本文選題：貴都高速公路 + BOT��； 參考：《大連海事大學》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：發(fā)展交通,投資是關鍵。20世紀80年代后,隨著我國公路運輸需求劇增和交通行為的變化,我國開始步入高速公路發(fā)展階段。截至2011年底我國高速公路總里程達到8.5萬公里,通車里程位居世界第二位。目前,我國正進一步推行交通運輸基本公共服務均等化,統(tǒng)籌發(fā)展以普通公路為主的非收費公路體系和以高速公路為主的收費公路體系,這為高速公路BOT(Build-Operate-Transfer,即建造-運營-移交)項目融資提供了機遇。 貴都高速公路作為國家高速公路“7918”網(wǎng)中廈蓉高速的組成部分和貴州省高速公路網(wǎng)中最重要的路段之一,采用內資BOT建設模式。由于我國目前還缺乏針對高速公路內資BOT項目融資方式的完善的法律體系和運作方法,因此在貴都高速公路的建設—經(jīng)營—移交過程中同時存在多種風險。本文從BOT融資模式的概念、主要形式、基本運作程序、特點以及BOT項目風險管理過程入手,重點分析了貴都高速公路BOT項目風險的識別、評價及其應對。 在貴都高速公路BOT項目風險識別過程中,本文主要選擇采用德爾菲法和核對表法,然后將工作分解結構法(WBS)引入到貴都高速公路BOT項目的風險管理中,建立了該項目的風險分解結構,指出貴都高速公路BOT項目主要面臨經(jīng)營風險、行業(yè)風險、市場風險、政策風險以及不可抗力風險等五大類風險。 本文運用層次分析法的原理,將貴都高速公路BOT項目風險因素分為Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ、Ⅳ層,進而構建其風險指標體系。在對各風險專項和風險子項的重要程度進行比較,并給出相應的標度值的基礎上,形成判斷矩陣,通過計算處理得出專項風險權重。同時,采用CIM模型計算各層風險因素的概率分布,分析得出各類風險的風險等級。 最后,針對貴都高速公路BOT項目面臨的各類主要風險,提出具體的、具有較強針對性和操作性的風險防范對策。
[Abstract]:Development of transportation, investment is the key. After 1980s, with the rapid increase of highway transportation demand and the change of traffic behavior, China began to enter the stage of highway development. By the end of 2011, the total mileage of expressway reached 85000 km, ranking second in the world. At present, China is further promoting the equalization of basic public services in traffic and transportation, and coordinating the development of the non-toll highway system, which is dominated by ordinary highways, and the toll road system, which is based on expressways. This provides an opportunity for the financing of the project of BOTGUID-Operate-Transfer.Guidu Expressway is part of the Xiarong Expressway in the National Highway "7918" network and one of the most important sections of the Guizhou Expressway network. Adopt domestic capital bot construction mode. Due to the lack of perfect legal system and operation method for domestic bot project financing in China, there are many risks in the process of construction, operation and transfer of Guidu Expressway at the same time. Starting with the concept, main form, basic operating procedure, characteristics and risk management process of bot project, this paper analyzes the identification of bot project risk in Guidu Expressway. In the process of risk identification of Guidu Expressway bot project, this paper mainly adopts Delphi method and checklist method, and then introduces WBSmethod into the risk management of Guidu Expressway bot Project. The risk decomposition structure of the project is established, and it is pointed out that the bot project of Guidu Expressway is faced with five kinds of risks, such as management risk, industry risk, market risk, policy risk and force majeure risk. The risk factors of Guidu Expressway bot project are divided into 鈪，

本文編號：2004879