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中原經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)省際邊界效應(yīng)測(cè)度及轉(zhuǎn)化機(jī)制研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-03 12:29

  本文選題:省際邊界效應(yīng) 切入點(diǎn):時(shí)空演變 出處:《河南大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文


【摘要】:改革開(kāi)放三十多年來(lái),中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)歷經(jīng)了翻天覆地的變化,社會(huì)的繁榮、人民生活質(zhì)量的提高見(jiàn)證了改革開(kāi)放的輝煌成就。但同時(shí),不均衡發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施在資源稟賦差異的基礎(chǔ)上使得中國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)出現(xiàn)差異。進(jìn)入21世紀(jì),中共十六屆三中全會(huì)提出區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,以此逐步縮小區(qū)域間差異。當(dāng)前,中國(guó)已實(shí)現(xiàn)“三步走”戰(zhàn)略的第一、第二步目標(biāo),正在向全面實(shí)現(xiàn)建成小康社會(huì)而努力。統(tǒng)籌區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的實(shí)施正是實(shí)現(xiàn)第三步目標(biāo)的重要環(huán)節(jié)。在此發(fā)展轉(zhuǎn)型期,地方保護(hù)勢(shì)頭萌發(fā)、惡性競(jìng)爭(zhēng)屢禁不止等現(xiàn)象已衍生出阻礙區(qū)域間要素正常流通、阻礙經(jīng)濟(jì)正常交往乃至區(qū)域不協(xié)調(diào)等的一系列消極現(xiàn)象——“邊界效應(yīng)”。 運(yùn)用趨同分析法,以城市人均GDP、城市間最短交通距離及省界虛擬變量為指標(biāo),構(gòu)建Barro回歸方程模型。通過(guò)對(duì)省際邊界效應(yīng)進(jìn)行定量研究,本文得出如下結(jié)論: ①人均GDP是影響邊界效應(yīng)的首要因子,人均GDP較高地區(qū)增長(zhǎng)速度逐步放緩,較低地區(qū)城市經(jīng)濟(jì)增速愈加明顯,省際經(jīng)濟(jì)由趨異逐漸向趨同態(tài)勢(shì)演進(jìn)。河南省作為中原經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)主體區(qū),與周邊省份均呈現(xiàn)趨同;②整體上中原經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)省際邊界屏蔽效應(yīng)正在減小,中介效應(yīng)在逐步增強(qiáng),個(gè)別省界的屏蔽效應(yīng)已經(jīng)開(kāi)始向中介效應(yīng)轉(zhuǎn)化。邊界的開(kāi)放程度在普遍增強(qiáng),表現(xiàn)出一體化趨勢(shì);③距離要素作為次要因子對(duì)省際邊界效應(yīng)的影響不顯著,并且隨著中原經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)城市交通的改善,影響力不斷減弱。整體上交通條件已經(jīng)不能夠阻礙中原經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)一體化的趨勢(shì)。 根據(jù)邊界效應(yīng)測(cè)度定量研究結(jié)果,結(jié)合中原經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)實(shí)際,總結(jié)出省際邊界效應(yīng)轉(zhuǎn)化路徑選擇。宏觀上,應(yīng)在完善法律機(jī)制保障下,建立以市場(chǎng)機(jī)制為主導(dǎo)、更好發(fā)揮政府機(jī)制與社會(huì)機(jī)制的邊界效應(yīng)轉(zhuǎn)化系統(tǒng)。微觀上,豫西-晉之間應(yīng)從能源領(lǐng)域的合作拓展到多領(lǐng)域的合作;豫北-冀之間應(yīng)依托老工業(yè)基地基礎(chǔ)向新型工業(yè)化邁進(jìn);豫魯邊界區(qū)域應(yīng)為加強(qiáng)扶貧的重點(diǎn),完善交通體系深化邊界的開(kāi)放;豫東-皖北-魯西南邊界區(qū)域依托民間合作的優(yōu)勢(shì)傳統(tǒng),抓住經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)國(guó)家戰(zhàn)略的時(shí)代機(jī)遇,迎接挑戰(zhàn);晉-冀-魯西邊界區(qū)域應(yīng)依托現(xiàn)有的交通條件,構(gòu)建沿線經(jīng)濟(jì)帶以擴(kuò)寬經(jīng)濟(jì)交流的渠道。 本文所構(gòu)建的邊界效應(yīng)分析框架,對(duì)中原經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)省際邊界效應(yīng)是否存在進(jìn)行了判斷和測(cè)度,對(duì)邊界效應(yīng)的轉(zhuǎn)化機(jī)制進(jìn)行了系統(tǒng)的分析和研究,希望對(duì)邊界效應(yīng)理論的擴(kuò)展有一定的參考價(jià)值,,更希望對(duì)中原經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)科學(xué)推進(jìn)省際經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展帶來(lái)積極的作用。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up more than 30 years ago, China's economy has undergone earth-shaking changes, the prosperity of society and the improvement of people's quality of life have witnessed the brilliant achievements of reform and opening up.But at the same time, the implementation of unbalanced development strategy on the basis of the difference in resource endowment makes the regional economy of China appear different.In the 21st century, the third Plenary session of the 16th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China put forward the strategy of regional coordinated development, so as to gradually reduce regional differences.At present, China has achieved the first and second goal of the "three-step" strategy, and is striving to build a well-off society in an all-round way.The implementation of coordinated regional development is an important link to achieve the third step.In the period of