移民匯款對母國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響的研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-10-15 16:40
【摘要】：20世紀(jì)90年代以來,隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的發(fā)展,國際間移民匯款的流動愈來愈活躍,移民匯款逐漸成為發(fā)展中國家一項非常重要的資本來源,是僅次于直接投資的第二大資本流動。移民匯款規(guī)模的增大,引起了國際社會和學(xué)者的關(guān)注與研究。然而目前國內(nèi)關(guān)于移民匯款與母國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系之間的研究較少,沒有針對中國移民匯款對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長作用進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)的剖析。本文在前人基礎(chǔ)上從理論和實證兩方面對移民匯款對母國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的機(jī)制和作用進(jìn)行分析。 理論方面,本文分別從資本積累、勞動力增長、資本積累效率和實際匯率這四個渠道入手,厘清移民匯款對母國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的作用機(jī)理。 實證方面,本文先將發(fā)展中國家作為研究對象,檢驗移民匯款與發(fā)展中國家之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系,通過引入金融發(fā)展變量,驗證發(fā)展中國家的移民匯款是否通過促進(jìn)本國金融發(fā)展影響經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長。然后本文以中國作為個體研究對象,研究中國移民匯款與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系。在這部分,首先是通過構(gòu)建影響移民匯款決定因素模型,分析影響中國移民匯款的因素；接著從簡化式入手,通過協(xié)整方程探究移民匯款與中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的長期關(guān)系；最后引入移民匯款與實際匯率模型,分析移民匯款是否會引發(fā)實際匯率升值,從而帶來“荷蘭病”問題,影響經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長。 本文的主要結(jié)論為：1、在本文的樣本中,移民匯款會引起發(fā)展中國家經(jīng)濟(jì)的衰減,但是在不同地區(qū)移民匯款對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長產(chǎn)生的影響不同。2、中國移民匯款具有逆周期性,但自私動機(jī)是影響移民匯款的主要原因。3、移民匯款在長期中會促進(jìn)中國經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長。4、移民匯款的流入會引發(fā)實際匯率的升值,但升值效應(yīng)在1998年之后有所縮減。移民匯款的流入會產(chǎn)生資源轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng),不可貿(mào)易部門產(chǎn)出增加,可貿(mào)易部門產(chǎn)出減少。
[Abstract]:Since the 1990s, with the development of economic globalization, the flow of international migrant remittances has become more and more active, and migrant remittances have gradually become a very important source of capital for developing countries. It is the second largest capital flow after direct investment. The increase in the scale of migrant remittances has attracted the attention and research of the international community and scholars. However, there are few studies on the relationship between migrant remittances and the economic growth of home countries, and there is no systematic analysis of the effect of Chinese migrant remittances on economic growth. On the basis of predecessors, this paper analyzes the mechanism and effect of migrant remittances on the economic growth of home countries from both theoretical and empirical aspects. Theoretically, this paper starts with the four channels of capital accumulation, labor force growth, capital accumulation efficiency and real exchange rate, and clarifies the mechanism of the effect of migrant remittances on the economic growth of home country. In the empirical aspect, this paper first takes the developing countries as the research object, tests the relationship between the migrant remittances and the economic growth of the developing countries, and introduces the financial development variables. Test whether migrant remittances from developing countries affect economic growth by promoting their own financial development. Then this paper takes China as an individual research object to study the relationship between Chinese migrant remittances and economic growth. In this part, first of all, by constructing the determinant factor model of migrant remittances, the paper analyzes the factors that affect Chinese migrant remittances, and then explores the long-term relationship between migrant remittances and China's economic growth through cointegration equation. Finally, the paper introduces the model of migrant remittance and real exchange rate, and analyzes whether the migrant remittance will lead to the appreciation of real exchange rate, which will bring about the problem of "Dutch disease" and affect the economic growth. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: 1, in the sample of this paper, migrant remittances will cause economic decline in developing countries, but the impact of migrant remittances on economic growth is different in different regions. 2. But selfish motivation is the main reason for affecting migrant remittances. 3. In the long run, migrant remittances will promote the growth of Chinese economy. 4. The inflow of migrant remittances will lead to the appreciation of the real exchange rate, but the effect of appreciation will be reduced after 1998. The inflow of migrant remittances has a resource transfer effect, non-tradable sector output increases and tradable sector output decreases.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廈門大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.6;F124.1
本文編號：2273141
[Abstract]:Since the 1990s, with the development of economic globalization, the flow of international migrant remittances has become more and more active, and migrant remittances have gradually become a very important source of capital for developing countries. It is the second largest capital flow after direct investment. The increase in the scale of migrant remittances has attracted the attention and research of the international community and scholars. However, there are few studies on the relationship between migrant remittances and the economic growth of home countries, and there is no systematic analysis of the effect of Chinese migrant remittances on economic growth. On the basis of predecessors, this paper analyzes the mechanism and effect of migrant remittances on the economic growth of home countries from both theoretical and empirical aspects. Theoretically, this paper starts with the four channels of capital accumulation, labor force growth, capital accumulation efficiency and real exchange rate, and clarifies the mechanism of the effect of migrant remittances on the economic growth of home country. In the empirical aspect, this paper first takes the developing countries as the research object, tests the relationship between the migrant remittances and the economic growth of the developing countries, and introduces the financial development variables. Test whether migrant remittances from developing countries affect economic growth by promoting their own financial development. Then this paper takes China as an individual research object to study the relationship between Chinese migrant remittances and economic growth. In this part, first of all, by constructing the determinant factor model of migrant remittances, the paper analyzes the factors that affect Chinese migrant remittances, and then explores the long-term relationship between migrant remittances and China's economic growth through cointegration equation. Finally, the paper introduces the model of migrant remittance and real exchange rate, and analyzes whether the migrant remittance will lead to the appreciation of real exchange rate, which will bring about the problem of "Dutch disease" and affect the economic growth. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: 1, in the sample of this paper, migrant remittances will cause economic decline in developing countries, but the impact of migrant remittances on economic growth is different in different regions. 2. But selfish motivation is the main reason for affecting migrant remittances. 3. In the long run, migrant remittances will promote the growth of Chinese economy. 4. The inflow of migrant remittances will lead to the appreciation of the real exchange rate, but the effect of appreciation will be reduced after 1998. The inflow of migrant remittances has a resource transfer effect, non-tradable sector output increases and tradable sector output decreases.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廈門大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.6;F124.1
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條
1 韋德·唐納德·普福;龍清江;王愛松;;越南國際匯款的決定因素及其對家庭福利的影響[J];國際社會科學(xué)雜志(中文版);2010年04期
2 梁在;諸岡秀樹;趙慧英;;國際移民與發(fā)展:以中國為例[J];中國勞動經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué);2006年03期
，本文編號：2273141
本文鏈接：http://www.sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/shijiejingjilunwen/2273141.html
最近更新
教材專著
