發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-11-26 07:28

【摘要】：區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的發(fā)展是我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的一種方式,比如經(jīng)濟(jì)迅速發(fā)展的長三角、珠三角地區(qū)。但是與這兩個(gè)地區(qū)相比較,京津冀地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展相對(duì)落后并且區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化水平也較低。如何結(jié)合現(xiàn)有的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展條件,充分發(fā)揮京津冀區(qū)域的后發(fā)優(yōu)勢以實(shí)現(xiàn)整體的經(jīng)濟(jì)騰飛,并且促進(jìn)該區(qū)域成為我國第三大經(jīng)濟(jì)增長極,并且?guī)?dòng)周邊地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)快速增長,就成為一個(gè)亟待解決的問題。京津冀地區(qū)間經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平差異較大,其中產(chǎn)業(yè)間對(duì)接比較困難,三地產(chǎn)業(yè)重疊很嚴(yán)重,而且競爭關(guān)系不明確,從而導(dǎo)致京津冀地區(qū)一體化水平較低。本文對(duì)京津冀地區(qū)三次產(chǎn)業(yè)的結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了相關(guān)分析。首先,采用產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)度、區(qū)位熵等方法對(duì)主要行業(yè)進(jìn)行分析。結(jié)果顯示:京津冀地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)各地不同,北京已經(jīng)是"三二一"產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀,并且第三產(chǎn)業(yè)是支柱產(chǎn)業(yè);天津雖已實(shí)現(xiàn)從"二三一"結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)?三二一"結(jié)構(gòu),但是還需進(jìn)一步深化;河北仍處于"二三一"結(jié)構(gòu)。其次,本文采用SVAR模型對(duì)京津冀地區(qū)間產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)行分析,結(jié)果顯示主要行業(yè)在當(dāng)期同一行業(yè)的地區(qū)之間存在著明顯的負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系。其中,北京的金融業(yè)、房地產(chǎn)業(yè)占有較大的影響力,天津與河北的工業(yè)占有較大的影響力,河北的農(nóng)林牧漁業(yè)占有較大的影響力。進(jìn)而,本文借鑒金融、大宗商品等關(guān)于傳導(dǎo)路徑的研究方法,篩選出六項(xiàng)經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)對(duì)京津冀地區(qū)以及其他六大區(qū)域之間的傳導(dǎo)路徑進(jìn)行分析,其中本文研究包括京津冀地區(qū)內(nèi)部三地之間的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制,以及京津冀整體對(duì)全國其他地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)輻射兩大部分。同時(shí),針對(duì)京津冀地區(qū)如何更好地實(shí)現(xiàn)一體化,本文提出一些有建設(shè)意義的政策建議。
[Abstract]:The development of regional economic integration is a way of economic growth in China, such as the rapid economic development of the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta region. However, compared with these two regions, the economic development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is relatively backward and the level of regional economic integration is low. How to give full play to the advantages of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in order to realize the overall economic take-off, and to promote the region to become the third largest economic growth pole of our country, and to promote the rapid economic growth of the surrounding areas, according to the existing economic development conditions. It becomes an urgent problem. The economic development level of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is quite different, among which it is difficult to connect with each other, the overlap of the three real estate industries is very serious, and the competition relationship is not clear, which leads to the low level of integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. This paper analyzes the current situation of three industries in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. First of all, the industrial correlation degree, location entropy and other methods are used to analyze the main industries. The results show that the industrial structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is different from each other. Beijing is already the status quo of industrial structure of "March 21", and the tertiary industry is the pillar industry. Although Tianjin has realized the transformation from "23-1" structure to "3-21" structure, it needs to be further deepened, and Hebei is still in the "231" structure. Secondly, the SVAR model is used to analyze the industries in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The results show that there is a significant negative correlation between the main industries in the same industry in the current period. Among them, Beijing's financial industry, real estate industry has a greater influence, Tianjin and Hebei industry has a greater influence, Hebei's agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry has a greater influence. Then, this paper draws lessons from the financial, commodity and other research methods on the conduction path, and selects six economic indicators to analyze the transmission path between the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the other six regions. This paper includes two parts: the conduction mechanism of the three places in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the economic radiation of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as a whole to the rest of the country. At the same time, aiming at how to realize integration better in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, this paper puts forward some constructive policy suggestions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北方工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F127

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