development and transformation, the tendency of local protection germinates and the vicious competition is not only forbidden, but also a series of negative phenomena, such as "boundary effect", which hinder the normal circulation of regional elements, hinder the normal economic communication and even regional disharmony, etc.The Barro regression equation model is constructed by using the convergence analysis method, taking the per capita GDP, the shortest distance between cities and the virtual variables of provincial boundaries as indicators.Based on the quantitative study of the interprovincial boundary effect, this paper draws the following conclusions:(1) per capita GDP is the primary factor affecting the boundary effect. The growth rate of per capita GDP in higher regions is slowing down gradually, the growth rate of urban economy in lower regions is becoming more and more obvious, and the inter-provincial economy is gradually evolving from divergence to convergence.As the main area of the Central Plains Economic Zone, Henan Province shows convergence with the surrounding provinces. On the whole, the shielding effect of the inter-provincial boundary of the Central Plains Economic Zone is decreasing, and the intermediary effect is gradually increasing.The shielding effect of individual provincial boundaries has already begun to transform into intermediary effect.The opening degree of the boundary is increasing generally, showing the trend of integration. As a secondary factor, the influence of distance factor on the inter-provincial boundary effect is not significant, and with the improvement of urban traffic in the Central Plains Economic Zone, the influence becomes weaker.Overall traffic conditions can no longer hinder the integration of the Central Plains Economic Zone trend.According to the quantitative results of boundary effect measurement and the reality of the Central Plains Economic Zone, the paper summarizes the choice of the transformation path of the inter-provincial boundary effect.Macroscopically, under the guarantee of perfecting the legal mechanism, we should establish the system of border effect transformation between government mechanism and social mechanism, which is dominated by market mechanism.At the micro level, the cooperation between Western Henan and Shanxi should be expanded from the cooperation in the field of energy to the cooperation in various fields; between North Henan and Hebei should rely on the old industrial base to advance towards new industrialization; the border region between Henan and Shandong should be the focus of strengthening poverty alleviation.Improve the traffic system to deepen the opening of the border; East Henan-northern Anhui-southwest Shandong border region relying on the advantage of folk cooperation tradition, seize the economic zone strategy of the times opportunities, meet the challenges;Shanxi-Hebei-western Shandong border area should rely on the existing traffic conditions and construct the economic belt along the line to broaden the channels of economic communication.In this paper, the boundary effect analysis framework is constructed to judge and measure the existence of the inter-provincial boundary effect in the Central Plains Economic Zone, and to systematically analyze and study the transformation mechanism of the boundary effect.It is hoped that it will have some reference value for the expansion of the boundary effect theory and will bring positive effect to the scientific promotion of the coordinated development of the provincial economy in the Central Plains Economic Zone.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:河南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F127

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