本文選題：產(chǎn)品復(fù)雜度指數(shù) + 產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)�。� 參考：《經(jīng)濟(jì)管理》2017年05期

【摘要】：在中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展面臨著"三期疊加"的挑戰(zhàn),發(fā)展進(jìn)入新常態(tài)的背景下,如何實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的升級(jí)來刺激經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)一步發(fā)展成為學(xué)者們熱烈討論的話題。特別是在中國(guó)成為"制造大國(guó)"的今天,如何消化過剩產(chǎn)能,實(shí)現(xiàn)"供給側(cè)改革"也引起了格外的關(guān)注。本文從產(chǎn)品空間理論的研究視角出發(fā),以全球產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)庫中的1962—2013年期間的數(shù)據(jù)為依據(jù),實(shí)證對(duì)比分析了產(chǎn)品復(fù)雜性水平對(duì)中國(guó)和日本產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的作用機(jī)制。研究結(jié)果表明:(1)中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)中的優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)數(shù)量增長(zhǎng)十分迅速,但是,在產(chǎn)品空間連接緊密的核心區(qū)域的優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)數(shù)量有限,產(chǎn)品復(fù)雜性指數(shù)(PCI)與日本相差較遠(yuǎn),產(chǎn)業(yè)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力有限;(2)中國(guó)全產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)品復(fù)雜度一定程度上抑制了產(chǎn)業(yè)的升級(jí)發(fā)展,同時(shí)也抑制了相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)品失勢(shì)和市場(chǎng)退出,而日本全產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)品復(fù)雜度則推動(dòng)了日本產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)一步升級(jí)發(fā)展,并且有利于相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)品失勢(shì)與市場(chǎng)退出;(3)在中國(guó)制造業(yè)的升級(jí)發(fā)展過程中,既存在著產(chǎn)品復(fù)雜度水平低,與日本差距較大帶來的挑戰(zhàn),同時(shí),本文又看到,制造業(yè)的產(chǎn)品復(fù)雜度對(duì)制造業(yè)升級(jí)發(fā)展影響相比于全產(chǎn)業(yè)抑制作用的弱化,以及對(duì)制造業(yè)相關(guān)產(chǎn)品失勢(shì)與市場(chǎng)退出的推動(dòng)作用帶來的發(fā)展機(jī)遇。
[Abstract]:Under the background that China's economic development is facing the challenge of "three phases superposition", how to realize the upgrading of industrial structure to stimulate the further development of economy has become a hot topic for scholars to discuss. Especially when China becomes a "manufacturing country", how to digest excess capacity and realize "supply-side reform" has also attracted special attention. From the perspective of product space theory, based on the data from 1962-2013 in the global product trade database, this paper empirically analyzes the mechanism of product complexity level on the upgrading of industrial structure in China and Japan. The results show that: (1) the number of superior industries in China's industrial structure is growing rapidly, but the number of dominant industries in the core regions with close product space is limited, and the product complexity index (PCI) is far from that of Japan. (2) the product complexity of the whole industry in China to some extent inhibits the upgrading and development of the industry, and at the same time inhibits the loss of the products of the related industries and the withdrawal of the market. The product complexity of the whole industry in Japan promotes the further upgrading and development of Japanese industry, and is conducive to the decline of related industries and the withdrawal of the market. (3) in the process of upgrading and developing Chinese manufacturing industry, there is a low level of product complexity. At the same time, this paper also finds that the impact of manufacturing complexity on the upgrading of manufacturing industry is weaker than that of the whole industry. And the development opportunities brought by the loss of manufacturing related products and the promotion of market withdrawal.
【作者單位】： 西安交通大學(xué)管理學(xué)院;武漢大學(xué)企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略管理研究所;
【基金】：國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)組合、競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力空間與結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型研究”(71372124),國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“中國(guó)新創(chuàng)企業(yè)的成長(zhǎng)戰(zhàn)略研究——基于網(wǎng)絡(luò)進(jìn)化與制度創(chuàng)新相結(jié)合視角”(71428005) 國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金重大項(xiàng)目“全球生產(chǎn)網(wǎng)絡(luò)、知識(shí)權(quán)保護(hù)與中國(guó)外貿(mào)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力提升研究”(15ZDB155)
【分類號(hào)】：F121.3;F131.3

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