碳減排對(duì)縣級(jí)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展影響的研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-12-31 14:15
【摘要】：隨著全球氣候變暖，各個(gè)國(guó)家環(huán)保意識(shí)不斷加強(qiáng)，我國(guó)政府也在經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的同時(shí)制定了一系列政策來(lái)減少溫室氣體的排放，與此同時(shí)我國(guó)政府對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的方式也不斷調(diào)整，從可持續(xù)發(fā)展到綠色經(jīng)濟(jì)再到當(dāng)前的低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)，這也充分說(shuō)明了我國(guó)政府對(duì)溫室氣體尤其是碳排放量的重視程度不斷增加，低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)主要是指經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過(guò)程中，通過(guò)降低能源的消耗量或是開(kāi)發(fā)新的能源來(lái)替代煤炭及石油等降低能源消耗中產(chǎn)生的碳排放量，進(jìn)而降低大氣中的碳含量，減少溫室氣體。河北省為了能夠擴(kuò)大國(guó)家相關(guān)政策的實(shí)施面，將發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)延伸到縣，眾所周知，縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展是國(guó)家宏觀GDP發(fā)展的重要組成部分，縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)的低碳發(fā)展直接關(guān)系著我國(guó)碳排放總量，因此本文以河北省曲周縣為例，重點(diǎn)從分析碳減排與曲周縣區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的關(guān)系角度，為全國(guó)縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)的低碳發(fā)展提供借鑒。 本文以節(jié)能減排與發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)為理論基礎(chǔ)，通過(guò)對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外碳減排及區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)的研究，了解國(guó)內(nèi)外在此方面的研究現(xiàn)狀，并在此基礎(chǔ)上，提出本文的研究意義及研究的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)，接著文章以河北省曲周縣為例，通過(guò)分析影響河北省曲周縣碳排放的定性因素和定量因素，運(yùn)用加權(quán)灰關(guān)聯(lián)模型對(duì)碳排放量與各影響因素之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析，再以改進(jìn)的EKC模型為基礎(chǔ)分析了碳減排與曲周縣區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的關(guān)系，并對(duì)相關(guān)序列進(jìn)行了ADF單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)以及格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)，，通過(guò)實(shí)證分析得出了兩者之間的回歸關(guān)系；最后根據(jù)上述實(shí)證分析結(jié)果，提出相應(yīng)的對(duì)策建議。 通過(guò)運(yùn)用相關(guān)模型本文得出了以下結(jié)論，一方面，地區(qū)能源消耗量是影響碳排放量的主要因素，其次是居民消費(fèi)價(jià)格指數(shù)；另一方面，曲周縣經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與碳排放之間存在長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定的均衡關(guān)系，EKC曲線為N型，通過(guò)格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)得出曲周縣經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)不是碳排放持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)的格蘭杰原因，而碳排放是區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的推動(dòng)因素，這是由于目前曲周縣正處于EKC曲線的第一個(gè)上升時(shí)期，因此碳排放量的增加在一定程度上會(huì)加快當(dāng)?shù)氐慕?jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展，這與曲周縣的實(shí)際情況相符合。最后筆者根據(jù)得出的相關(guān)結(jié)論，從能源消耗結(jié)構(gòu)、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整以及增加環(huán)境治理投資額度和“節(jié)能”與“減排”工作并重四個(gè)角度提出了曲周縣經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的對(duì)策建議。
[Abstract]:With the global warming and the increasing awareness of environmental protection in various countries, our government has also formulated a series of policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions while the economy is developing. At the same time, our government has constantly adjusted its way of economic development. From sustainable development to green economy to the current low-carbon economy, it also fully shows that our government has been paying more and more attention to greenhouse gases, especially carbon emissions. Low-carbon economy mainly refers to the process of economic development. By reducing energy consumption or developing new sources of energy instead of coal and oil, reducing carbon emissions from energy consumption, thus reducing the carbon content in the atmosphere, reducing greenhouse gases. In order to expand the implementation of relevant national policies, Hebei Province will extend the development of low-carbon economy to counties. As we all know, the development of county economy is an important part of the development of national macro GDP. The low-carbon development of county economy is directly related to the total amount of carbon emissions in China. Therefore, this paper takes Quzhou County in Hebei Province as an example, focusing on the analysis of the relationship between carbon emission reduction and regional economic development in Quzhou County. For the national county economy low-carbon development to provide reference. Based on the theory of saving energy and reducing emissions and developing low-carbon economy, this paper studies the domestic and foreign literature on carbon emission reduction and regional economic development, and finds out the current situation of domestic and foreign research in this area. The research significance and innovation of this paper are put forward. Then, taking Quzhou County of Hebei Province as an example, the qualitative and quantitative factors affecting carbon emissions in Quzhou County of Hebei Province are analyzed. Based on the improved EKC model, the relationship between carbon emission reduction and regional economic development in Quzhou County is analyzed by using weighted grey correlation model. The ADF unit root test, cointegration test and Granger causality test are used to test the correlation sequences, and the regression