本文關(guān)鍵詞： 生態(tài)足跡 能源 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長 可持續(xù)發(fā)展 廣州市　出處：《廣西大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：本文應(yīng)用生態(tài)足跡(ecological footprint,EF)理論和模型,計(jì)算和分析了2006-2010年廣東省廣州市生態(tài)足跡和生態(tài)承載力情況。對統(tǒng)計(jì)年間各年的生態(tài)赤字情況進(jìn)行測算,并結(jié)合地方生產(chǎn)總值(GDP)分析了生態(tài)足跡與GDP的關(guān)系。更就廣州市化石能源生態(tài)承載力幾乎為0的特點(diǎn),重點(diǎn)分析了能源生態(tài)足跡與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的聯(lián)系。最后,就廣州市可持續(xù)發(fā)展問題給出了幾點(diǎn)建議。 通過對廣州市2006年-2010年數(shù)據(jù)計(jì)算的研究結(jié)果表明,5年間廣州市人均生態(tài)承載力基本趨于平穩(wěn),總體變化不大；而人均生態(tài)足跡在生態(tài)容量基本不變的情況下以平均每年2.31%的速度增長,統(tǒng)計(jì)年間人均生態(tài)足跡處于持續(xù)增長的趨勢,且各統(tǒng)計(jì)年間人均生態(tài)足跡均遠(yuǎn)高于全國人均生態(tài)足跡的水平。六類生態(tài)生產(chǎn)性土地生態(tài)足跡構(gòu)成中,碳足跡用地占用比例最大；林地比重緊次于碳足跡用地；建筑用地、耕地、草地和漁業(yè)用地的占用足跡比例較小。廣州市總?cè)司鷳B(tài)足跡與總?cè)司鷳B(tài)承載力之間形成的生態(tài)赤字缺口較大,總生態(tài)赤字為總生態(tài)承載力的11倍,碳足跡用地生態(tài)赤字是造成總體生態(tài)赤字較高的主要原因。六類生態(tài)生產(chǎn)性土地中,僅耕地和漁業(yè)用地有生態(tài)盈余。 萬元GDP生態(tài)足跡(ecological footprint intensity, EFI)分析結(jié)果顯示,2006～2010年廣州市GDP值快速增長的同時(shí),萬元GDP生態(tài)足跡呈現(xiàn)逐年下降的趨勢,其中能源EFI下降的幅度最為顯著。為此,本文對能源足跡與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的聯(lián)系作了深入的剖析。 總體看來,從生態(tài)足跡分析的結(jié)果上看,廣州市處于不可持續(xù)的發(fā)展模式；但廣州市通過對能源利用的優(yōu)化和進(jìn)口生態(tài)承載力,已緩解生態(tài)赤字的增長。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of Guangzhou City from 2006 to 2010 are calculated and analyzed by using the ecological footprint theory and model. The relationship between ecological footprint and GDP is analyzed, and the relationship between ecological footprint of energy and economic growth is analyzed in the light of the fact that the ecological carrying capacity of fossil energy in Guangzhou is almost zero. This paper gives some suggestions on the sustainable development of Guangzhou. Through the data calculation of Guangzhou from 2006 to 2010, the results show that the per capita ecological carrying capacity of Guangzhou city tends to be stable during the past five years, but the overall change is not significant. However, the per capita ecological footprint is increasing at an average rate of 2.31% per year under the condition that the ecological capacity of the population is basically unchanged, and the per capita ecological footprint is in a trend of sustained growth during the statistical year. The ecological footprint of each year is much higher than that of the whole country. Among the six types of ecological productive land, the proportion of carbon footprint is the largest; the proportion of forest land is less than that of carbon footprint; the proportion of construction land is lower than that of forest land. The footprint ratio of cultivated land, grassland and fishery land is small. The gap of ecological deficit between total ecological footprint per capita and total ecological carrying capacity of Guangzhou city is larger, and the total ecological deficit is 11 times of the total ecological carrying capacity. The ecological deficit of carbon footprint land is the main reason for the higher overall ecological deficit. Only cultivated land and fishery land have ecological surplus among the six types of ecological productive land. The results of the analysis of the ecological footprint of 10,000 Yuan GDP show that the GDP value of Guangzhou City increases rapidly from 2006 to 2010, and at the same time, the ecological footprint of 10,000 Yuan GDP is decreasing year by year, among which the decrease of energy EFI is the most significant. This paper analyzes the relationship between energy footprint and economic growth. As a whole, from the result of ecological footprint analysis, Guangzhou is in an unsustainable development mode, but Guangzhou has alleviated the growth of ecological deficit through the optimization of energy utilization and the ecological carrying capacity of imports.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣西大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;X22

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