本文選題：新常態(tài) + 中國經(jīng)濟��； 參考：《科技促進發(fā)展》2016年05期

【摘要】：近年來,全球經(jīng)濟呈現(xiàn)出經(jīng)濟增長短期停滯,通貨緊縮壓力增大,政策刺激的邊際效應弱化,實體經(jīng)濟不振,經(jīng)濟復蘇的不確定性加大等典型特征。我國經(jīng)濟同樣面臨著"四降一升"的問題。在經(jīng)濟復蘇的道路上,我國經(jīng)濟與世界經(jīng)濟增長具有很強的邏輯一致性。從長期來看,解決危機最核心的手段是結(jié)構(gòu)改革,尋求新的增長動力。而在短期內(nèi),經(jīng)濟增長的動力在于投資,穩(wěn)投資是穩(wěn)增長的重要抓手。預計2017年全社會固定資產(chǎn)投資名義增長9%左右,增速比2016年稍有回落�；诖�,當前穩(wěn)投資需要在投資結(jié)構(gòu)、制度設計、投資增長模式上重點突破。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the global economy has been characterized by short-term stagnation of economic growth, increasing deflationary pressure, weakening marginal effect of policy stimulus, weak real economy, increasing uncertainty of economic recovery, and so on. China's economy also faces the problem of "four downgrades and one liter." On the road of economic recovery, the economic growth of our country and the world has strong logic consistency. In the long run, the central means of resolving the crisis is structural reform, seeking a new engine of growth. In the short term, economic growth is driven by investment, stable investment is an important grasp of stable growth. Social fixed asset investment is expected to grow by about 9 percent in nominal terms in 2017, a slight slowdown from 2016. Based on this, stable investment needs to break through investment structure, system design and investment growth model.
【作者單位】： 中國社會科學院數(shù)量經(jīng)濟與技術經(jīng)濟研究所;
【基金】：國家社科基金重大項目(編號:15ZDA011):新常態(tài)下我國宏觀經(jīng)濟監(jiān)測和預測研究,首席專家:陳磊 國家社會科學基金青年項目(編號:12CTJ011):宏觀經(jīng)濟組合預測方法研究及其應用平臺開發(fā),負責人:張濤
【分類號】：F124

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