我國西部地區(qū)農(nóng)村居民收入倍增影響因素及實現(xiàn)路徑分析
發(fā)布時間：2018-08-06 18:04
【摘要】：黨的十八大報告提出:轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式取得重大進(jìn)展,在發(fā)展平衡性、協(xié)調(diào)性、可持續(xù)性明顯增強的基礎(chǔ)上,實現(xiàn)國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值和城鄉(xiāng)居民人均收入比二0一0年翻一番。對居民收入增長提出具體的量化指標(biāo),這在黨的歷史上還是頭一次。從經(jīng)濟(jì)總量到居民人均收入這一目標(biāo)的變革,昭示了我國執(zhí)政發(fā)展理念的重大調(diào)整:從對宏大總量的關(guān)注,逐步轉(zhuǎn)向?qū)ξ⒂^個體的關(guān)懷,經(jīng)濟(jì)社會發(fā)展的目標(biāo)將變得更加均衡和可持續(xù),發(fā)展的成果也必將更加公平的惠及每一個國民。然而,收入增長并非是一個簡單的數(shù)字工程,尤其是我國西部地區(qū)農(nóng)村居民,由于經(jīng)濟(jì)基礎(chǔ)薄弱,加上自然資源稟賦、人力資源素質(zhì)、地理位置及交通等因素的制約,增收較為困難,難以在短期內(nèi)趕上全國農(nóng)民收入的平均水平。因而研究西部地區(qū)農(nóng)村居民收入的現(xiàn)狀、收入結(jié)構(gòu)以及制約收入增長的因素,進(jìn)而分析實現(xiàn)收入倍增的路徑,對進(jìn)一步提高農(nóng)民生活水平、全面建成更高水平的小康社會、擴大內(nèi)需轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式、構(gòu)建農(nóng)村和諧社會、確保黨和政府的宏偉戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)的實現(xiàn)具有重大意義。論文通過分析2000-2013年西部地區(qū)農(nóng)村居民收入增長變化情況、收入結(jié)構(gòu)與各部分對總收入的貢獻(xiàn)度,確認(rèn)了到2020年西部地區(qū)農(nóng)村居民收入倍增的可實現(xiàn)性。但是,西部地區(qū)的農(nóng)民收入與全國農(nóng)民收入的絕對差距仍然較大。因此,在實現(xiàn)西部地區(qū)農(nóng)村居民收入倍增目標(biāo)的過程中,還必須采取有效的政策措施,努力消除西部地區(qū)城鄉(xiāng)之間、西部地區(qū)與東部地區(qū)農(nóng)村之間的收入差距。分析也顯示,我國西部地區(qū)農(nóng)村居民收入主要來自于家庭經(jīng)營性收入和工資性收入。近年來,家庭經(jīng)營性收入的比重雖然呈不斷下降趨勢,但仍然是西部地區(qū)農(nóng)民收入的第一大主要來源,是農(nóng)民最為依賴的收入來源。而工資性收入的比重近幾年不斷攀升,是未來農(nóng)村居民增收最具潛力的部分。在此基礎(chǔ)上,論文采用主成分回歸模型,對影響西部地區(qū)農(nóng)民的兩大收入來源的重要因素進(jìn)行實證分析。實證結(jié)果表明,有效灌溉面積、政府對農(nóng)業(yè)的投入、全年機械總功率這三個因素與家庭經(jīng)營性收入呈顯著的正相關(guān)關(guān)系,而第一產(chǎn)業(yè)勞動力與家庭經(jīng)營性收入呈負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系。在工資性收入的影響因素中,人均地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)比值、農(nóng)民文化水平以及城鎮(zhèn)化率與工資性收入均呈顯著的正相關(guān)關(guān)系。財產(chǎn)性收入與轉(zhuǎn)移性收入,雖然在農(nóng)民總收入中所占的比重并不大,但卻是農(nóng)民增收的重要補充方式。因此,本文對財產(chǎn)性收入與轉(zhuǎn)移性收入的重要影響因素也進(jìn)行了相應(yīng)分析。最后,根據(jù)分析結(jié)果,針對農(nóng)民收入的不同組成部分,提出能有效促進(jìn)農(nóng)民增收的對策建議。
[Abstract]:According to the report of the 18th National Congress of the CPC, great progress has been made in transforming the mode of economic development, and on the basis of a marked increase in the balance, coordination, and sustainability of development, the gross domestic product (GDP) and the per capita income of urban and rural residents will double each year in 20 or 10 years. This is the first time in the history of the Party to put forward specific quantitative indicators for the growth of residents' income. The transformation from the total economic volume to the per capita income of the residents reveals a major adjustment of the concept of governing development in our country: from the concern for the grand total amount to the concern for the micro individuals step by step. The goal of economic and social development will become more balanced and sustainable, and the fruits of development will benefit everyone more equitably. However, income growth is not a simple digital project, especially for rural residents in the western part of China, because of the weak economic base and the constraints of natural resource endowment, human resource quality, geographical location and transportation, etc. Income increase is more difficult, difficult to catch up with the national average level of farmers' income in the short term. Therefore, by studying the current situation of rural residents' income, the income structure and the factors restricting income growth in the western region, and then analyzing the path to double income, this paper will further improve the living standards of farmers and build a higher level of well-off society in an all-round way. It is of great significance to expand domestic demand and change the mode of economic development, build a harmonious society in rural areas and ensure the realization of the grand strategic goals of the Party and the government. By analyzing the change of rural residents' income growth from 2000 to 2013, the income structure and the contribution of each part to the total income, the paper confirms the realizability of the doubling of rural residents' income by 2020. However, the absolute gap between farmers' income in the western region and that of the whole country is still large. Therefore, in the process of realizing the goal of doubling the income of rural residents in the western region, we must also take effective policies and measures to eliminate the income gap between urban and rural areas in the western region and between the rural areas in the west and the eastern regions. The analysis also shows that the income of rural residents in western China mainly comes from household income and wage income. In recent years, although the proportion of household operating income is declining, it is still the first major source of farmers' income in the western region and the most dependent source of income for farmers. The proportion of wage income has been rising in recent years, which is the most potential part of future rural residents' income. On this basis, the paper uses principal component regression model to analyze the important factors that affect the two major income sources of farmers in western China. The empirical results show that the effective irrigation area, the government input to agriculture and the total power of machinery in the whole year have significant positive correlation with the household