relationship between them is obtained by empirical analysis. Finally, according to the above empirical analysis results, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward. This paper draws the following conclusions by using the relevant model: on the one hand, regional energy consumption is the main factor affecting carbon emissions, followed by consumer price index; On the other hand, there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in Quzhou County. The EKC curve is N-type. By Granger causality test, it is concluded that economic growth is not the Granger cause of continuous carbon emissions growth in Quzhou County. Carbon emissions are a driving factor in regional economic growth. This is because Quzhou County is now in the first rising period of the EKC curve, so the increase in carbon emissions will speed up local economic development to a certain extent. This is in line with the actual situation in Quzhou County. Finally, according to the relevant conclusions, the author puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for economic development of Quzhou County from four angles: structure of energy consumption, adjustment of industrial structure, increase of investment quota for environmental management and equal emphasis on "energy saving" and "emission reduction".
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F127;F205;F224
本文編號(hào)：2396700
[Abstract]:With the global warming and the increasing awareness of environmental protection in various countries, our government has also formulated a series of policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions while the economy is developing. At the same time, our government has constantly adjusted its way of economic development. From sustainable development to green economy to the current low-carbon economy, it also fully shows that our government has been paying more and more attention to greenhouse gases, especially carbon emissions. Low-carbon economy mainly refers to the process of economic development. By reducing energy consumption or developing new sources of energy instead of coal and oil, reducing carbon emissions from energy consumption, thus reducing the carbon content in the atmosphere, reducing greenhouse gases. In order to expand the implementation of relevant national policies, Hebei Province will extend the development of low-carbon economy to counties. As we all know, the development of county economy is an important part of the development of national macro GDP. The low-carbon development of county economy is directly related to the total amount of carbon emissions in China. Therefore, this paper takes Quzhou County in Hebei Province as an example, focusing on the analysis of the relationship between carbon emission reduction and regional economic development in Quzhou County. For the national county economy low-carbon development to provide reference. Based on the theory of saving energy and reducing emissions and developing low-carbon economy, this paper studies the domestic and foreign literature on carbon emission reduction and regional economic development, and finds out the current situation of domestic and foreign research in this area. The research significance and innovation of this paper are put forward. Then, taking Quzhou County of Hebei Province as an example, the qualitative and quantitative factors affecting carbon emissions in Quzhou County of Hebei Province are analyzed. Based on the improved EKC model, the relationship between carbon emission reduction and regional economic development in Quzhou County is analyzed by using weighted grey correlation model. The ADF unit root test, cointegration test and Granger causality test are used to test the correlation sequences, and the regression relationship between them is obtained by empirical analysis. Finally, according to the above empirical analysis results, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward. This paper draws the following conclusions by using the relevant model: on the one hand, regional energy consumption is the main factor affecting carbon emissions, followed by consumer price index; On the other hand, there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in Quzhou County. The EKC curve is N-type. By Granger causality test, it is concluded that economic growth is not the Granger cause of continuous carbon emissions growth in Quzhou County. Carbon emissions are a driving factor in regional economic growth. This is because Quzhou County is now in the first rising period of the EKC curve, so the increase in carbon emissions will speed up local economic development to a certain extent. This is in line with the actual situation in Quzhou County. Finally, according to the relevant conclusions, the author puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for economic development of Quzhou County from four angles: structure of energy consumption, adjustment of industrial structure, increase of investment quota for environmental management and equal emphasis on "energy saving" and "emission reduction".
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F127;F205;F224
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