特朗普時(shí)期的亞洲經(jīng)濟(jì):挑戰(zhàn)與變數(shù)
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-16 00:34
本文選題:猶太—基督文明 切入點(diǎn):美國(guó)優(yōu)先 出處:《人民論壇·學(xué)術(shù)前沿》2017年07期 論文類(lèi)型:期刊論文
【摘要】:特朗普?qǐng)?zhí)政將引發(fā)美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)政策、對(duì)外政策做出重大變革。這種政策變革的基本方向?qū)Ⅲw現(xiàn)為"美國(guó)優(yōu)先"與"美國(guó)再次強(qiáng)大",其背后的價(jià)值理念是重建以猶太—基督文明為基礎(chǔ)的開(kāi)明資本主義模式。具體到對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)政策上將表現(xiàn)為以反全球化為突出特色。這可能會(huì)給亞洲新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體帶來(lái)重大沖擊,諸如美元升值周期所引發(fā)的債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn),區(qū)域內(nèi)全球價(jià)值鏈?zhǔn)艿綌_亂的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),出口導(dǎo)向型模式難以持續(xù)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),亞洲區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化進(jìn)程發(fā)生逆轉(zhuǎn)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),等等。對(duì)此,亞洲新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體必須未雨綢繆,從培育最終消費(fèi)市場(chǎng)到建立新型區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作機(jī)制,探索適應(yīng)新國(guó)際環(huán)境的發(fā)展模式。
[Abstract]:Trump's administration will trigger economic policy in the United States. The basic direction of this policy change will be "America first" and "America is strong again", with the value behind it being to rebuild enlightened capitalism based on Jewish-Christian civilization. In terms of foreign economic policy, it will be marked by anti-globalization. This could have a major impact on emerging economies in Asia. Such as debt risks arising from the dollar appreciation cycle, risks of disruption of intraregional global value chains, risks of unsustainable export-oriented models, risks of reversing the process of regional economic integration in Asia, and so on. Asia's emerging economies must plan ahead, from nurturing the final consumer market to establishing a new mechanism for regional economic cooperation to explore development models adapted to the new international environment.
【作者單位】: 中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院亞太與全球戰(zhàn)略研究院;
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F113
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本文編號(hào):1617562
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