低碳規(guī)制對(duì)中國產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力影響分析
本文選題:碳強(qiáng)度規(guī)制 + 碳稅規(guī)制 ; 參考:《寧波大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:處于工業(yè)化階段的中國,高碳排放問題自然不可避免。全球低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的盛行使該問題棘手難解,甚至可以說直接向我國傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式提出挑戰(zhàn),低碳規(guī)制自然成為問題解決的突破口。一國(或地區(qū))經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的驅(qū)動(dòng)力主要來自三個(gè)方面:消費(fèi)、投資和出口,而產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力是出口的重要決定因素。擺在我們面前的問題是:低碳規(guī)制對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力是否有影響?有何影響?這種影響在中國能否得到驗(yàn)證?若是,在眾多常見的低碳規(guī)制政策中,哪一種是中國產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力發(fā)展的最優(yōu)選擇? 本文將低碳規(guī)制分成當(dāng)前學(xué)術(shù)界普遍關(guān)注的數(shù)量上的碳強(qiáng)度規(guī)制和價(jià)格上的碳稅規(guī)制及碳出口稅規(guī)制。首先理論分析低碳規(guī)制對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的影響,發(fā)現(xiàn)低碳規(guī)制與產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力之間可能呈U型關(guān)系:在一定的規(guī)制強(qiáng)度閾值內(nèi),該三種低碳規(guī)制均會(huì)通過不同途徑阻礙產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力形成;當(dāng)超出該閾值后,上述關(guān)系可能會(huì)出現(xiàn)逆轉(zhuǎn),即較高強(qiáng)度的低碳規(guī)制可能會(huì)促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的形成。其次描述性分析現(xiàn)階段低碳規(guī)制對(duì)中國產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的關(guān)系,發(fā)現(xiàn)三種低碳規(guī)制對(duì)中國產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力均存在不同程度的負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,但兩者之間可能存在的U型關(guān)系尚且未知。第三通過實(shí)證分析進(jìn)一步證實(shí)描述性分析的結(jié)論,另外還發(fā)現(xiàn)三種低碳規(guī)制對(duì)中國產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的U型關(guān)系是存在的,但目前這種關(guān)系尚處于U型左端,,呈負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系。縱向來看,這種負(fù)相關(guān)程度在碳強(qiáng)度規(guī)制、碳稅規(guī)制及碳出口稅規(guī)制三種模型中逐次減弱,橫向來看,這種負(fù)相關(guān)程度隨著低碳規(guī)制強(qiáng)度的增強(qiáng)而減弱,即若以經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)為中心,選擇以碳出口稅規(guī)制為主要低碳規(guī)制乃為最優(yōu)選擇。
[Abstract]:In the industrial stage of China, the problem of high carbon emissions is inevitable. The prevalence of the global low-carbon economy makes the problem difficult to solve, and can even be said to directly challenge the traditional economic development model of our country. Low-carbon regulation naturally becomes the breakthrough to solve the problem. The driving force of a country's economic growth mainly comes from three aspects: consumption, investment and export, and the international competitiveness of industry is an important determinant of export. The question before us is: does low-carbon regulation have an impact on the international competitiveness of the industry? What's the impact? Can this effect be tested in China? If so, which of the many common low-carbon regulatory policies is the best choice for the development of international competitiveness of Chinese industry? This paper divides low-carbon regulation into quantitative carbon intensity regulation, price carbon tax regulation and carbon export tax regulation. First of all, the influence of low-carbon regulation on the international competitiveness of industry is analyzed theoretically, and it is found that the relationship between low-carbon regulation and industrial international competitiveness may be U-shaped: within a certain threshold of regulatory intensity. The three kinds of low-carbon regulation will hinder the formation of industrial international competitiveness through different ways, and when the threshold is exceeded, the above relationship may be reversed, that is, the higher intensity of low-carbon regulation may promote the formation of industrial international competitiveness. Secondly, the paper analyzes the relationship between low-carbon regulation and international competitiveness of Chinese industry at present, and finds that the three kinds of low-carbon regulation have negative correlation to the international competitiveness of Chinese industry to varying degrees. However, the possible U-type relationship between the two is unknown. Thirdly, the conclusion of descriptive analysis is further confirmed by empirical analysis. In addition, it is found that there is a U-type relationship between three kinds of low-carbon regulation on the international competitiveness of Chinese industry, but at present this relationship is still at the left end of U-type, which is negatively related. Vertically, the degree of negative correlation is weakened in three models: carbon intensity regulation, carbon tax regulation and carbon export tax regulation. Horizontally, the negative correlation degree weakens with the increase of low carbon regulation intensity. That is, if economic growth is the center, the choice of carbon export tax regulation as the main low carbon regulation is the best choice.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:寧波大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F121.3
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