本文選題：技術(shù)進(jìn)步 + 就業(yè)總量��； 參考：《新疆大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來，我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)高速增長(zhǎng)，但同時(shí)我國(guó)失業(yè)問題也日益凸顯，即高增長(zhǎng)伴隨高失業(yè)，在這樣的大背景下，新疆也不例外。國(guó)內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)者從技術(shù)進(jìn)步的角度探求原因。本文通過綜述國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者目前對(duì)“技術(shù)進(jìn)步與就業(yè)的關(guān)系”研究；闡述技術(shù)進(jìn)步與就業(yè)關(guān)系的相關(guān)理論的闡述；以及分析技術(shù)進(jìn)步影響就業(yè)總量和就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的作用機(jī)理，旨在研究新疆技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)就業(yè)總量和就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響。 本文運(yùn)用索羅余值法測(cè)算出新疆1979～2011年的技術(shù)進(jìn)步率，采用偏離—份額分析法測(cè)量出新疆三次產(chǎn)業(yè)的相對(duì)就業(yè)的變化量NRC，再應(yīng)用OLS法回歸估計(jì)新疆技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)就業(yè)總量及就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響。最后得出結(jié)論：（1）技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)就業(yè)的破壞機(jī)制和補(bǔ)償機(jī)制同時(shí)存在；（2）技術(shù)進(jìn)步能夠調(diào)整和優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)；（3）新疆技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)就業(yè)總量的影響并不顯著；（4）新疆技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)第一產(chǎn)業(yè)的就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)有負(fù)向影響；（5）新疆技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)第二產(chǎn)業(yè)的就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響不顯著；（6）新疆技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)有正向影響。本文最后根據(jù)上述的理論分析和實(shí)證分析，，結(jié)合新疆實(shí)際情況提出對(duì)策和建議，希望為制定促進(jìn)新疆技術(shù)進(jìn)步和就業(yè)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的政策提供一定的理論和實(shí)證依據(jù)，促進(jìn)新疆經(jīng)濟(jì)跨越式發(fā)展。 由于本人的水平有限，未能從行業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、工種結(jié)構(gòu)、技能取向等層面進(jìn)行研究；沒有從技術(shù)進(jìn)步路線對(duì)就業(yè)的影響的角度做實(shí)證分析，以及沒有綜合多種因素來探討技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)就業(yè)的影響。希望本人和更多學(xué)者能夠在這幾方面做深入的研究。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the economy of our country has increased rapidly, but at the same time, the unemployment problem of our country is also increasingly prominent, that is, high growth accompanied by high unemployment, in such a background, Xinjiang is no exception. Domestic and foreign economists from the point of view of technological progress to explore the reasons. This paper summarizes the current research on the relationship between technological progress and employment at home and abroad, expounds the relevant theories of the relationship between technological progress and employment, and analyzes the mechanism of the influence of technological progress on the total amount and structure of employment. The purpose of this paper is to study the influence of Xinjiang's technological progress on the total employment and employment structure. In this paper, the rate of technological progress in Xinjiang from 1979 to 2011 is calculated by using the Solow residual value method. The relative employment change of three industries in Xinjiang was measured by the method of deviation-share analysis, and the influence of technological progress on the total employment and employment structure was estimated by OLS regression. The conclusions are as follows: (1) the destruction mechanism and compensation mechanism of technological progress to employment exist simultaneously; (2) technological progress can adjust and optimize the industrial structure; (3) the influence of technological progress on total employment is not significant. (4) the technological progress of Xinjiang has a negative influence on the employment structure of the primary industry; (5) the technological progress of Xinjiang has no significant effect on the employment structure of the secondary industry; (6) the technological progress of Xinjiang has a positive effect on the employment structure of the tertiary industry. Finally, according to the above theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, combined with the actual situation in Xinjiang, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions, hoping to provide some theoretical and empirical basis for the formulation of policies to promote the coordinated development of technology and employment in Xinjiang. We will promote the development of Xinjiang's economy by leaps and bounds. Because of my limited level, I can not do research from the aspects of industry structure, job structure, skill orientation and so on, and has not made empirical analysis from the perspective of the impact of technological progress line on employment. And there are no comprehensive factors to explore the impact of technological progress on employment. I hope that I and more scholars can do in-depth research in these areas.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：新疆大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F124.3;F249.21

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