本文選題：城市化 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)　； 參考：《西北師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：在區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展的要求下，城市化發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)優(yōu)化升級(jí)已經(jīng)成為學(xué)者研究的熱點(diǎn)問題。相關(guān)理論已經(jīng)證明城市發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變具有內(nèi)在聯(lián)系。城市的發(fā)展對(duì)二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展提供了有利市場(chǎng)，對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進(jìn)具有推動(dòng)作用，而產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級(jí)又能促進(jìn)就業(yè)帶動(dòng)城市化水平的提高。改革開放以來，酒泉市城市化水平不斷提高，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不斷優(yōu)化。但仍然存在一些問題，主要表現(xiàn)在：城市化質(zhì)量不高、城市集聚度不高、工業(yè)進(jìn)程相對(duì)滯后、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)層次較低等問題。這些問題給酒泉市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展帶來一些消極影響。因此，研究酒泉市城市化發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)內(nèi)部互動(dòng)關(guān)系，可以為酒泉市產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和城市化健康發(fā)展提供建議。 本文將定性與定量的方法相結(jié)合，在國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者的研究基礎(chǔ)上，結(jié)合酒泉市城市化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀與問題，采用實(shí)證分析，運(yùn)用酒泉市1990-2011年城市發(fā)展水平與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)，對(duì)酒泉市城市化水平與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的互動(dòng)關(guān)系進(jìn)行計(jì)量分析并提出相關(guān)政策建議。結(jié)果表明：①酒泉市城市化水平由1990年26.77%增至2011年35.37%，高于甘肅平均水平的37.15%，隨著城市的發(fā)展，酒泉市的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)也在不斷優(yōu)化升級(jí)。酒泉市城市化水平分別與一產(chǎn)產(chǎn)值比重、一產(chǎn)就業(yè)人口比重以及二產(chǎn)就業(yè)人口比重呈負(fù)相關(guān)，，與二產(chǎn)產(chǎn)值比重，三產(chǎn)產(chǎn)值比重以及三產(chǎn)就業(yè)人口比重呈正相關(guān)；②格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)表明：城市化水平與第一產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重、第一產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口比重以及第二產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重存在單向格蘭杰原因，城市化水平與第二產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口比重、第三產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重以及第三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口比重存在雙向的格蘭杰原因；③脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)表明：城市化水平的提高對(duì)第一產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重、第一產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口比重，第二產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口比重有負(fù)向沖擊，對(duì)第二產(chǎn)值比重、第三產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口比重有正向沖擊，第二產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口比重的提高對(duì)城市化水平提高有負(fù)沖擊，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值與就業(yè)人口比重對(duì)城市化水平提高有正沖擊；④方差分解結(jié)果表明：城市化水平與三次產(chǎn)業(yè)間的方差貢獻(xiàn)率在第十期增到最大，其解釋度較高。說明城市化水平的提高是引起產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進(jìn)的重要因素，而第二產(chǎn)業(yè)及第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展也是推進(jìn)酒泉市城市化的主要?jiǎng)恿Α?br/>[Abstract]:With the rapid development of regional economy, urbanization and industrial optimization have become a hot issue. Relevant theories have proved that urban development and the evolution of industrial structure have internal relations. The development of the city provides a favorable market for the development of the secondary and tertiary industries and promotes the evolution of the industrial structure, and the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure can promote the improvement of the level of urbanization driven by employment. Since reform and opening up, the level of urbanization in Jiuquan City has been continuously improved, and the industrial structure has been continuously optimized. However, there are still some problems, such as the low quality of urbanization, the low degree of urban concentration, the lag of industrial process, the low level of industrial structure, and so on. These problems bring some negative effects to the economic development of Jiuquan City. Therefore, the study of the interaction between the urbanization development and the industrial structure of Jiuquan City can provide suggestions for the adjustment of the industrial structure and the healthy development of the urbanization in Jiuquan City. This paper combines the qualitative and quantitative methods, based on the research of domestic and foreign scholars, combined with the current situation and problems of the urbanization and industrial structure of Jiuquan, adopts the empirical analysis. Based on the relevant data of urban development level and industrial structure in Jiuquan City from 1990 to 2011, this paper makes an econometric analysis of the interaction between the urbanization level and industrial structure in Jiuquan City and puts forward relevant policy recommendations. The results showed that the urbanization level of Jiuquan City increased from 26.77% in 1990 to 35.3737% in 2011, which was higher than the average level in Gansu Province (37.15). With the development of the city, the industrial structure of Jiuquan City was continuously optimized and upgraded. The urbanization level of Jiuquan City is negatively correlated with the proportion of the output value of one production, the proportion of the employed population of the first industry and the employment population of the second industry, and has a positive correlation with the proportion of the output value of the second production, the proportion of the output value of the third industry and the proportion of the third industry employed population. (2) Granger causality test shows that there are one-way Granger reasons for the proportion of urbanization level and primary industry output value, primary industry employment population and secondary industry output value, and urbanization level and secondary industry employment population proportion. The ratio of output value of the tertiary industry and the proportion of the employed population of the tertiary industry has a bidirectional Granger reason 3 impulse response function. The results show that the increase of the level of urbanization affects the proportion of the output value of the primary industry and the proportion of the employed population in the primary industry. The proportion of the employment population in the secondary industry has a negative impact, which has a positive impact on the proportion of the second output value, the proportion of the output value of the third industry, and the proportion of the employed population of the third industry. The increase in the proportion of the employed population in the second industry has a negative impact on the level of urbanization. The results of variance decomposition show that the variance contribution rate between urbanization level and tertiary industry increases to the maximum in the tenth period, and its explanation is high. It shows that the improvement of urbanization level is an important factor that causes the evolution of industrial structure, and the development of secondary industry and tertiary industry is also the main driving force to promote the urbanization of Jiuquan City.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.27;F127

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