本文選題：人民幣國(guó)際化 + 資本項(xiàng)目可兌換��； 參考：《浙江大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：本文在貨幣國(guó)際化概念界定、相關(guān)理論與模型及人民幣國(guó)際化的條件、現(xiàn)狀和路徑等理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)于人民幣國(guó)際化發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析,并對(duì)日元國(guó)際化的經(jīng)驗(yàn)教訓(xùn)進(jìn)行總結(jié)和借鑒。在理論和實(shí)證分析的鋪墊后,本文對(duì)于人民幣國(guó)際化的現(xiàn)狀、人民幣國(guó)際化的發(fā)展趨勢(shì),人民幣國(guó)際化的問(wèn)題及對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響進(jìn)行了一一分析研究。并總結(jié)歸納了人民幣國(guó)際化發(fā)展趨勢(shì)對(duì)于中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的積極影響。 本文的研究結(jié)論是： 1、現(xiàn)行外匯管制的完善、跨境貿(mào)易人民幣結(jié)算大幅提高、經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力及綜合實(shí)力的穩(wěn)步提升為人民幣國(guó)際化提供了堅(jiān)實(shí)條件,目前的時(shí)機(jī)是恰當(dāng)?shù)模?2、政府對(duì)國(guó)際化進(jìn)程提供了良好的宏觀運(yùn)行環(huán)境,推動(dòng)了人民幣國(guó)際化進(jìn)程,人民幣的跨境貿(mào)易結(jié)算、對(duì)外投資和人民幣貨幣完全兌換,并減少了人民幣匯率波動(dòng)帶來(lái)的不確定性。人民幣國(guó)際化在2013年以后會(huì)加快實(shí)質(zhì)性步伐； 3、在通過(guò)多種渠道輸出人民幣的同時(shí),必須有序開(kāi)放國(guó)內(nèi)金融市場(chǎng),建立境外人民幣的回流渠道,推進(jìn)資產(chǎn)管理發(fā)揮其各方面優(yōu)勢(shì),人民幣國(guó)際化才能繼續(xù)推進(jìn)；而上海國(guó)際金融中心的建設(shè)正與人民幣國(guó)際化發(fā)展相輔相成； 4、人民幣國(guó)際化進(jìn)程中不容忽視如跨境貿(mào)易人民幣結(jié)算的發(fā)展不平衡、其中的套利融資等投機(jī)活動(dòng)及導(dǎo)致內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟(jì)體間矛盾等眾多問(wèn)題； 5、在充分考慮所帶來(lái)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和問(wèn)題下,人民幣國(guó)際化對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響總體來(lái)說(shuō)是積極的,持續(xù)和穩(wěn)定的。人民幣國(guó)際化有利于構(gòu)建國(guó)際化金融體系,對(duì)資產(chǎn)管理提供新的機(jī)遇和挑戰(zhàn)；同時(shí)能夠提高我國(guó)在全球宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策中的影響力和國(guó)際事務(wù)中的話語(yǔ)權(quán),很有可能成為中國(guó)繼人口紅利后的下一個(gè)紅利。
[Abstract]:Based on the definition of the concept of currency internationalization, the relevant theories and models, the conditions, current situation and path of RMB internationalization, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the current situation of RMB internationalization. And the yen internationalization experience and lessons are summarized and used for reference. After theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper analyzes the current situation of RMB internationalization, the development trend of RMB internationalization, the problems of RMB internationalization and its impact on Chinese economy. And summarized the RMB internationalization development trend to the Chinese economy positive influence. The conclusions of this paper are as follows: 1, the perfection of current foreign exchange control, the substantial improvement of RMB settlement of cross-border trade, and the steady upgrading of economic strength and comprehensive strength provide a solid condition for the internationalization of RMB. The current timing is appropriate; 2. The government has provided a good macro operating environment for the internationalization process, promoted the process of RMB internationalization, RMB cross-border trade settlement, foreign investment and full convertibility of RMB currency. And reduced the volatility of the RMB exchange rate uncertainty. RMB internationalization will accelerate its substantive pace after 2013. 3. While exporting RMB through various channels, it is necessary to open the domestic financial market in an orderly manner and establish a return channel for overseas RMB. Only by promoting asset management to bring its advantages into full play can RMB internationalization continue to advance, and the construction of Shanghai International Financial Center is complementary to the development of RMB internationalization. 4. In the process of RMB internationalization, the development of RMB settlement in cross-border trade should not be ignored, such as the unbalanced development of RMB settlement in cross-border trade, speculative activities such as arbitrage financing and leading to contradictions between domestic and foreign economies, and so on. 5. After fully considering the risks and problems, the impact of RMB internationalization on China's economy is generally positive, sustained and stable. RMB internationalization is conducive to the construction of an international financial system and provides new opportunities and challenges for asset management. At the same time, it can enhance China's influence in global macroeconomic policy and its voice in international affairs. It is likely to be China's next dividend after the demographic dividend.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F124;F832.6

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本文編號(hào)：2049011