本文關鍵詞： 京九鐵路 國內生產總值 居民收入 雙重差分　出處：《山東大學》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：2015年12月19日山東大學縣域發(fā)展研究院發(fā)布了《中國縣域居民發(fā)展指數報告》。借助數據可視化工具縣域發(fā)展研究院課題組的老師們發(fā)現(xiàn),京九鐵路沿途城市的縣域居民發(fā)展指數較其周邊縣域的居民發(fā)展指數更低。因此本文研究了京九鐵路對其臨近非中心城市的經濟影響。關于交通基礎設施的研究屬于新經濟地理學的內容。相關研究發(fā)現(xiàn)交通基礎設施通過對運輸成本的影響對經濟產生作用。但對于非中心城市而言,交通基礎設施的改善對經濟的影響較為復雜,即可能存在正向的影響也可能存在負向的影響,需要具體問題具體分析。具體的本文以京九鐵路沿途95個地級市(非中心城市)作為研究對象,借助XGeocoding_v2批量獲取了京九所經過省份的地級市市政府以及京九鐵路各站點的經緯度數據,并借助地理學軟件ArcGIS,由經緯度數據計算出各市與京九鐵路站點的最近距離,然后設定了不同的距離閾值,若市與站點的最近距離小于距離閾值則為實驗組,反之則為控制組。繼而采用雙重差分法比較了控制組和實驗組在1993年之前和1996年之后實際國內生產總值以及城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收入差異的變化,估計了京九鐵路對臨近城市的經濟影響。結果發(fā)現(xiàn)就京九鐵路而言,其對臨近非中心城市的實際GDP存在顯著的負面影響。進一步分析發(fā)現(xiàn)京九鐵路對臨近非中心城市實際GDP的負面影響是因為京九鐵路完成建設之后雖然增加了臨近非中心城市的固定資產投資,但卻減少了臨近非中心的政府支出,而后者的負面影響超過了前者的正面影響。另外實證結果發(fā)現(xiàn)京九鐵路對其臨近城市城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收入無顯著影響。
[Abstract]:In December 19th 2015, the Research Institute of County Development of Shandong University published the report on the Development Index of County residents in China. The teachers of the research group of the Research Institute of County Development of Shandong University found that with the aid of data visualization tools. The development index of county residents in the cities along the Beijing-Kowloon Railway is lower than that in the surrounding counties. Therefore, this paper studies the economic impact of the Beijing-Kowloon Railway on the adjacent non-central cities. It belongs to the content of New Economic Geography. Related studies have found that transportation infrastructure has an effect on the economy through the impact on transport costs, but for non-central cities. The improvement of transport infrastructure has a more complex impact on the economy, that is, there may be positive or negative effects. This paper takes 95 prefecture-level cities (non-central cities) along the Beijing-Kowloon Railway as the research object. With the help of XGeocoding_v2, the longitude and latitude data of the prefecture-level municipal government and the Beijing-Kowloon railway stations were obtained in batches, and the geographical software ArcGIS was used. The nearest distance between each city and Beijing-Kowloon railway station is calculated from longitude and latitude data, and then different distance threshold is set. If the nearest distance between city and station is less than distance threshold, it is the experimental group. On the contrary, it is the control group. Then, the difference between the control group and the experimental group before 1993 and after 1996 was compared with the difference of the per capita disposable income between the control group and the experimental group. The economic impact of the Beijing-Kowloon Railway on the neighboring cities is estimated. The results show that the Beijing-Kowloon Railway is concerned. Further analysis shows that the negative effect of Beijing-Kowloon Railway on the actual GDP of adjacent non-central cities is due to the increase in the number of Beijing-Kowloon Railway after the completion of the construction of the Beijing-Kowloon Railway. Plus fixed asset investment in nearby non-central cities. However, the government spending near the non-center is reduced, and the negative impact of the latter exceeds the positive impact of the former. In addition, the empirical results show that the Beijing-Kowloon Railway has no significant impact on the per capita disposable income of residents living in nearby cities and towns.
【學位授予單位】：山東大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F127;F532.8

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