本文選題：鐵路運輸 + 高速鐵路　； 參考：《石家莊鐵道大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：為提高我國高速鐵路的經(jīng)濟效益,改善高速鐵路運營嚴(yán)重虧損的狀態(tài),使高速鐵路的經(jīng)濟效益和社會效益協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,應(yīng)用實證研究方法,以經(jīng)濟效益、投入產(chǎn)出等理論為指導(dǎo),分析了高速鐵路運營中存在的問題,找出了影響經(jīng)濟效益的直接因素；以區(qū)域經(jīng)濟學(xué)相關(guān)理論為依據(jù)、灰色預(yù)測模型為工具,驗證了高速鐵路給沿線區(qū)域帶來的顯著經(jīng)濟效益,提出了將社會效益量化為高鐵的經(jīng)濟效益的建議,實現(xiàn)高速鐵路內(nèi)外部經(jīng)濟效益的統(tǒng)一。 具體的框架是：首先,以京津城際高鐵、武廣客運專線開通3年來的基本財務(wù)數(shù)據(jù)為依據(jù),從收入、成本費用的角度分析兩條高鐵線路目前的經(jīng)濟效益,并延伸到我國現(xiàn)有的高速鐵路,指出目前我國高速鐵路內(nèi)部經(jīng)濟效益不佳的影響因素在于建設(shè)成本高、歷史欠賬多；債務(wù)負(fù)擔(dān)重；投資收益率低；運營費用高、運價受限制以及運量增長有限。其次,運用灰色預(yù)測模型、多元線性回歸分析以及有無對比法,從空間聯(lián)系效益、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變化效應(yīng)、就業(yè)效應(yīng)三個方面測算出京津城際高鐵、武廣高鐵的開通給沿線區(qū)域帶來的經(jīng)濟增長量；由此延伸至我國目前開通的所有高速鐵路,指出高速鐵路為社會帶來了巨大的外部經(jīng)濟效益。最后,從內(nèi)外部兩個角度提出提高我國高速鐵路經(jīng)濟效益的對策。內(nèi)部：理順高速鐵路的運價體系以及加強經(jīng)營管理；外部：借鑒國外政府對高速鐵路的政策支持經(jīng)驗,提出我國政府應(yīng)將高速鐵路給社會帶來的經(jīng)濟效益劃歸為鐵路運輸企業(yè),具體做法是加大中央政府補貼,完善地方政府補貼；支持高速鐵路科研與教育；加快融資手段的改革和創(chuàng)新。
[Abstract]:In order to improve the economic benefit of China's high-speed railway, improve the serious loss of high-speed railway operation, and make the economic and social benefits of high-speed railway develop harmoniously, the empirical research method is applied and guided by the theory of economic benefit, input-output and so on. This paper analyzes the problems existing in the operation of high-speed railway, finds out the direct factors influencing the economic benefits, and validates the remarkable economic benefits brought by the high-speed railway to the areas along the route based on the relevant theories of regional economics and the grey prediction model. The suggestion of quantifying the social benefit into the economic benefit of high-speed railway is put forward to realize the unification of internal and external economic benefits of high-speed railway. The specific framework is as follows: first, based on the basic financial data of the Beijing-Tianjin inter-city high-speed rail line and the Wu-Guangzhou passenger dedicated line in the past three years, the current economic benefits of the two high-speed rail lines are analyzed from the perspective of revenue and cost. It also extends to the existing high-speed railway in our country, and points out that the influencing factors of the poor internal economic benefit of the high-speed railway in our country at present lie in the high construction cost, the high historical debt, the heavy debt burden, the low investment rate of return, the high operating cost. Freight rates are limited and volume growth is limited. Secondly, using grey prediction model, multivariate linear regression analysis and comparative method, from three aspects of spatial link benefit, industrial structure change effect and employment effect, we calculate the high-speed railway between Beijing and Tianjin. The opening of Wu-Guang High Speed Railway brings economic growth to the areas along the route, which extends to all the high-speed railways opened in our country at present, and points out that the high-speed railway has brought huge external economic benefits to the society. Finally, the countermeasures to improve the economic benefit of high speed railway in China are put forward from two angles of internal and external. Internal: straighten out the tariff system and strengthen the management of high-speed railway; external: draw lessons from the experience of foreign governments to support the high-speed railway policy, and put forward that our government should classify the economic benefits brought by high-speed railway to the railway transport enterprises, and put forward that the government of our country should classify the economic benefits brought by high-speed railway to the society as railway transport enterprises. The specific measures are to increase central government subsidies, improve local government subsidies, support high-speed railway research and education, and accelerate the reform and innovation of financing means.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：石家莊鐵道大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F532

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本文編號：2063539