產業(yè)結構變動與經濟增長關系的統(tǒng)計研究
發(fā)布時間：2019-03-19 18:02
【摘要】： 產業(yè)結構變動與經濟增長互相依賴，相互促進。在一定條件下，產業(yè)結構變動是經濟增長的基礎，是促進經濟增長的主要因素；而不同速度的經濟增長又對產業(yè)結構有不同的要求，即經濟的增長將導致產業(yè)結構發(fā)生相應的變動�，F代經濟增長的過程，其實質是經濟增長與產業(yè)結構變動相互聯系、相互促進，不斷發(fā)展的辯證過程。由此，就產業(yè)結構變動對經濟增長的影響，國外學者作了不少研究，己有很豐富的研究成果。隨著我國經濟體制改革的深化，我國學者極其關注經濟增長和經濟結構的問題，同時對我國產業(yè)結構及其變動進行了一些有益的探索。但在總體上，仍處于介紹西方有關理論的層面上，或者僅考察產業(yè)結構變動，或者專門考察經濟增長，而把兩者結合起來進行系統(tǒng)研究尚少見，特別是緊密結合我國實際對產業(yè)結構變動與經濟增長關系進行實證研究的也不多見。 本文按照這一思路，在借鑒國內外學者已有研究成果的基礎上，從產業(yè)結構變動與經濟增長的關系入手，結合中國產業(yè)結構及經濟增長的實際情況，運用各種分析方法對我國產業(yè)結構變動及其對經濟增長的影響進行實證分析，力圖尋找適當我國國情的產業(yè)結構優(yōu)化道路，從而推進經濟持續(xù)地快速增長。本文除導言以外共分五章： 第一章，闡述產業(yè)結構變動與經濟增長的關系。在經濟增長與結構轉變的關系問題上，一直存在兩種不同的觀點。傳統(tǒng)的經濟增長理論認為，在競爭均衡的假設下，經濟增長是資本積累、勞動力增加和技術變化長期作用的結果�，F代經濟增長理論卻認為，經濟增長是生產結構轉變的一個方面，而結構轉變通常是非均衡的條件下發(fā)生的。因此，勞動和資本從生產率較低的部門向生產率較高的部門轉移能夠加速經濟增長，即結構效率是經濟增長的一個源泉。本章首先界定產業(yè)結構的內涵及特征，通過對傳統(tǒng)經濟增長理論的反思，闡釋了現代經濟增長的本質要求就是產業(yè)結構與經濟增長協調，從而論證了產業(yè)結構變動與經濟增長的相互依賴相互促進的辯證統(tǒng)一關系。 第二章，剖析各主要經濟變量之間的作用機理。從而將產業(yè)結構變動與經濟增長的關系，從感性認識上升到理性認識。本章首先在定性分析基礎上，引入數量分析方法，展開對產業(yè)結構變動對經濟增長的影響進行定量分析，，然后深入經WP=6濟增長函數內部，將索洛增長方程中的“余值”進行分解，提出其中的含有結構效益的測算模型，從而解析了長期以來“余值”作為技術進步對經濟增長的度量這樣一個理論誤區(qū)。 第三章，我國產業(yè)結構變動的實證分析。產業(yè)結構具有動態(tài)性。任何現有產業(yè)結構都是在原有經濟增長的基礎上發(fā)展而形成的。本章從經濟增長對產業(yè)結構的影響入手，即把產業(yè)結構視為經濟增長的函數，考察產業(yè)結構在經濟發(fā)展過程中的演變規(guī)律，本章著重考察我國產業(yè)結構變動的一般態(tài)勢和特殊表現，勾勒出我國產業(yè)結構的基本輪廊。采用靜態(tài)、動態(tài)及比較分析法，通過把我國產業(yè)結構變動趨勢與產業(yè)結構變動一般趨勢的對比分析，揭示我國產業(yè)結構現階段的特點及演進過程中所存在的問題。 第四章，我國產業(yè)結構變動對經濟增長影響的統(tǒng)計分析。產業(yè)結構除了變動的高級化趨勢，還有其變動的合理化趨勢。產業(yè)結構高級化和合理化統(tǒng)稱為產業(yè)結構優(yōu)化。合理的產業(yè)結構并不是幾個產業(yè)部門的簡單組合，而是能發(fā)揮較高的經濟效益和有利于經濟發(fā)展的有機組合。因此，評價產業(yè)結構優(yōu)劣和合理與否，需要通過一些統(tǒng)計指標對產業(yè)結構變動的總體效益水平進行測算和評價。本章從產業(yè)結構變動對經濟增長的影響入手，即把產業(yè)結構作為內生變量，視經濟增長為產業(yè)結構變動的函數，選擇多種統(tǒng)計指標、采用各種統(tǒng)計分析方法，考察產業(yè)結構變動對經濟增長的作用力。 第五章，在以上分析基礎上探討“十五”期間我國產業(yè)結構調整的戰(zhàn)略及對策。 本章結合我國國情，全面、系統(tǒng)地闡述了推進我國產業(yè)結構優(yōu)化升級的戰(zhàn)略，提出了非均衡增長、資源傾斜配置和協調發(fā)展及信息化與工業(yè)化同時推進，實現跨越式發(fā)展的總體戰(zhàn)略思路。同時，緊密聯系實際提出了產業(yè)結構調整必須與擴大和培育內需這一宏觀經濟目標，又要與加入WTO聯系起來為導向，創(chuàng)造性地提出了一系列比較有價值的產業(yè)結構調整對策，為推進我國產業(yè)結構優(yōu)化和宏觀經濟運行提供可操作的理論依據。 本文是從產業(yè)結構變動與經濟增長關系入手進行的統(tǒng)計研究。為此采用了定性分析與定量分析相結合的研究方法。體現在對產業(yè)結構變動與經濟增長的相互關系進行了定性描述，在此基礎上，進而對產業(yè)結構變動對經濟增長的影響機理WP=7進行了深入的數量經濟分析，深刻地揭示了各主要經濟變量之間的數理關系。 本文研究方法既有規(guī)范分析又有實證分析，且以實證分析為主要研究方法。具體體現在第三章中，對我國產業(yè)結構變動的基本趨勢，和其與國際比較進行的實證分析。 本文是從統(tǒng)計角度進行研究，因此本文運用了多種統(tǒng)計分析方法，并進行了大量的統(tǒng)計數據分析及計算。主要體現在第三章及第四章有關統(tǒng)計實證分析中及第四章的統(tǒng)計指標選擇及其測算過程中。
[Abstract]:The change of industrial structure and economic growth depend on each other and promote each other. Under certain conditions, the change of industrial structure is the basis of economic growth, which is the main factor to promote the economic growth, and the economic growth of different speed has different requirements on the industrial structure, that is, the growth of the economy will lead to the corresponding change of the industrial structure. The process of modern economic growth is the dialectical process of economic growth and industrial structure change, mutual promotion and development. As a result, the influence of the change of industrial structure on the growth of the economy, foreign scholars have made a lot of research, and have rich research results. With the deepening of China's economic system reform, Chinese scholars pay close attention to the problems of economic growth and economic structure, and also make some useful exploration on the industrial structure and the change of our country. But in the whole, it is still in the aspect of the introduction of the western theory, or only the change of the industrial structure, or the special investigation of the economic growth, and the combination of the two is still rare, In particular, there are few empirical studies on the relationship between the change of industrial structure and economic growth in China. Based on the research results of the domestic and foreign scholars, this paper starts with the relationship between the change of the industrial structure and the economic growth, and combines the industrial structure of China and the relationship between the industrial structure and the economic growth. Based on the actual situation of economic growth, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the changes of the industrial structure and the effect on the economic growth of our country by using various analytical methods, and tries to find the optimal path of the industrial structure with the appropriate national conditions, so as to promote the economic growth The economy continues to grow rapidly. This article in addition to that introduction, it is divided into five chapters: A chapter on the relationship between