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中國(guó)區(qū)域間資本流動(dòng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異比較研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-02-22 10:16

  本文關(guān)鍵詞: 資本流動(dòng) 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 區(qū)域差異 GMM估計(jì) 出處:《西南政法大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:伴隨著中國(guó)市場(chǎng)化進(jìn)程的不斷深化以及國(guó)家區(qū)域發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的調(diào)整與轉(zhuǎn)移,中國(guó)區(qū)域間的資本流動(dòng)方向、流動(dòng)規(guī)模乃至流動(dòng)速度都在不斷發(fā)生著變化。資本流動(dòng)不僅影響著區(qū)域間的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)水平,還是造成區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異的重要因素。如何從資本流動(dòng)的視角下對(duì)中國(guó)區(qū)域間的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異進(jìn)行比較研究,如何更好地發(fā)揮資本流動(dòng)在促進(jìn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)均衡發(fā)展的調(diào)節(jié)作用,這對(duì)于逐步縮小地區(qū)發(fā)展差距,促進(jìn)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的協(xié)調(diào)、持續(xù)、健康發(fā)展具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文以中國(guó)區(qū)域間資本流動(dòng)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異的影響為研究對(duì)象。目的在于探討資本流動(dòng)與地區(qū)間經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異的關(guān)聯(lián)性。 首先,本文對(duì)資本流動(dòng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相關(guān)理論加以梳理和歸納,然后在簡(jiǎn)要介紹中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)域的劃分的基礎(chǔ)上分別分析了我國(guó)東、中、西部地區(qū)資本流動(dòng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的現(xiàn)狀及差異性,進(jìn)而分析了基于資本流動(dòng)的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異的原因。 其次,本文在對(duì)資本流動(dòng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)相關(guān)理論、指標(biāo)進(jìn)行比較分析的基礎(chǔ)上,建立起較為合理的理論模型及假說,分別運(yùn)用靜態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)模型、動(dòng)態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)模型對(duì)1996—2010年的中國(guó)區(qū)域間資本流動(dòng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究。實(shí)證研究發(fā)現(xiàn):中部地區(qū)的固定資產(chǎn)投資與該地區(qū)的人均GDP水平呈負(fù)相關(guān),其可能的原因是中部地區(qū)的資本投入更多的表現(xiàn)為對(duì)私人投資的“擠出效應(yīng)”,資本流向更多地表現(xiàn)為非生產(chǎn)領(lǐng)域。而在勞動(dòng)力方面,西部地區(qū)的人口老齡化與其人均GDP水平呈負(fù)相關(guān),,其可能的原因是西部地區(qū)資本要素在高資本回報(bào)率的引導(dǎo)下,將向東、中部地區(qū)流動(dòng),同時(shí)西部地區(qū)作為資本流出地也減少了本地區(qū)的勞動(dòng)力適齡人口,不利于勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率的提高。 最后,針對(duì)結(jié)論,提出如下對(duì)策建議:優(yōu)化投資環(huán)境,提高資本流動(dòng)效率;建立區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)投資基金,支持中西部地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展;堅(jiān)持因地制宜,促進(jìn)中西部城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)健康發(fā)展;加大對(duì)外開放,吸引資金流入;完善政策調(diào)整機(jī)制,合理引導(dǎo)資本流向。以此提高區(qū)域間的資本合理流動(dòng)效率,推動(dòng)區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異的縮小,進(jìn)而實(shí)現(xiàn)區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)、持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)與發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's market-oriented process and the adjustment and transfer of national regional development strategy, the direction of capital flow among regions in China, The scale of flow and even the speed of flow are constantly changing. Capital flows not only affect the level of economic growth among regions. How to make a comparative study on the difference of regional economic growth in China from the perspective of capital flow. How to better play the regulating role of capital flow in promoting the balanced development of regional economy, which will gradually narrow the gap of regional development, promote the coordination of China's economy and society, and continue, It is of great practical significance to develop healthily. This paper focuses on the influence of regional capital flow on economic growth difference in China. The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between capital flow and regional economic growth difference. First of all, this paper sorts out and summarizes the theories of capital flow and economic growth, and then analyzes the east and middle of China on the basis of brief introduction of the division of China's economic regions. The present situation and difference between capital flow and economic growth in the western region are analyzed, and the reasons for the difference in regional economic growth based on capital flow are analyzed. Secondly, on the basis of comparative analysis of the related theories and indicators of capital flow and economic growth, a more reasonable theoretical model and hypothesis are established, and the static panel data model is used respectively. The dynamic panel data model is an empirical study on the relationship between inter-regional capital flows and economic growth in China from 1996 to 2010. The empirical study shows that the fixed asset investment in the central region is negatively correlated with the per capita GDP level in the central region. The possible reason for this is that capital investment in the central region is more manifested as a "crowding out effect" on private investment, and capital flows to non-productive areas, while in the labour sector, The aging of the population in the western region is negatively correlated with the level of GDP per capita. The possible reason is that the capital elements in the western region will flow eastward and centrally under the guidance of the high rate of return on capital. At the same time, as a capital outflow area, the western region also reduces the labor force age population, which is not conducive to the improvement of labor productivity. Finally, in view of the conclusion, the following countermeasures and suggestions are put forward: optimizing the investment environment, improving the efficiency of capital flow, establishing regional industrial investment fund to support the industrial development in the central and western regions, insisting on the measures taken in accordance with local conditions, To promote the healthy development of urbanization in the central and western regions, to open wider to the outside world, to attract capital inflows, to perfect the policy adjustment mechanism, and to rationally guide the capital flow, so as to improve the efficiency of rational capital flow among regions, Promote the narrowing of regional economic growth gap, and then achieve interregional economic coordination, sustained growth and development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南政法大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F124.1;F832.5

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