發(fā)布時間：2018-01-12 17:19

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：住房價格對人力資本的篩選作用：理論與實(shí)證　出處：《華中師范大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 住房價格 人力資本 跨區(qū)流動 篩選作用

【摘要】：給人留下了深刻印象。對某一個城市而言,我們不禁想問,住房價格上漲對該城市發(fā)展有著什么樣的影響?住房價格上漲是否能培育出該城市的內(nèi)生增長動力?其作用機(jī)制和路徑又是什么樣的?基于此,本文將依據(jù)內(nèi)生增長理論和實(shí)證的研究方法,從人力資本跨區(qū)選擇與流動角度,探討住房價格對人力資本的篩選作用,嘗試回答這些問題。具體地,本文試圖從城市內(nèi)部的自生能力、城市之間要素梯級流動的視角,解釋住房價格,同時,運(yùn)用實(shí)證方法檢驗(yàn)住房價格對人力資本的篩選作用,以期為地方政府促進(jìn)人才聚集、經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長提供政策方面的參考。為此,文章梳理了國內(nèi)外住房價格驅(qū)動因素、人力資本與收入、住房價格與人力資本跨區(qū)流動的相關(guān)理論與文獻(xiàn),并做簡要評述。在此基礎(chǔ)上,文章創(chuàng)新性地依據(jù)要素的可流動性,構(gòu)建了一個城市內(nèi)生發(fā)展的理論模型。在實(shí)證部分,文章運(yùn)用全國35個大中城市2006-2013年的面板數(shù)據(jù),經(jīng)LSDV檢驗(yàn)后,采用混合回歸分析了住房價格、工資水平與人力資本水平的關(guān)系。實(shí)證發(fā)現(xiàn),(1)從增量的角度看,規(guī)模越大,房價越高的城市,增量流入的人力資本水平越高(篩選作用)；(2)從存量的角度看,規(guī)模越大,房價越高的城市,存量人力資本從住房價格上漲中獲得的財富收益越多(財富效應(yīng)),其人力資本的產(chǎn)出水平越低(擠出效應(yīng))；(3)綜合住房價格對人力資本產(chǎn)生的財富效應(yīng)和擠出效應(yīng),人力資本的這種跨區(qū)域流動現(xiàn)象,對流入地經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的凈效應(yīng)是復(fù)雜的,有可能是一種倒U型關(guān)系。主要結(jié)論有：住房價格對人力資本具有篩選作用。城市的住房價格水平對應(yīng)一定的工資水平,高學(xué)歷勞動者為高工資所吸引聚集到對應(yīng)城市,提高了該城市的人力資本水平,并促進(jìn)該城市規(guī)模擴(kuò)大,進(jìn)一步提高工資水平,吸引更多高學(xué)歷勞動者聚集,同時城市住房價格逐漸上漲,將擠出低收入的低學(xué)歷勞動者,而該城市的高工資水平繼續(xù)吸引高學(xué)歷勞動者,但當(dāng)住房價格上漲到一定水平,由于財富效應(yīng)的作用,會擠出存量人力資本的潛在產(chǎn)出水平,進(jìn)而抑制城市內(nèi)生增長能力。因此,住房價格通過人力資本的篩選作用,對城市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的動態(tài)影響可能呈倒U型特征。本文的研究也存在許多不足之處,文章最后做了詳細(xì)討論,并提出了研究展望。
[Abstract]:It's impressive. For a city, we can't help asking, what is the impact of rising housing prices on the development of that city? Will rising housing prices foster the city's endogenous growth momentum? What is the mechanism and path of its action? Based on this, based on the endogenous growth theory and empirical research methods, from the perspective of human capital cross-regional selection and flow, this paper will explore the role of housing prices in the screening of human capital, and try to answer these questions. This paper attempts to explain the housing price from the perspective of the endogenous capacity of the city and the cascade flow of the elements between cities. At the same time, it uses the empirical method to test the role of housing price in the screening of human capital. In order to promote the local government to promote the accumulation of talent, economic growth to provide policy reference. Therefore, the article combed the driving factors of domestic and foreign housing prices, human capital and income. Based on the theory and literature of housing price and human capital transregional mobility, the paper innovatively bases on the mobility of elements. This paper constructs a theoretical model of urban endogenous development. In the empirical part, the paper uses the panel data of 35 large and medium-sized cities in China from 2006 to 2013, after LSDV test. The paper uses mixed regression analysis to analyze the relationship between housing price, wage level and human capital level. The empirical results show that from the perspective of increment, the larger the scale, the higher the housing price. The higher the human capital level of incremental inflow; From the stock point of view, the larger the scale, the higher the housing prices, the more wealth the stock of human capital gains from rising housing prices (wealth effect). The lower the output level of human capital is (extrusion effect); 3) the wealth effect and crowding out effect of comprehensive housing price on human capital, the phenomenon of human capital flowing across regions, the net effect on the economic growth of floating land is complex. The main conclusion is that housing price has a screening effect on human capital, and the housing price level of the city corresponds to a certain wage level. Highly educated workers are attracted to the corresponding city by high wages, which improves the human capital level of the city, and promotes the expansion of the city scale, further improve the wage level, attract more highly educated workers to gather. At the same time, urban housing prices are gradually rising, will crowd out low-income low-educated workers, and the city's high wage level continues to attract high-educated workers, but when housing prices rise to a certain level. Because of the effect of wealth, the potential output level of the stock human capital will be squeezed out, and the endogenous growth ability of the city will be restrained. Therefore, the housing price is screened by the human capital. The dynamic influence on urban economic development may be of inverted U shape. There are also many deficiencies in this paper. Finally, the paper makes a detailed discussion and puts forward the research prospect.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F299.23;F249.21

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本文編號：1415210