China, inland waters, LNG, vessel, fuel, economical efficien
本文關鍵詞:LNG在我國內河水運領域的應用探討,由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。
LNG在我國內河水運領域的應用探討
Prospect of LNG application to inland water transportation in China
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5]
Zhou Shuhui, Shen Xin, Liu Xiaojuan, Li Guang, Yang Yi (PetroChina Petroleum Planning& Engineering Institute, Beijing 100083, China)
中國石油天然氣股份有限公司規(guī)劃總院
文章摘要:發(fā)展LNG動力船舶對于我國內河航運的節(jié)能減排具有十分重要的意義。為此,在對我國水運行業(yè)發(fā)展趨勢、燃料消費情況及需求潛力分析預測的基礎上,結合對LNG資源供應價格、LNG替代燃油的經濟性及水運氣代油發(fā)展進程的分析判斷,對LNG在內河水運領域的應用前景進行了分析。結論認為:①LNG替代船用燃料油沒有競爭力,而替代柴油則具有較好的經濟性;②未來我國LNG資源供應可以滿足水運氣代油的需求,船上供應價格也在航運企業(yè)承受范圍之內;③從技術經濟角度考慮,內河和沿海船舶氣化應當首選貨運船,其次是工程船,漁船由于噸位小、年行駛時間短且享受政府燃油補貼,一般不適合改造;④鑒于LNG動力船舶在法規(guī)、技術、LNG水上供應等方面仍有許多問題待解決,總體看水運氣代油市場需要經過2~3年的試驗示范期、2~3年的啟動期,然后才能進入規(guī)模發(fā)展期;⑤考慮替代的可能性及市場培育過程,預測2015年較為現實的水運氣代油最大市場需求量約為6×10^8m^3,2020年則接近40×10^8m^3。最后建議政府主管部門及相關企業(yè)統(tǒng)籌規(guī)劃,合理把握項目推進的節(jié)奏。
Abstr:The development of LNG-powered vessels is of great significance to energy saving and emission reduction in inland waters shipping in China. In view of this, this paper first analyzes and predicts the shipping business trend, fuel consumption and LNG demand potential in China. Then, this paper makes an investigation into supply price of LNG resources, economical efficiency of LNG's being substitute for fuel oils, and the process of gas-powered vessels development. The following conclusions are drawn of the prospect of LNG as an alternative fuel for shipping vessels in China. (1) LNG is less competitive than fuel oils but more cost-effective than diesel. (2) In the future, LNG supply will satisfy the need of LNG as a vessel fuel and its price will be acceptable in the shipping business in China. (3) From both technical and economic points of view, LNG is a good alternative fuel for inland and offshore cargo ships and engineering ships, but not for fishing boats due to its small tonnage, short shipping time as well as fuel subsidies. (4) There are still many problems to solve in terms of legislation, technology, LNG supply on waters, etc. In general, the replace- ment of shipping vessel fuels by LNG will first go through a trial period of 2 - 3 years, then a start-up period of 2 - 3 years, and finally come into the business development. (5) With the possibility of this replacement and the process of market cultivation taken into account, it is predicted that the maximum demand volume of LNG as an alternative vessel fuel will be about 0.6 billion m3 in 2015 and nearly 4 billion m3 in 2020. In the end, this paper suggests that government departments in charge and the related enterprises
文章關鍵詞:
Keyword::China, inland waters, LNG, vessel, fuel, economical efficiency, market potential, developing proposals
作者信息:會員可見
本文關鍵詞:LNG在我國內河水運領域的應用探討,由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。
,本文編號:228625
本文鏈接:http://www.sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/jtysjj/228625.html