)態(tài)檢測(cè) + SSD算法��； 參考：《華北電力大學(xué)(北京)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：穩(wěn)態(tài)檢測(cè)對(duì)熱工過(guò)程中評(píng)價(jià)設(shè)備的性能優(yōu)異、系統(tǒng)過(guò)程建模及優(yōu)化、故障檢測(cè)機(jī)制建立及過(guò)程辨識(shí)等均體現(xiàn)出非常重要的意義。在熱電廠海量歷史數(shù)據(jù)預(yù)處理過(guò)程當(dāng)中,只有穩(wěn)態(tài)工況下的數(shù)據(jù)才能真實(shí)客觀的反映出系統(tǒng),并且在以后的系統(tǒng)建模及辨識(shí)中都要獲得穩(wěn)態(tài)工況,所以將穩(wěn)態(tài)工況下變量的數(shù)據(jù)從海量數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù)中挑選出來(lái)非常重要。SSD(Steady State Detection)算法作為一種有效的穩(wěn)態(tài)檢測(cè)算法得到了廣泛的應(yīng)用,將SSD算法與數(shù)據(jù)濾波相結(jié)合,可以顯著提高監(jiān)測(cè)點(diǎn)穩(wěn)態(tài)狀況判斷的準(zhǔn)確度。將EWMA(Exponentially Weighted Moving Average,EWMA)濾波與SSD算法結(jié)合,形成EWMA-SSD方法,作為本文的研究對(duì)象進(jìn)行分析研究。本文首先分析了SSD算法和EWMA濾波進(jìn)行穩(wěn)態(tài)檢測(cè)的機(jī)制,推導(dǎo)出SSD算法中的窗寬n和EWMA的濾波因子?之間存在的等價(jià)關(guān)系。考慮到實(shí)際工況中監(jiān)測(cè)數(shù)據(jù)分布具有不確定性,在SSD算法的基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)算法在控制限的求取和監(jiān)控指標(biāo)方面做出了改進(jìn)。采用基于核函數(shù)的非參數(shù)控制限算法,用核函數(shù)擬合出監(jiān)控指標(biāo)的概率密度函數(shù),然后計(jì)算出該概率密度函數(shù)下滿足檢驗(yàn)水平α的控制限,并結(jié)合EWMA濾波對(duì)監(jiān)控指標(biāo)進(jìn)行改進(jìn)后,對(duì)過(guò)程數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行穩(wěn)態(tài)檢測(cè)。最后將SSD穩(wěn)態(tài)檢測(cè)法應(yīng)用到實(shí)際過(guò)程當(dāng)中,本文以某火電廠600MW機(jī)組1年的歷史數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行穩(wěn)態(tài)檢測(cè),改進(jìn)后的SSD算法相比較傳統(tǒng)而言,穩(wěn)態(tài)檢出率顯著提高。從而驗(yàn)證了方法的有效性。最后將多變量穩(wěn)態(tài)檢測(cè)后的相近負(fù)荷下的穩(wěn)態(tài)數(shù)據(jù)段篩選出來(lái),對(duì)涉及的變量?jī)蓛山M合后進(jìn)行聚類分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)在負(fù)荷相近下穩(wěn)態(tài)工況可以劃分,對(duì)不同的工況下運(yùn)行的狀態(tài)及經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析和進(jìn)階的優(yōu)化性運(yùn)行進(jìn)行分析后,發(fā)現(xiàn)不同聚類群的鍋爐效率存在明顯差異,為后續(xù)針對(duì)這種差異所做的研究工作提供了基礎(chǔ)。
[Abstract]:Steady-state detection is very important for evaluating the performance of the equipment in thermal process, modeling and optimizing the system process, establishing the fault detection mechanism and identifying the process. In the preprocessing process of massive historical data in thermal power plant, only the data under steady condition can reflect the system objectively and realistically, and the steady state condition should be obtained in the later modeling and identification of the system. Therefore, it is very important to select the data of variables under steady condition from the massive database. The algorithm is widely used as an effective steady-state detection algorithm. The SSD algorithm is combined with the data filtering. The accuracy of judging the steady state of monitoring points can be improved significantly. The EWMA-SSD method is formed by combining the EWMA(Exponentially Weighted Moving average EWMA(Exponentially Weighted Moving filtering with the SSD algorithm, and it is analyzed and studied as the research object of this paper. In this paper, the mechanism of steady-state detection based on SSD algorithm and EWMA filter is analyzed, and the window width n and the filter factor of EWMA in SSD algorithm are deduced. The equivalent relation that exists between. Considering the uncertainty of the monitoring data distribution in the actual working conditions, based on the SSD algorithm, an improvement is made in the calculation of the control limit and the monitoring index. The nonparametric control limit algorithm based on kernel function is used to fit the probability density function of the monitoring index, and then the control limit satisfying the test level 偽 is calculated under the probability density function. After improving the monitoring index with EWMA filter, the steady state detection of the process data is carried out. Finally, the SSD steady-state detection method is applied to the practical process. The steady-state detection rate of the improved SSD algorithm is significantly higher than that of the traditional one year history data of the 600MW unit in a thermal power plant. The validity of the method is verified. Finally, the steady-state data segment under the similar load after multivariable steady-state detection is screened out, and the cluster analysis is carried out after the combination of the two variables involved, and it is found that the steady-state working condition can be divided under the similar load. After analyzing the state and economy of operation under different operating conditions and the advanced optimal operation, it is found that there are obvious differences in boiler efficiency among different cluster groups, which provides a basis for further research on this difference.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)(北京)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：TM621

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