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金融政策對(duì)長(zhǎng)春市一手房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的影響研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-07 06:20

  本文選題:金融政策 + 一手房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng) ; 參考:《吉林大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:在我國(guó)的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)發(fā)展中,金融政策調(diào)控的作用日益增強(qiáng),金融政策中對(duì)貨幣、信貸、利率、匯率等工具的應(yīng)用也越來(lái)越多。我國(guó)的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)地區(qū)之間發(fā)展較不均衡,一、二線城市房?jī)r(jià)高,購(gòu)房需求高,三、四線城市房?jī)r(jià)偏低,呈現(xiàn)結(jié)構(gòu)性過(guò)剩。長(zhǎng)春市的一手房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)主要以剛性需求為主,同時(shí)也存在著一手商品房的高空置率和住房不足的矛盾。房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)具有信息不對(duì)稱(chēng)、準(zhǔn)“公共物品”等屬性,這些特點(diǎn)決定了房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)是非完全競(jìng)爭(zhēng)性的市場(chǎng),是壟斷競(jìng)爭(zhēng)性的市場(chǎng)。要想商品房市場(chǎng)健康有序發(fā)展,必須運(yùn)用政府——這只“看得見(jiàn)的手”來(lái)進(jìn)行宏觀調(diào)控,彌補(bǔ)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)自身發(fā)展的缺陷和不足。本文系統(tǒng)的分析了長(zhǎng)春市一手房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的現(xiàn)狀,歸納總結(jié)從2008年-2016年長(zhǎng)春市政府及相關(guān)部門(mén)出臺(tái)的金融調(diào)控政策,從貨幣政策、信貸政策、利率政策和匯率政策四個(gè)方面進(jìn)行分析,引入變量,通過(guò)分析近十年長(zhǎng)春市一手商品房環(huán)比、同比價(jià)格指數(shù)變化,利用實(shí)證數(shù)據(jù)檢驗(yàn)政策出臺(tái)和執(zhí)行的實(shí)際效果,分析影響結(jié)果,探究不足。最后為長(zhǎng)春市一手房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)發(fā)展提出更加完善的金融調(diào)控政策建議。本文分五章進(jìn)行研究,具體如下:第一章對(duì)金融宏觀調(diào)控政策進(jìn)行總結(jié)概述,從理論上分析和確定金融政策的含義和傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制,概述金融政策的四個(gè)種類(lèi)以及政府宏觀調(diào)控房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的作用,說(shuō)明金融政策作為國(guó)家宏觀調(diào)控房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的手段的理論依據(jù)。第二章分析長(zhǎng)春市一手房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,歸納總結(jié)2008年至今長(zhǎng)春市政府及相關(guān)部門(mén)出臺(tái)的各項(xiàng)金融宏觀調(diào)控政策。第三章是通過(guò)貨幣政策、信貸政策、利率政策和匯率政策來(lái)分別分析金融政策的出臺(tái)對(duì)長(zhǎng)春市一手房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的影響,提煉各個(gè)金融調(diào)控手段的作用和特點(diǎn)。第四章引入2007年-2016年期間長(zhǎng)春市一手商品房的銷(xiāo)售價(jià)格指數(shù)作為變量,利用實(shí)證數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)具體分析金融政策對(duì)長(zhǎng)春市一手房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的影響,分析結(jié)果,探究不足。第五章為長(zhǎng)春市一手房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)提出了一些切實(shí)可行的金融宏觀調(diào)控政策建議。
[Abstract]:In the development of China's real estate market, the role of financial policy regulation is increasing, and the application of monetary, credit, interest rate, exchange rate and other tools in financial policy is becoming more and more. The development of the real estate market in our country is not balanced. First, the housing prices in the second tier cities are high, the demand for housing is high, and the housing prices in the third and fourth tier cities are on the low side, showing a structural surplus. The primary real estate market in Changchun is dominated by rigid demand, and there is also a contradiction between the high vacancy rate and the shortage of housing. The real estate industry is characterized by asymmetric information and quasi-" public goods ", which determines that the real estate market is not completely competitive and is a monopolistic competitive market. In order to develop the commercial housing market in a healthy and orderly manner, the government must use the "visible hand" to make up for the defects and deficiencies in the development of the real estate market itself. This paper systematically analyzes the current situation of Changchun primary real estate market, summarizes the financial regulation policies issued by Changchun municipal government and related departments from 2008 to 2016, monetary policy, credit policy, Through the analysis of four aspects of interest rate policy and exchange rate policy, introducing variables, through analyzing the month-to-month comparison of primary commodity housing in Changchun over the past ten years and the change of price index, we use empirical data to test the actual effect of the policy coming out and implementing. Analysis of the impact of the results, the lack of exploration. Finally, put forward more perfect financial regulation and control policy suggestions for the long-term development of Changchun primary real estate market. This paper is divided into five chapters, as follows: the first chapter summarizes the financial macro-control policy, theoretically analyzes and determines the meaning and transmission mechanism of financial policy. This paper summarizes the four kinds of financial policies and the role of the government in the macro-control of the real estate market, and explains the theoretical basis of the financial policy as the means of the national macro-control of the real estate market. The second chapter analyzes the current situation of Changchun primary real estate market, summarizes the Changchun municipal government and related departments issued from 2008 to the financial macro-control policies. The third chapter analyzes the impact of financial policy on Changchun real estate market through monetary policy, credit policy, interest rate policy and exchange rate policy. The fourth chapter introduces the sales price index of primary commodity housing in Changchun from 2007 to 2016 as a variable, using empirical data to analyze the impact of financial policy on Changchun real estate market. The fifth chapter puts forward some feasible financial macro-control policy suggestions for Changchun primary real estate market.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F299.23

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