本文選題：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化　切入點(diǎn)：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化　出處：《上海社會(huì)科學(xué)院》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：2008年全球金融危機(jī)之后,美英等發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家紛紛重啟再工業(yè)化戰(zhàn)略以塑造新型的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)。中國(guó)亦在謀求產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)變以改變自身純粹制造者的角色。面對(duì)國(guó)際國(guó)內(nèi)形勢(shì)的變化,工業(yè)基礎(chǔ)雄厚的長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)急需思考如何選擇自身的未來(lái)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展之路。產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化將成為其中一個(gè)重要考量。在此背景下,本文探討長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀和演變過(guò)程,并且采用面板數(shù)據(jù)和時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)分別對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化兩個(gè)方面,即產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系展開實(shí)證研究。 對(duì)比分析長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)16個(gè)核心城市和江浙滬三地的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,結(jié)果顯示,該地區(qū)增加值總量對(duì)于中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響力和第二、三、一次產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)順序與其一貫基礎(chǔ)雄厚的工業(yè)的密切關(guān)系；隸屬于工業(yè)中的制造業(yè)是長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)創(chuàng)造就業(yè)最重要的產(chǎn)業(yè),其中的優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)主要為通信設(shè)備、計(jì)算機(jī)及其他電子設(shè)備制造業(yè),交通運(yùn)輸設(shè)備制造業(yè),紡織業(yè);除第三產(chǎn)業(yè)存在同構(gòu)現(xiàn)象外,長(zhǎng)三角的地域鄰近性能夠造就不同地區(qū)聚焦于不同優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè),長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)每個(gè)城市均擁有主導(dǎo)制造產(chǎn)業(yè),形成產(chǎn)業(yè)聯(lián)系互動(dòng)的積極效應(yīng)；同時(shí),作者還發(fā)現(xiàn)上海和江蘇兩地在合理配置資源優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)方面,顯示出較強(qiáng)的示范效應(yīng);最后,對(duì)長(zhǎng)三角近年來(lái)的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變分析表明,改革開放以來(lái),第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)輪流助推經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),后者有取代前者成為主要?jiǎng)恿Φ内厔?shì),且整個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的波動(dòng)越來(lái)越與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)波動(dòng)契合,較好的詮釋了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。 實(shí)證研究產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系表明,長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化效果不顯著,沒(méi)有形成對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的結(jié)構(gòu)正效應(yīng)。首先,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化不足表現(xiàn)為產(chǎn)業(yè)間通過(guò)資本和勞動(dòng)二要素流動(dòng)沒(méi)有實(shí)現(xiàn)協(xié)同效果。一方面,基于資本在三次產(chǎn)業(yè)的配置效應(yīng)視角,第一、二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)均單獨(dú)地對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)有顯著的促進(jìn)作用,但是三次產(chǎn)業(yè)問(wèn)的相互作用,無(wú)協(xié)同結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng),反而抑制經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)或是沒(méi)有顯現(xiàn)對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的效應(yīng)。另一方面,基于勞動(dòng)在三次產(chǎn)業(yè)的配置視角,只有第,‘產(chǎn)業(yè)促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)沒(méi)有顯著效果,同時(shí),產(chǎn)業(yè)間的相互作用,亦無(wú)協(xié)同結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng),或是表現(xiàn)抑制經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的效應(yīng)或是沒(méi)有顯示產(chǎn)業(yè)互動(dòng)對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的效應(yīng)。其次,近20年長(zhǎng)三角產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化保持穩(wěn)定的向上趨勢(shì)。雖然從長(zhǎng)期看長(zhǎng)三角產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)具有協(xié)同均衡關(guān)系。但短期內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的調(diào)整滯后于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化的調(diào)整,且二者的短期彈性要遠(yuǎn)小于長(zhǎng)期彈性,表明產(chǎn)業(yè)升升級(jí)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的助推效應(yīng),且短期效應(yīng)弱于長(zhǎng)期效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:After the global financial crisis in 2008, developed countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom have restarted their strategy of reindustrialization to shape a new industrial structure. China is also seeking to transform its industrial structure to change its role as a pure producer. In the face of changes in the international and domestic situation, The Yangtze River Delta, which has a strong industrial foundation, urgently needs to think about how to choose its own future industrial development path. Industrial structure optimization will become one of the important considerations. In this context, this paper discusses the present situation and evolution process of the industrial structure in the Yangtze River Delta region. Using panel data and time series data, the paper makes an empirical study on the two aspects of industrial structure optimization, namely, the rationalization of industrial structure and the relationship between industrial structure elevation and economic growth. The industrial structure of 16 core cities in the Yangtze River Delta region and Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai and Shanghai are compared and analyzed. The results show that the total added value of this region has great influence on China's economy and the second and third. The order of the industrial structure of the primary industry is closely related to its well-established industry; the manufacturing industry attached to the industry is the most important industry in the Yangtze River Delta region to create jobs, and the dominant industries are mainly communications equipment. Computer and other electronic equipment manufacturing, transportation equipment manufacturing, textile industry; apart from the existence of isomorphism in the tertiary industry, the proximity of the Yangtze River Delta can lead to different regions focusing on different superior industries. Each city in the Yangtze River Delta region has the positive effect of leading manufacturing industry, forming the positive effect of the interaction between industries, at the same time, the author also finds that Shanghai and Jiangsu have a strong demonstration effect in the rational allocation of resources to optimize the industrial structure. Finally, an analysis of the evolution of the industrial structure in the Yangtze River Delta in recent years shows that since the reform and opening up, the second and third industries have alternately boosted economic growth, and the latter has taken the place of the former as the main driving force. And the fluctuation of the whole economy is more and more consistent with the fluctuation of the tertiary industry, which better explains the harmonious development of the industrial structure and the economic growth. The empirical study on the relationship between industrial structure optimization and economic growth shows that the effect of industrial structure optimization in the Yangtze River Delta region is not significant, and it has not formed the structural positive effect on economic growth. The lack of rationalization of industrial structure shows that there is no synergistic effect between industries through the flow of capital and labor. On the one hand, based on the allocation effect of capital in three industries, the first, second, The three industries have a significant promoting effect on economic growth alone, but the interaction of the three industries has no synergistic structure effect, on the contrary, it inhibits the economic growth or does not show the effect on the economic growth. Based on the collocation of labor in three industries, only the first industry promotes economic growth, while the second and third industries have no significant effect. At the same time, there is no synergistic structure effect between industries. Either to show the effect of restraining economic growth or not to show the effect of industrial interaction on economic growth. Secondly, In the past 20 years, the industrial structure of the Yangtze River Delta has maintained a steady upward trend. Although there is a synergistic equilibrium relationship between the industrial structure elevation and economic growth in the long run, the adjustment of economic growth lags behind the industrial integration in the short term. The adjustment of construction and elevation, The short term elasticity of both is much smaller than that of long term, which indicates that the promotion effect of industrial upgrading is weaker than that of long term.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海社會(huì)科學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F279.2

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