operating income, while the labor force of the primary industry has a negative correlation with the household operating income. Among the influencing factors of wage income, the per capita regional gross domestic product (GDP), the ratio of industrial structure, farmers' education level and urbanization rate were positively correlated with wage income. Although the proportion of property income and transfer income in the total income of farmers is not large, it is an important supplementary way for farmers to increase their income. Therefore, this paper also analyzes the important factors of property income and transfer income. Finally, according to the analysis results, according to the different components of farmers' income, put forward the countermeasures and suggestions that can effectively promote farmers' income increase.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：四川師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F323.8
[Abstract]:According to the report of the 18th National Congress of the CPC, great progress has been made in transforming the mode of economic development, and on the basis of a marked increase in the balance, coordination, and sustainability of development, the gross domestic product (GDP) and the per capita income of urban and rural residents will double each year in 20 or 10 years. This is the first time in the history of the Party to put forward specific quantitative indicators for the growth of residents' income. The transformation from the total economic volume to the per capita income of the residents reveals a major adjustment of the concept of governing development in our country: from the concern for the grand total amount to the concern for the micro individuals step by step. The goal of economic and social development will become more balanced and sustainable, and the fruits of development will benefit everyone more equitably. However, income growth is not a simple digital project, especially for rural residents in the western part of China, because of the weak economic base and the constraints of natural resource endowment, human resource quality, geographical location and transportation, etc. Income increase is more difficult, difficult to catch up with the national average level of farmers' income in the short term. Therefore, by studying the current situation of rural residents' income, the income structure and the factors restricting income growth in the western region, and then analyzing the path to double income, this paper will further improve the living standards of farmers and build a higher level of well-off society in an all-round way. It is of great significance to expand domestic demand and change the mode of economic development, build a harmonious society in rural areas and ensure the realization of the grand strategic goals of the Party and the government. By analyzing the change of rural residents' income growth from 2000 to 2013, the income structure and the contribution of each part to the total income, the paper confirms the realizability of the doubling of rural residents' income by 2020. However, the absolute gap between farmers' income in the western region and that of the whole country is still large. Therefore, in the process of realizing the goal of doubling the income of rural residents in the western region, we must also take effective policies and measures to eliminate the income gap between urban and rural areas in the western region and between the rural areas in the west and the eastern regions. The analysis also shows that the income of rural residents in western China mainly comes from household income and wage income. In recent years, although the proportion of household operating income is declining, it is still the first major source of farmers' income in the western region and the most dependent source of income for farmers. The proportion of wage income has been rising in recent years, which is the most potential part of future rural residents' income. On this basis, the paper uses principal component regression model to analyze the important factors that affect the two major income sources of farmers in western China. The empirical results show that the effective irrigation area, the government input to agriculture and the total power of machinery in the whole year have significant positive correlation with the household operating income, while the labor force of the primary industry has a negative correlation with the household operating income. Among the influencing factors of wage income, the per capita regional gross domestic product (GDP), the ratio of industrial structure, farmers' education level and urbanization rate were positively correlated with wage income. Although the proportion of property income and transfer income in the total income of farmers is not large, it is an important supplementary way for farmers to increase their income. Therefore, this paper also analyzes the important factors of property income and transfer income. Finally, according to the analysis results, according to the different components of farmers' income, put forward the countermeasures and suggestions that can effectively promote farmers' income increase.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：四川師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F323.8
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