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基于系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)的東北亞區(qū)域能源合作分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-06 09:32

  本文選題:國(guó)際區(qū)域 + 能源合作; 參考:《長(zhǎng)春工業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文


【摘要】:在當(dāng)今時(shí)代,能源是國(guó)家和地區(qū)生存發(fā)展的重要力量。從最初的對(duì)煤炭資源的依賴,到對(duì)效率更高的油氣資源的掠奪,再向逐步提高可再生、清潔能源利用比例的過(guò)渡,能源始終擁有著多重的屬性。地區(qū)之間的政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)、文化的交往活動(dòng),往往以能源為媒介,因此與能源相關(guān)的一系列問(wèn)題決定著特定國(guó)際區(qū)域的安全與穩(wěn)定。 本文主要由五部分構(gòu)成:第一部分為第一章,在敘述論文選題意義、背景和目的的基礎(chǔ)上,通過(guò)搜集并整理國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者從不同視角、運(yùn)用不同方法對(duì)能源合作問(wèn)題的研究成果,得出用系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)研究國(guó)際區(qū)域能源合作問(wèn)題的合理性;第二部分為本文所依賴的基礎(chǔ)理論與方法,為文章的撰寫(xiě)提供理論支撐;在第三部分,通過(guò)研究東北亞這一特定國(guó)際區(qū)域能源合作的特征及性質(zhì),找出影響該區(qū)域能源合作的關(guān)鍵因素,并運(yùn)用解釋結(jié)構(gòu)模型得到因素之間的相互關(guān)聯(lián);第四部分是本文的核心,在設(shè)定系統(tǒng)模型條件的基礎(chǔ)上,通過(guò)變量和系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)方程的確定,構(gòu)建系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)模型;第五部分為本文的實(shí)證部分,將所收集的東北亞區(qū)域相關(guān)原始數(shù)據(jù)代入模型找到影響該區(qū)域能源合作的核心變量,為東北亞區(qū)域能源合作向著健康有序的發(fā)展提出建議對(duì)策。
[Abstract]:In the present era, energy is an important force for the survival and development of countries and regions. From the initial dependence on coal resources to the exploitation of more efficient oil and gas resources, and then to the gradual increase of renewable and clean energy utilization ratio, energy always has many attributes. The political, economic and cultural exchanges between regions are often mediated by energy, so a series of issues related to energy determine the security and stability of a particular international region. This paper is mainly composed of five parts: the first part is the first chapter, on the basis of describing the significance, background and purpose of the selected topic of the thesis, through collecting and sorting out the research results of domestic and foreign scholars from different angles of view, using different methods to solve the problem of energy cooperation. The rationality of using system dynamics to study the international regional energy cooperation is obtained. The second part is the basic theory and method that this paper relies on, which provides theoretical support for the writing of the article; in the third part, By studying the characteristics and properties of energy cooperation in Northeast Asia, the paper finds out the key factors that affect the energy cooperation in this region, and uses the explanatory structure model to get the correlation between the factors. The fourth part is the core of this paper. On the basis of setting the system model conditions, the system dynamics model is constructed by determining the variables and system dynamics equations. The fifth part is the empirical part of this paper. The collected raw data of Northeast Asia region are put into the model to find out the core variables that affect the energy cooperation in this region, and the countermeasures for the healthy and orderly development of the energy cooperation in Northeast Asia region are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:長(zhǎng)春工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F416.2;F114.46

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