安徽財(cái)政支出與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂性研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-03-16 15:30
【摘要】:區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的均衡發(fā)展是一個(gè)地區(qū)長期追求的目標(biāo),財(cái)政支出是影響區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的一個(gè)重要因素,政府越來越注重用財(cái)政支出政策干預(yù)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展。本文主要研究安徽財(cái)政支出與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂性。在研究過程中,首先闡述新古典增長和新經(jīng)濟(jì)增長兩種理論的收斂觀,同時(shí)分析財(cái)政支出規(guī)模和支出結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響,為本文研究奠定了理論基礎(chǔ);然后描述安徽省區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距的現(xiàn)狀和變動(dòng)趨勢,,在此基礎(chǔ)上分析區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距存在的原因;接著使用新古典經(jīng)濟(jì)的絕對收斂和條件收斂模型,以1997-2010年安徽各市人均GDP增長率、財(cái)政支出規(guī)模和支出結(jié)構(gòu)為基礎(chǔ)數(shù)據(jù),利用面板數(shù)據(jù)回歸的固定效應(yīng)模型分析1997年以來安徽區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的收斂模式;最后根據(jù)實(shí)證結(jié)果,結(jié)合安徽省實(shí)際情況,分別從財(cái)政支出規(guī)模和支出結(jié)構(gòu)兩方面提出協(xié)調(diào)安徽區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的財(cái)政支出政策。 研究結(jié)果表明:從安徽區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距現(xiàn)狀來看,安徽省各市之間經(jīng)濟(jì)差距很大,皖江地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)高于皖北、皖中和皖南三個(gè)地區(qū),皖南和皖江地區(qū)區(qū)域內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)差距較小,皖中和皖北地區(qū)區(qū)域內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)差距很大;從1997-2010年安徽區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距變動(dòng)趨勢來看,1997-2003年各市之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)差距的變動(dòng)較小,2003-2010年各市之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)差距的變動(dòng)很大,皖中地區(qū)和皖北地區(qū)在1997-2010年內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)差距呈擴(kuò)大趨勢,皖江地區(qū)和皖南地區(qū)在1997-2010年內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)差距前幾年呈擴(kuò)大趨勢,但隨后呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢;安徽省整體范圍內(nèi)、皖北和皖中地區(qū)區(qū)域內(nèi)都不存在絕對收斂,皖江和皖南地區(qū)區(qū)域內(nèi)都存在絕對收斂;在加入財(cái)政支出規(guī)模后,安徽省整體范圍內(nèi)、皖北、皖中、皖江和皖南地區(qū)區(qū)域內(nèi)都存在條件收斂;財(cái)政支出結(jié)構(gòu)中基本建設(shè)支出、教育支出和農(nóng)林水事務(wù)支出各自不同程度地促進(jìn)了安徽省區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的收斂,而科學(xué)技術(shù)支出、社會(huì)保障和就業(yè)支出、醫(yī)療衛(wèi)生支出和行政管理支出沒有很好地發(fā)揮縮小區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距的作用。
[Abstract]:The balanced development of regional economy is a long-term goal pursued by a region. Fiscal expenditure is an important factor affecting regional economic development. The government pays more and more attention to using fiscal expenditure policy to intervene regional economic development. This paper mainly studies Anhui fiscal expenditure and regional economic convergence. In the course of the research, the convergence views of neoclassical growth and new economic growth are expounded firstly, and the influence of fiscal expenditure scale and expenditure structure on economic growth is analyzed, which lays a theoretical foundation for the research of this paper. Then it describes the current situation and changing trend of the regional economic gap in Anhui Province, and then analyzes the causes of the regional economic gap on the basis of this. Then using the absolute convergence and conditional convergence model of neo-classical economy, based on the data of the per capita GDP growth rate, fiscal expenditure scale and expenditure structure of Anhui cities from 1997 to 2010, The fixed effect model of panel data regression is used to analyze the convergence model of Anhui regional economy since 1997. Finally, according to the empirical results, combined with the actual situation in Anhui Province, the paper puts forward the fiscal expenditure policy to coordinate the regional economic development of Anhui Province from two aspects: the scale of fiscal expenditure and the structure of expenditure. The results show that: from the current situation of regional economic gap in Anhui Province, the economic gap among the cities in Anhui Province is very large, and the level of economic development in the Wanjiang region is much higher than that in the three regions of North Anhui, Central Anhui and Southern Anhui. The regional economic gap between southern Anhui and Wanjiang region is relatively small, and the regional economic gap between central Anhui and northern Anhui is very large. According to the trend of regional economic gap in Anhui Province from 1997 to 2010, the change of economic gap between 1997-2003 is relatively small, and the change of economic gap between 2003-2010 is very large. The economic gap in central Anhui and northern Anhui increased in 1997-2010, while in the Yangtze River and