the change of industrial structure and economic growth. The traditional economic growth theory holds that economic growth is the capital product under the assumption that the competition is balanced. The result of long-term effects of fatigue, labor and technology changes. Modern economic growth theory is of the view that economic growth is an aspect of the transformation of production structure As a result, the shift in structure is usually under the condition of non-equilibrium. Therefore, the transfer of labor and capital from a lower productivity sector to a higher productivity sector can speed up the The economic growth is a source of economic growth. In this chapter, the connotation and characteristics of the industrial structure are first defined, and the modern economic growth is explained through the reflection of the traditional economic growth theory. The long essential requirement is the coordination between the industrial structure and the economic growth, so as to demonstrate the change of the industrial structure and the change of the economic growth. The dialectical unity of the interdependence and mutual promotion of economic growth. In the second chapter, the mechanism of action between the main economic variables is analyzed. In this chapter, based on the qualitative analysis, the quantitative analysis method is introduced, the effect of the change of industrial structure on the economic growth is analyzed quantitatively, and then the value of the Soilo growth equation is further analyzed through the internal of the WP = 6 economic growth function. In this paper, the structure-benefit-based measurement model is put forward to analyze the long-term "total value". " as a technological advance for economic growth such a theoretical error as the metric of the metric The third chapter, the empirical analysis of the change of the industrial structure in China The industrial structure is dynamic. Any existing industrial structure is formed on the basis of the original economic growth. This chapter starts with the influence of economic growth on the industrial structure, that is, the industrial structure is regarded as a function of economic growth, and the industrial structure is examined. in that course of economic development, This chapter focuses on the general situation and special performance of China's industrial structure change, and outlines the basic wheel corridor of our country's industrial structure. A Comparative Analysis of the General Trend of the Structure Change and the Present Stage of China's Industrial Structure The problems in the process of evolution. The Statistics of the Influence of the Changes of the Industrial Structure on the Economic Growth in China In addition to the high-level trend of the change, the industrial structure has a reasonable tendency to change. The higher-level industrial structure and the rationalization of the industrial structure are collectively referred to as the excellent industrial structure The rational industrial structure is not a simple combination of several industrial departments, but it can play a higher economic benefit and the organic combination of economic development Therefore, it is necessary to measure and evaluate the overall benefit level of industrial structure change through some statistical indicators. As a function of the change of the industrial structure, a variety of statistical indicators are selected, and various statistical analysis methods are used to study the economic growth of the industrial structure change Chapter 5, on the basis of the above analysis, discusses the strategy and countermeasure of China's industrial structure adjustment during the "XV" period. This paper systematically expounds the strategy of promoting the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure in China, and puts forward the overall strategic thinking of non-equilibrium growth, resource inclination configuration and coordination development and the simultaneous promotion of information and industrialization, so as to realize the leap-forward development. At the same time, it is closely related to the reality. in that inter of the macro-economic goal of the adjustment of the industrial structure and the expansion and cultivation of domestic demand, In addition, we should contact the WTO to guide and creatively put forward a series of comparison The more valuable industrial structure adjustment measures to promote the industrial structure of our country The paper, based on the relationship between the change of the industrial structure and the economic growth, adopts the research method of the combination of the qualitative analysis and the quantitative