東北亞主導(dǎo)的東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化:可行性與路徑
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 東北亞 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化 主導(dǎo)權(quán) 東亞 出處:《沈陽(yáng)理工大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類(lèi)型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:在世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的格局中,東亞是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)最為迅速和最具活力的地區(qū)之一。近些年來(lái),其區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化得到了一定程度的發(fā)展。但是,與歐洲和北美地區(qū)的區(qū)域合作相比,東亞地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化進(jìn)展緩慢。東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化如此緩慢的原因有很多,其中的關(guān)鍵原因就是東亞地區(qū)大國(guó)主導(dǎo)權(quán)的缺失。 目前,在東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化中,東盟通過(guò)“10+3”機(jī)制、三個(gè)“10+1”機(jī)制,以及東盟地區(qū)論壇和東亞峰會(huì)等形式發(fā)揮主導(dǎo)作用。但是,東盟整體實(shí)力弱小的特點(diǎn)決定了東盟主導(dǎo)的東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化是不穩(wěn)定的,這種主導(dǎo)作用的發(fā)揮只是暫時(shí)的。 歐洲和北美地區(qū)合作的成功經(jīng)驗(yàn)向世人表明,一個(gè)或者多個(gè)核心大國(guó)的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)是區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化順利發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵。中日韓三國(guó)作為東亞地區(qū)實(shí)力雄厚的大國(guó),理應(yīng)順應(yīng)發(fā)展潮流,在東亞的經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化中發(fā)揮主導(dǎo)作用。本文在區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作主導(dǎo)權(quán)的有關(guān)理論和實(shí)踐的基礎(chǔ)上,首先分析目前東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化中主導(dǎo)權(quán)的現(xiàn)狀以及其存在的原因和弊端;進(jìn)而深入分析東北亞中日韓三國(guó)主導(dǎo)東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的可行性,并最終對(duì)東北亞在東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化中發(fā)揮主導(dǎo)作用的路徑進(jìn)行探索。 整篇論文共五章,其中第一章是緒論,介紹本選題的研究背景和意義,對(duì)本文的研究對(duì)象進(jìn)行界定,并分析相關(guān)課題的國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀,介紹主要內(nèi)容和研究方法以及本文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)。 第二章介紹區(qū)域合作主導(dǎo)權(quán)的相關(guān)理論和經(jīng)驗(yàn),分為兩節(jié)。第一節(jié)介紹理論基礎(chǔ),,區(qū)域合作主導(dǎo)權(quán)的相關(guān)理論即霸權(quán)穩(wěn)定論,分析說(shuō)明大國(guó)主導(dǎo)權(quán)對(duì)一個(gè)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化進(jìn)程的重要性。第二節(jié)介紹現(xiàn)實(shí)中關(guān)于大國(guó)主導(dǎo)的兩個(gè)成功的一體化組織,即歐盟和北美自由貿(mào)易區(qū)。歐盟是在法德主導(dǎo)的基礎(chǔ)上建立發(fā)展起來(lái)的,而美國(guó)則主導(dǎo)了北美自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的發(fā)展。從而可知大國(guó)在區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化中發(fā)揮的重要作用。 第三章闡述東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化進(jìn)程中的主導(dǎo)權(quán)現(xiàn)狀以及歷史沿革,即當(dāng)前在東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化進(jìn)程中,東盟發(fā)揮著主導(dǎo)作用,以及這種現(xiàn)狀形成的歷史原因。 第四章是本文的重點(diǎn)部分,主要分析東北亞主導(dǎo)東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的可行性,首先分析當(dāng)前東盟機(jī)制存在的缺陷,其次分析東北亞間的國(guó)家關(guān)系以及東北亞地區(qū)理應(yīng)獲得主導(dǎo)權(quán)的自身?xiàng)l件,主要是指綜合國(guó)力。這些條件包括:其一是硬實(shí)力方面,即將東北亞與東盟的經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力進(jìn)行對(duì)比分析,包括人口、國(guó)土面積、GDP、貨物貿(mào)易總額以及FDI的流入量等進(jìn)行對(duì)比。其二是軟實(shí)力方面,即將文化活力和政府的政治影響力等方面進(jìn)行對(duì)比。最后得出從長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看,東北亞能夠主導(dǎo)東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的結(jié)論。 第五章提出東北亞地區(qū)獲得主導(dǎo)權(quán)的路徑,即中日韓三國(guó)應(yīng)加強(qiáng)溝通,摒棄相互間的猜忌,擱置爭(zhēng)議,增強(qiáng)政治互信,為了區(qū)域內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,淡化矛盾,做出適當(dāng)讓步。 最后是文章結(jié)論。
[Abstract]:In the pattern of world economic development, East Asia is one of the regions with the fastest and most dynamic economic growth. In recent years, its regional economic integration has developed to a certain extent. However, compared with the regional cooperation in Europe and North America, There are many reasons for the slow economic integration in East Asia, the key of which is the lack of dominant power in East Asia. At present, ASEAN plays a leading role in East Asian economic integration through the "103" mechanism, the three "10 1" mechanisms, the ASEAN Regional Forum and the East Asia Summit. The weak overall strength of ASEAN determines that the economic integration of East Asia dominated by ASEAN is unstable, and the exertion of this leading role is only temporary. The successful experience of cooperation between Europe and North America has shown the world that the leadership of one or more core powers is the key to the smooth development of regional economic integration. We should follow the trend of development and play a leading role in the economic integration of East Asia. First of all, it analyzes the present situation of the dominant power in East Asian economic integration, the reasons and disadvantages of its existence, and then deeply analyzes the feasibility of East Asian economic integration dominated by China, Japan and South Korea in Northeast Asia. Finally, the path of Northeast Asia playing a leading role in East Asian economic integration is explored. The first chapter is an introduction, which introduces the research background and significance of this topic, defines the research object of this paper, and analyzes the domestic and foreign research status of related topics. This paper introduces the main contents and research methods as well as the innovation of this paper. The second chapter introduces the theory and experience of regional cooperation dominance, which is divided into two sections. The second section introduces the two successful integration organizations in reality. That is, the European Union and the North American Free Trade area (NAFTA). The European Union was established and developed on the basis of France and Germany, while the United States led the development of the North American Free Trade area, which shows the important role played by the great powers in the regional economic integration. The third chapter expounds the present situation and historical evolution of the leading power in the process of East Asian economic integration, that is, ASEAN plays a leading role in the process of East Asian economic integration, and the historical reasons for the formation of this situation. Chapter 4th is the key part of this paper, mainly analyzes the feasibility of East Asian economic integration led by Northeast Asia, first of all, analyzes the shortcomings of the current ASEAN mechanism. Secondly, it analyzes the inter-state relations in Northeast Asia and the conditions in which the Northeast Asian region should be entitled to take the lead, mainly referring to the comprehensive national strength. These conditions include: first, the hard power. That is, comparing the economic strength of Northeast Asia and ASEAN, including population, land area, gross domestic product, total trade in goods, and the inflow of FDI. Second, soft power. Finally, the conclusion is drawn that Northeast Asia can dominate the economic integration of East Asia in the long run. Chapter 5th puts forward the way to gain the dominant power in Northeast Asia, that is, China, Japan and South Korea should strengthen communication, abandon mutual suspicion, shelve disputes, strengthen political mutual trust, and make appropriate concessions for regional economic development, desalination of contradictions and appropriate concessions. Finally, the conclusion of the article.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:沈陽(yáng)理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F131
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