Southern Anhui in 1997-2010, the economic gap increased in the first few years, but then showed a downward trend. In the whole area of Anhui Province, there is no absolute convergence in the regions of North and Central Anhui, and there is absolute convergence in the regions of Anhui River and South Anhui. After joining the scale of fiscal expenditure, in the whole scope of Anhui Province, there exists conditional convergence in the regions of North Anhui, Central Anhui, Anhui River and Southern Anhui; The expenditure on capital construction, education and agriculture, forestry and water services in the fiscal expenditure structure have contributed to the convergence of regional economic development in Anhui Province to varying degrees, while the expenditure on science and technology, social security and employment has contributed to the convergence of regional economic development in Anhui Province. Medical and health expenditure and administrative expenditure do not play a very good role in narrowing the regional economic gap.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:合肥工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F812.7;F127
[Abstract]:The balanced development of regional economy is a long-term goal pursued by a region. Fiscal expenditure is an important factor affecting regional economic development. The government pays more and more attention to using fiscal expenditure policy to intervene regional economic development. This paper mainly studies Anhui fiscal expenditure and regional economic convergence. In the course of the research, the convergence views of neoclassical growth and new economic growth are expounded firstly, and the influence of fiscal expenditure scale and expenditure structure on economic growth is analyzed, which lays a theoretical foundation for the research of this paper. Then it describes the current situation and changing trend of the regional economic gap in Anhui Province, and then analyzes the causes of the regional economic gap on the basis of this. Then using the absolute convergence and conditional convergence model of neo-classical economy, based on the data of the per capita GDP growth rate, fiscal expenditure scale and expenditure structure of Anhui cities from 1997 to 2010, The fixed effect model of panel data regression is used to analyze the convergence model of Anhui regional economy since 1997. Finally, according to the empirical results, combined with the actual situation in Anhui Province, the paper puts forward the fiscal expenditure policy to coordinate the regional economic development of Anhui Province from two aspects: the scale of fiscal expenditure and the structure of expenditure. The results show that: from the current situation of regional economic gap in Anhui Province, the economic gap among the cities in Anhui Province is very large, and the level of economic development in the Wanjiang region is much higher than that in the three regions of North Anhui, Central Anhui and Southern Anhui. The regional economic gap between southern Anhui and Wanjiang region is relatively small, and the regional economic gap between central Anhui and northern Anhui is very large. According to the trend of regional economic gap in Anhui Province from 1997 to 2010, the change of economic gap between 1997-2003 is relatively small, and the change of economic gap between 2003-2010 is very large. The economic gap in central Anhui and northern Anhui increased in 1997-2010, while in the Yangtze River and Southern Anhui in 1997-2010, the economic gap increased in the first few years, but then showed a downward trend. In the whole area of Anhui Province, there is no absolute convergence in the regions of North and Central Anhui, and there is absolute convergence in the regions of Anhui River and South Anhui. After joining the scale of fiscal expenditure, in the whole scope of Anhui Province, there exists conditional convergence in the regions of North Anhui, Central Anhui, Anhui River and Southern Anhui; The expenditure on capital construction, education and agriculture, forestry and water services in the fiscal expenditure structure have contributed to the convergence of regional economic development in Anhui Province to varying degrees, while the expenditure on science and technology, social security and employment has contributed to the convergence of regional economic development in Anhui Province. Medical and health expenditure and administrative expenditure do not play a very good role in narrowing the regional economic gap.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:合肥工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F812.7;F127
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