analysis, which is reflected in the change of the industrial structure and the economic growth. The relationship between the economic growth and the economic growth is described. On the basis of this, the change of the industrial structure is further The impact mechanism of economic growth, WP = 7, has carried out an in-depth quantitative and economic analysis, and deeply reveals the main economic variables. The research methods of this paper have both normative and empirical analysis, and the empirical analysis is the main research. The research method, which is embodied in the third chapter, is the basic trend of the change of the industrial structure in China, and the real relationship with the international comparison.
【學位授予單位】：江西財經大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2002
【分類號】：F121.3;F061.2
本文編號：2443762
[Abstract]:The change of industrial structure and economic growth depend on each other and promote each other. Under certain conditions, the change of industrial structure is the basis of economic growth, which is the main factor to promote the economic growth, and the economic growth of different speed has different requirements on the industrial structure, that is, the growth of the economy will lead to the corresponding change of the industrial structure. The process of modern economic growth is the dialectical process of economic growth and industrial structure change, mutual promotion and development. As a result, the influence of the change of industrial structure on the growth of the economy, foreign scholars have made a lot of research, and have rich research results. With the deepening of China's economic system reform, Chinese scholars pay close attention to the problems of economic growth and economic structure, and also make some useful exploration on the industrial structure and the change of our country. But in the whole, it is still in the aspect of the introduction of the western theory, or only the change of the industrial structure, or the special investigation of the economic growth, and the combination of the two is still rare, In particular, there are few empirical studies on the relationship between the change of industrial structure and economic growth in China. Based on the research results of the domestic and foreign scholars, this paper starts with the relationship between the change of the industrial structure and the economic growth, and combines the industrial structure of China and the relationship between the industrial structure and the economic growth. Based on the actual situation of economic growth, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the changes of the industrial structure and the effect on the economic growth of our country by using various analytical methods, and tries to find the optimal path of the industrial structure with the appropriate national conditions, so as to promote the economic growth The economy continues to grow rapidly. This article in addition to that introduction, it is divided into five chapters: A chapter on the relationship between the change of industrial structure and economic growth. The traditional economic growth theory holds that economic growth is the capital product under the assumption that the competition is balanced. The result of long-term effects of fatigue, labor and technology changes. Modern economic growth theory is of the view that economic growth is an aspect of the transformation of production structure As a result, the shift in structure is usually under the condition of non-equilibrium. Therefore, the transfer of labor and capital from a lower productivity sector to a higher productivity sector can speed up the The economic growth is a source of economic growth. In this chapter, the connotation and characteristics of the industrial structure are first defined, and the modern economic growth is explained through the reflection of the traditional economic growth theory. The long essential requirement is the coordination between the industrial structure and the economic growth, so as to demonstrate the change of the industrial structure and the change of the economic growth. The dialectical unity of the interdependence and mutual promotion of economic growth. In the second chapter, the mechanism of action between the main economic variables is analyzed. In this chapter, based on the qualitative analysis, the quantitative analysis method is introduced, the effect of the change of industrial structure on the economic growth is analyzed quantitatively, and then the value of the Soilo growth equation is further analyzed through the internal of the WP = 6 economic growth function. In this paper, the structure-benefit-based