本文選題：現(xiàn)代物流 + 區(qū)域經濟�。� 參考：《西安科技大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：現(xiàn)代物流產業(yè)與區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展之間存在著密不可分的互動關系：區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展會加速物流需求增長，促進物流供給能力提高，進而推動整個物流產業(yè)的發(fā)展，而現(xiàn)代物流產業(yè)的發(fā)展也會對區(qū)域經濟增長和產業(yè)結構優(yōu)化產生正面影響。陜西省現(xiàn)代物流產業(yè)與經濟發(fā)展互動關系系統(tǒng)是一個涵蓋多個因素在內的復雜系統(tǒng)，只有系統(tǒng)中各個因素充分協(xié)調，整個系統(tǒng)才能不斷地向更好的方向發(fā)展。 本文從陜西省具體現(xiàn)狀出發(fā)，首先以相關理論為基礎，對現(xiàn)代物流產業(yè)與區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展互動關系系統(tǒng)進行了分析，明確了構建陜西省現(xiàn)代物流產業(yè)與經濟發(fā)展互動關系系統(tǒng)動力學模型的目的，確定了系統(tǒng)邊界并構建了系統(tǒng)變量量化指標體系；其次，以系統(tǒng)結構分析為基礎繪制了因果關系圖并提出了主要變量之間的關系假設，然后運用計量經濟學線性回歸理論，借助Eviews6.0軟件對相關參數進行了科學估計，對關系假設實施了驗證，最終確定了包括47個變量、32個方程及SD流圖在內的完整的系統(tǒng)模型。再次，對模型進行結構和行為檢驗，，檢驗結果證明模型有效。最后，借助系統(tǒng)模擬仿真功能分析了現(xiàn)代物流產業(yè)對陜西經濟發(fā)展的影響以及區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展對現(xiàn)代物流產業(yè)的影響，最終得出了陜西省現(xiàn)代物流產業(yè)與經濟發(fā)展之間存在彼此正相關的互動關系的結論，并以兩者協(xié)調發(fā)展為目標，以系統(tǒng)運行結果為依據提出了相應的政策建議。本文運用系統(tǒng)動力學方法對陜西省現(xiàn)代物流產業(yè)與經濟發(fā)展的互動關系進行了定性與定量相結合的研究，為現(xiàn)代物流產業(yè)與陜西經濟協(xié)調發(fā)展提供了切實可行的理論依據。
[Abstract]:There is an inseparable interaction between modern logistics industry and regional economic development: regional economic development will accelerate the growth of logistics demand, promote the improvement of logistics supply capacity, and then promote the development of the entire logistics industry. The development of modern logistics industry will also have a positive impact on regional economic growth and industrial structure optimization. The interaction system between modern logistics industry and economic development in Shaanxi Province is a complex system which covers many factors. Only when the various factors in the system are fully coordinated, the whole system can continue to develop in a better direction. Based on the current situation of Shaanxi Province, this paper firstly analyzes the interactive relationship system between modern logistics industry and regional economic development based on relevant theories. The purpose of constructing the system dynamics model of the interaction between modern logistics industry and economic development in Shaanxi Province is clarified, the system boundary is determined and the quantitative index system of system variables is constructed. Secondly, Based on the system structure analysis, the causality diagram is drawn and the hypothesis of the relationship between the main variables is put forward. Then the relevant parameters are estimated scientifically by using the econometric linear regression theory and the Eviews6.0 software. Finally, the complete system model including 47 variables, 32 equations and SD flow graph is determined. Thirdly, the structure and behavior of the model are tested, and the results show that the model is effective. Finally, the impact of modern logistics industry on Shaanxi economic development and the impact of regional economic development on modern logistics industry are analyzed with the help of system simulation function. Finally, the paper draws the conclusion that there is a positive correlation between the modern logistics industry and economic development in Shaanxi Province, and puts forward corresponding policy recommendations based on the system operation results and aiming at the coordinated development of the two. In this paper, the interactive relationship between modern logistics industry and economic development in Shaanxi Province is studied qualitatively and quantitatively with the method of system dynamics, which provides a practical theoretical basis for the coordinated development of modern logistics industry and Shaanxi economy.
【學位授予單位】：西安科技大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127;F259.27

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