本文選題：房地產(chǎn) + 項目　； 參考：《西安建筑科技大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：伴隨著我國經(jīng)濟的快速發(fā)展，我國在房地產(chǎn)領域的投資活動也越來越活躍。房地產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)歷了20多年的不斷發(fā)展和成熟，己成為我國國民經(jīng)濟的基礎性產(chǎn)業(yè)，已經(jīng)成為關乎社會是否和諧、人民生活是否安定的民生產(chǎn)業(yè)。與此同時，出于我國房地產(chǎn)市場的管理機制尚不完善，政策法規(guī)制度尚不健全的原因，導致了近些年在我國房地產(chǎn)市場上出現(xiàn)的房地產(chǎn)投資過熱、房產(chǎn)價格迅速上漲、國家的調控不理想等現(xiàn)象。目前房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)已經(jīng)成為國內眾多高風險行業(yè)之一，所以對房地產(chǎn)投資風險進行分析和研究也成為理論界和實業(yè)界面臨的重要課題。 本文以房地產(chǎn)項目的投資風險為研究對象，首先通過對房地產(chǎn)項目投資風險的含義及分類，房地產(chǎn)項目的風險風管理內容及流程的陳述，點名了對項目的投資風險進行評價在整個風險管理過程中的重要地位。其次結合我國房地產(chǎn)投資的實際情況，應用層次分析法的基本原理，將房地產(chǎn)項目的投資風險劃分為宏觀政策風險因素、市場環(huán)境風險因素、經(jīng)濟狀況風險因素、前期籌備階段的風險因素，建設階段的風險因素，后期租售階段的風險因素等六個準則層指標，同時對這六個風險指標所包含的21個子因子進行了詳細分析，在此基礎上構建了針對房地產(chǎn)項目投資風險的評價指標體系，建立了基于多層次灰色評價法的房地產(chǎn)項目投資風險的評價模型。最后本文以西安市某房地產(chǎn)項目為例，，對其投資風險進行了研究。通過研究得出結論：文章中所應用的多層次灰色評價模型充分發(fā)揮了層次分析法和灰色評價法的優(yōu)勢，充分利用了專家們的實踐和理論經(jīng)驗，令最終評價結果與該項目的實際開發(fā)情況基本相符，能夠達到幫助投資者對項目投資風險的分析與評價目的，進而為房地產(chǎn)項目的投資者提供更加科學，直觀的決策依據(jù)，具有較強的實用性。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of our country's economy, our country's investment activities in the real estate field are more and more active. After more than 20 years of continuous development and maturity, the real estate industry has become the basic industry of our national economy, and has become a livelihood industry related to the harmony of society and the stability of people's life. At the same time, because the management mechanism of the real estate market in our country is not perfect and the policies and regulations are not perfect, the real estate investment in our country's real estate market has overheated in recent years, and the real estate price is rising rapidly. The national regulation and control is not ideal and so on. At present, the real estate industry has become one of the many high-risk industries in China, so the analysis and research on the real estate investment risk has become an important subject facing the theoretical and industrial circles. This paper takes the investment risk of real estate project as the research object. First of all, it states the meaning and classification of the investment risk of the real estate project, the management content and process of the risk style of the real estate project. The important position of investment risk evaluation in the whole process of risk management is named. Secondly, combining the actual situation of real estate investment in our country, applying the basic principle of analytic hierarchy process, the investment risk of real estate project is divided into macro policy risk factor, market environment risk factor and economic condition risk factor. The risk factors in the preparatory stage, the risk factors in the construction phase, the risk factors in the later stage of leasing and sale, and so on, are analyzed in detail. At the same time, the 21 sub-factors included in these six risk indicators are analyzed in detail. On this basis, the evaluation index system of investment risk of real estate project is constructed, and the evaluation model of investment risk of real estate project based on multi-level grey evaluation method is established. Finally, this paper takes a real estate project in Xi'an as an example to study its investment risk. The conclusion is that the multi-level grey evaluation model used in this paper has made full use of the advantages of the analytic hierarchy process and the grey evaluation method, and made full use of the practice and theoretical experience of the experts. The final evaluation results are basically consistent with the actual development of the project, which can help investors to analyze and evaluate the investment risk of the project, and then provide more scientific and intuitive decision basis for the investors of the real estate project. It has strong practicability.
【學位授予單位】：西安建筑科技大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F275;F299.233.4

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