【摘要】：2013年習(xí)近平總書記提出的“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略助推了中國對外直接投資的加速發(fā)展,同時加大對“一帶一路”沿線國家的投資也是推動國際產(chǎn)能合作和實(shí)現(xiàn)“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略的關(guān)鍵一環(huán)。鑒于“一帶一路”沿線國家的異質(zhì)性特征和空間關(guān)聯(lián),本文運(yùn)用2005-2015年中國對“一帶一路”沿線48個國家直接投資的數(shù)據(jù),通過構(gòu)建空間面板模型,實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)中國對沿線國家直接投資的影響因素和第三國效應(yīng),分析中國對沿線國家直接投資的影響因素。本文首先在對相關(guān)理論和文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行梳理的基礎(chǔ)上,分析了中國在沿線國家直接投資的現(xiàn)狀;接下來運(yùn)用莫蘭指數(shù)進(jìn)行了中國OFDI的空間自相關(guān)檢驗(yàn),進(jìn)而通過建立空間滯后模型(SAR)和空間誤差模型(SEM)研究中國OFDI的第三國效應(yīng)和影響因素;最后將沿線國家按收入水平差異分為兩組,對比分析在不同發(fā)展水平的東道國,中國OFDI影響因素的差異。本文發(fā)現(xiàn)(1)中國在“一帶一路”沿線的對外直接投資存在第三國效應(yīng),中國OFDI的集聚效應(yīng)是第三國效應(yīng)的主要來源,第三國市場潛力和來自第三國的不可測因素同樣是影響中國OFDI的重要因素;(2)東道國異質(zhì)性因素如自然資源可得性、基礎(chǔ)實(shí)施水平、勞動力成本和中國對東道國出口等對中國OFDI的影響顯著,但這些因素對不同收入水平國家的影響有所差異。
[Abstract]:The "Belt and Road Initiative" strategy put forward by General Secretary Xi Jinping in 2013 promoted the accelerated development of China's foreign direct investment. At the same time, increasing investment in countries along the "Belt and Road Initiative" route is also a key link in promoting international capacity cooperation and realizing the "3500" strategy. In view of the heterogeneity and spatial correlation of the countries along "Belt and Road Initiative", this paper uses the data of China's direct investment in 48 countries along "Belt and Road Initiative" from 2005 to 2015, and empirically tests the influencing factors and third country effects of China's direct investment to the countries along the route by constructing the spatial panel model, and analyzes the influencing factors of China's direct investment to the countries along the route. Firstly, on the basis of combing the relevant theories and literature, this paper analyzes the present situation of Chinese direct investment in countries along the route, then uses Moran index to test the spatial autocorrelation of OFDI in China, and then studies the third country effect and influencing factors of OFDI in China by establishing spatial lag model (SAR) and spatial error model (SEM). Finally, the countries along the route are divided into two groups according to the income level difference, and the differences of influencing factors of OFDI in the host country with different development levels are compared and analyzed. In this paper, it is found that (1) there is a third country effect in China's foreign direct investment along the "Belt and Road Initiative" route. The agglomeration effect of China's OFDI is the main source of the third country effect. The market potential of the third country and the unpredictable factors from the third country are also important factors affecting China's OFDI; (2) the host country heterogeneity factors, such as the availability of natural resources, the level of basic implementation, labor costs and Chinese exports to the host country, have significant effects on China's OFDI, but these factors have different effects on countries with different income levels.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：昆明理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F125

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 楊道玲;王t熻，

本文編號：2508932