measurement model is put forward to analyze the long-term "total value". " as a technological advance for economic growth such a theoretical error as the metric of the metric The third chapter, the empirical analysis of the change of the industrial structure in China The industrial structure is dynamic. Any existing industrial structure is formed on the basis of the original economic growth. This chapter starts with the influence of economic growth on the industrial structure, that is, the industrial structure is regarded as a function of economic growth, and the industrial structure is examined. in that course of economic development, This chapter focuses on the general situation and special performance of China's industrial structure change, and outlines the basic wheel corridor of our country's industrial structure. A Comparative Analysis of the General Trend of the Structure Change and the Present Stage of China's Industrial Structure The problems in the process of evolution. The Statistics of the Influence of the Changes of the Industrial Structure on the Economic Growth in China In addition to the high-level trend of the change, the industrial structure has a reasonable tendency to change. The higher-level industrial structure and the rationalization of the industrial structure are collectively referred to as the excellent industrial structure The rational industrial structure is not a simple combination of several industrial departments, but it can play a higher economic benefit and the organic combination of economic development Therefore, it is necessary to measure and evaluate the overall benefit level of industrial structure change through some statistical indicators. As a function of the change of the industrial structure, a variety of statistical indicators are selected, and various statistical analysis methods are used to study the economic growth of the industrial structure change Chapter 5, on the basis of the above analysis, discusses the strategy and countermeasure of China's industrial structure adjustment during the "XV" period. This paper systematically expounds the strategy of promoting the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure in China, and puts forward the overall strategic thinking of non-equilibrium growth, resource inclination configuration and coordination development and the simultaneous promotion of information and industrialization, so as to realize the leap-forward development. At the same time, it is closely related to the reality. in that inter of the macro-economic goal of the adjustment of the industrial structure and the expansion and cultivation of domestic demand, In addition, we should contact the WTO to guide and creatively put forward a series of comparison The more valuable industrial structure adjustment measures to promote the industrial structure of our country The paper, based on the relationship between the change of the industrial structure and the economic growth, adopts the research method of the combination of the qualitative analysis and the quantitative analysis, which is reflected in the change of the industrial structure and the economic growth. The relationship between the economic growth and the economic growth is described. On the basis of this, the change of the industrial structure is further The impact mechanism of economic growth, WP = 7, has carried out an in-depth quantitative and economic analysis, and deeply reveals the main economic variables. The research methods of this paper have both normative and empirical analysis, and the empirical analysis is the main research. The research method, which is embodied in the third chapter, is the basic trend of the change of the industrial structure in China, and the real relationship with the international comparison.
【學位授予單位】：江西財經大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2002
【分類號】：F121.3;F061.2
【引證文獻】
相關博士學位論文 前3條
1 王曉輝;中國產業(yè)結構的動態(tài)投入產出模型分析[D];哈爾濱工程大學;2010年
2 彭長青;江蘇沿江經濟開發(fā)區(qū)域糧食供需平衡分析與對策研究[D];南京農業(yè)大學;2007年
3 陳勇;區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展不同階段的產業(yè)序列研究[D];南京農業(yè)大學;2012年
相關碩士學位論文 前10條
1 姜媛媛;我國區(qū)域產業(yè)發(fā)展的偏離—份額分析[D];天津財經大學;2010年
2 夏奔;寧波市產業(yè)結構演變及效應研究[D];寧波大學;2009年
3 鄧冬云;桂林市地方財源建設中產業(yè)選擇的系統(tǒng)分析[D];桂林電子科技大學;2006年
4 肖崇;新疆產業(yè)結構轉換與經濟增長研究[D];新疆大學;2008年
5 周曉嵐;我國農村勞動力轉移及其對經濟增長的影響研究[D];浙江工商大學;2009年
6 左葉;上海產業(yè)結構變動與能源消費協調發(fā)展的相關性分析[D];上海師范大學;2009年
7 舒莎;基于農業(yè)與制造業(yè)產業(yè)結構分析的中韓FTA構建對策研究[D];青島大學;2010年
8 傅雪清;區(qū)域產業(yè)配比分析方法與應用[D];重慶工商大學;2010年
9 周洋;浙江省產業(yè)結構調整與能源消費關系研究[D];浙江工業(yè)大學;2012年
10 諶亭穎;貴州煤炭產業(yè)低碳化的發(fā)展研究[D];湖南科技大學;2012年
本文編號：2443762
本文鏈接：http://www.sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/jingjililun/2443762.html
