本文選題：新型城鎮(zhèn)化　切入點(diǎn)：綜合評(píng)價(jià)　出處：《山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：現(xiàn)階段,我國(guó)正處于全面建成小康社會(huì)的關(guān)鍵時(shí)刻,而經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中樞的下移卻為我們帶來(lái)挑戰(zhàn)。為此,必須尋找新的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn)。而城鎮(zhèn)化水平的提高對(duì)培育國(guó)家內(nèi)需有積極影響。但是,由于城鎮(zhèn)化的盲目擴(kuò)張,致使各地出現(xiàn)生態(tài)環(huán)境惡化、能源過(guò)度浪費(fèi)、交通極其擁堵、房?jī)r(jià)瘋狂上漲等各式樣問(wèn)題。在此背景下,黨中央、國(guó)務(wù)院在2014年發(fā)布了《國(guó)家新型城鎮(zhèn)化規(guī)劃(2014-2020)》,對(duì)新型城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展模式做出了頂層設(shè)計(jì)�；诖�,本文著重對(duì)新型城鎮(zhèn)化的相關(guān)問(wèn)題進(jìn)行研究,這有助于我們進(jìn)一步對(duì)該問(wèn)題的認(rèn)識(shí)。此外,新型城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)、解決我國(guó)三農(nóng)問(wèn)題和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展問(wèn)題都具有重大的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文首先界定了城市化、城鎮(zhèn)化以及新型城鎮(zhèn)化的概念,并結(jié)合國(guó)務(wù)院印發(fā)的《國(guó)家新型城鎮(zhèn)化規(guī)劃(2014-2020)》,從人口、經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)和生態(tài)(政府整治生態(tài)環(huán)境所做的努力)四個(gè)方面構(gòu)建了新型城鎮(zhèn)化的評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,以2005-2014年省級(jí)面板數(shù)據(jù)為依據(jù),在綜合比較多種客觀評(píng)價(jià)法后,最終選取變異系數(shù)法對(duì)新型城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)行了綜合測(cè)評(píng)。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),新型城鎮(zhèn)化四個(gè)子系統(tǒng)的發(fā)展水平在過(guò)去十年都有不同程度的提高。然而,區(qū)域內(nèi),它們四者之間是如何相互影響的呢?區(qū)域間,它們又是否存在空間上的關(guān)聯(lián)呢?帶著上述問(wèn)題,我們通過(guò)面板向量自回歸模型(PVAR)以及空間相關(guān)性理論來(lái)加以分析。實(shí)證分析發(fā)現(xiàn):第一,新型城鎮(zhèn)化四個(gè)子系統(tǒng)之間會(huì)相互影響,且受經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和人口素質(zhì)提高的影響較大,而政府對(duì)生態(tài)環(huán)境的大力整頓以及社會(huì)公共服務(wù)水平的改善則影響相對(duì)較小;第二,長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看,經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展以及人口素質(zhì)的上升會(huì)使新型城鎮(zhèn)化四個(gè)子系統(tǒng)發(fā)生波動(dòng),而政府對(duì)生態(tài)環(huán)境的大力整頓以及社會(huì)公共服務(wù)水平的提高則會(huì)促進(jìn)新型城鎮(zhèn)化四個(gè)子系統(tǒng)的發(fā)展;第三,區(qū)域間,新型城鎮(zhèn)化四個(gè)子系統(tǒng)都存在一定的空間關(guān)聯(lián)。其中,經(jīng)濟(jì)城鎮(zhèn)化的關(guān)聯(lián)性最強(qiáng),社會(huì)城鎮(zhèn)化的關(guān)聯(lián)性最弱。且在過(guò)去十年,它們的空間關(guān)聯(lián)性都有不同程度的加強(qiáng);第四,新型城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展水平存在集聚現(xiàn)象,尤其在京津地區(qū)、長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)、珠三角地區(qū)較為明顯,而且有進(jìn)一步向周圍地區(qū)擴(kuò)散的趨勢(shì)。
[Abstract]:At present, our country is in the crucial moment completed a comprehensive well-off society, and the economic development of central down for us challenges. Therefore, we must find a new economic growth point. And the improvement of the level of urbanization has a positive influence on the cultivation of domestic demand. However, due to the blind expansion of urbanization, resulting in the emergence of ecological country the deterioration of the environment, excessive waste of energy, traffic is extremely congested, crazy prices rise and other style. Under this background, the Party Central Committee, the State Council issued the "national planning of new towns in 2014 (2014-2020) >, the development model of new urbanization to make top-level design. Based on this, this paper focuses on the research of related problems the new type of urbanization, which helps us to further understanding of the problem. In addition, the development of new urbanization for sustained and stable economic growth, transformation and upgrading of industrial structure, to solve our country agriculture ask It is of great practical significance and problems of coordinated development of regional economy. This paper first defines the concept of city, urbanization and new urbanization, combined with the "State Council issued national new urbanization plan (2014-2020) >, from the population, economy, society and Ecology (the ecological and environmental remediation efforts) four aspects of the construction of the new urbanization evaluation index system, with the provincial panel data of 2005-2014 years on the basis of objective evaluation on comprehensive comparison of various method, finally select the coefficient of variation of the new urbanization conducted a comprehensive evaluation. The study found that the level of development of the four subsystems of new towns are improved to different degrees in over the past ten years. However, in the region, among them four are how to influence each other? The area between them and whether there was a link on the space? With the above problems, we through the panel vector Autoregressive model (PVAR) and spatial correlation theory to analysis. Empirical analysis shows that: first, among the four subsystems will influence each other and affected by the new urbanization, economic development and improve the quality of the population is large, and the government to rectify the ecological environment and improve the social public service level is relatively small; second the long term, the development of economy and increase of population quality will make new urbanization four subsystems fluctuate, development and the government to rectify the ecological environment and social public service level will promote the new urbanization of the four subsystems; third, the area between four subsystems are the new town space a relationship. Among them, the strongest correlation between economy and urbanization, the weakest correlation of social urbanization. And in the past ten years, the spatial association of them have different process Fourth, the development level of new urbanization has agglomeration phenomenon. Especially in Beijing Tianjin area, the Yangtze River Delta region is more obvious in the Pearl River Delta region, and there is a trend of further spread to the surrounding areas.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F299.21

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